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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 123-134
28-35 34-39 26-33 35-27
Position#15
Record32-24
FormWWLWW
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game104.1
vs
Position#12
Record31-26
FormWWLWW
Points / game107.4
Allowed / game106.5
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 94
H27/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
110-96
110
96
+14
110avg 94
A28/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
107-95
107
95
+12
105avg 94
H30/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
89-108
89
108
-19
75avg 94
A02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
92-90
92
90
+2
80avg 94
H03/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
109-94
109
94
+15
108avg 94
A04/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
103-89
103
89
+14
96avg 94
A07/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
85-91
85
91
-6
75avg 94
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
111-104
111
104
+7
109avg 94
A11/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 94
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
25-20
23-37
35-19
26-20
35-22
25-30
24-24
28-30
27-23
28-22
24-20
17-23
22-37
22-19
28-29
28-29
27-26
19-19
18-16
36-22
26-19
21-31
26-22
25-26
25-20
26-17
27-26
23-19
23-23
8-30
31-19
24-29
26-25
28-20
33-30
21-24
20-19
33-18
23-31
196.9Avg total
101.9Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)104.3104.1208.4+0.257%
Season at home (28)104.6103.0207.7+1.668%
Season away (28)103.9105.2209.1-1.346%
Last 10 (10)101.995.0196.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)101.094.0195.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)107.2115.7222.8-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (17)102.399.8202.1+2.565%
vs Weaker (7)107.4104.3211.7+3.171%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
110-111
110
111
-1
105avg 103
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
104-106
104
106
-2
94avg 103
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
127-124
127
124
+3
121avg 103
H02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
115-108
115
108
+7
109avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
121-104
121
104
+17
123avg 103
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
104-130
104
130
-26
95avg 103
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
123-113
123
113
+10
111avg 103
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
117-109
117
109
+8
107avg 103
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
21-32
24-24
37-24
28-31
30-30
25-30
26-20
23-26
40-33
32-24
32-32
23-35
29-32
26-24
22-27
38-25
36-25
27-37
34-22
24-20
23-35
23-28
24-34
34-33
28-23
34-37
32-29
29-24
30-32
28-29
29-29
30-19
225.4Avg total
114.2Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)107.4106.5213.9+0.954%
Season at home (30)110.5103.9214.4+6.577%
Season away (27)104.0109.4213.4-5.430%
Last 10 (10)114.2111.2225.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)116.0112.8228.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.2110.8218.0-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)107.9106.6214.5+1.447%
vs Weaker (9)107.2103.9211.1+3.367%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H27/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A28/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H30/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H03/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A04/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A11/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/02
NBA
98.8Avg total
51.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.152.3105.4+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.753.4108.1+1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)51.551.1102.7+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)51.747.198.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.845.295.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.858.8113.7-4.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.650.7103.4+1.965%-
vs Weaker (7)52.750.4103.1+2.329%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H14/02
NBA
115.6Avg total
57.9Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.7108.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.353.8108.1+0.544%-
Last 30 away (12)52.556.0108.5-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)57.957.7115.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)56.860.4117.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.856.0108.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.554.8108.3-1.441%-
vs Weaker (9)54.153.8107.9+0.344%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 101.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.329.1
51.7%
51.0%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.6%
36.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
76.5%17.3
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.131.5
55.2%
51.0%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.7
38.1%
36.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.416.1
83.0%
76.5%16.1
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWLLWW
#15
League position
#12
+7.2
Net rating
+3.0
106.1
Offensive rating
115.6
98.9
Defensive rating
112.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.6%
3-point %
38.1%
60.7%
Assist %
63.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 115.6Defence98.9 · 112.6Shooting52.2% · 55.9%3-point %35.6% · 38.1%Ball care13.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds19.7% · 22.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/18HAtlanta Hawks97-92
11/02/18AOrlando Magic111-104
10/02/18AMiami Heat85-91
07/02/18ANew York Knicks103-89
04/02/18ABrooklyn Nets109-94
03/02/18HNew York Knicks92-90
02/02/18AMinnesota Timberwolves89-108
30/01/18HPhiladelphia 76ers107-95
28/01/18AChicago Bulls110-96
27/01/18HBrooklyn Nets116-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs117-109
11/02/18APhoenix Suns123-113
10/02/18AHouston Rockets104-130
06/02/18HCharlotte Hornets121-104
04/02/18HGolden State Warriors115-108
02/02/18HOklahoma City Thunder127-124
31/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs104-106
30/01/18HBoston Celtics110-111
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %57%68%46%
Points / game104.3104.6103.9
Allowed / game104.1103.0105.2
Point differential+0.2+1.6-1.3
Avg total208.4207.7209.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)90% (10)17% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573027
Win %54%77%30%
Points / game107.4110.5104.0
Allowed / game106.5103.9109.4
Point differential+0.9+6.5-5.4
Avg total213.9214.4213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (9)20% (5)
Overtime %5%3%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets57441377%114.1105.4+8.7
2 Golden State Warriors58441476%115.8107.7+8.1
3 Toronto Raptors57411672%111.9103.4+8.5
4 Boston Celtics59401968%103.199.6+3.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers56342261%110.2110.0+0.2
6 San Antonio Spurs59352459%101.698.5+3.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves60352558%109.6106.7+2.9
8 Washington Wizards57332458%107.4105.5+1.9
9 Milwaukee Bucks56322457%104.3104.1+0.2
10 Indiana Pacers58332557%106.8105.5+1.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder59332656%106.6103.2+3.4
12 Portland Trail Blazers58322655%105.0103.9+1.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers55302555%107.5105.5+2.0
14 Denver Nuggets57312654%107.4106.5+0.9
15 New Orleans Pelicans57312654%111.3111.2+0.2
16 Los Angeles Clippers56302654%108.0107.1+0.9
17 Utah Jazz58302852%103.5101.7+1.8
18 Miami Heat58302852%100.5101.4-0.9
19 Detroit Pistons57282949%103.4103.5-0.1
20 Charlotte Hornets57243342%106.0106.6-0.6
21 Los Angeles Lakers56233341%107.2110.1-2.9
22 New York Knicks59233639%103.7106.1-2.4
23 Chicago Bulls57203735%103.3109.2-5.9
24 Brooklyn Nets59194032%105.4109.6-4.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies56183832%99.2102.9-3.7
26 Orlando Magic57183932%105.5109.8-4.2
27 Sacramento Kings57183932%98.7106.7-8.0
28 Dallas Mavericks58184031%102.1104.4-2.4
29 Atlanta Hawks59184131%103.7107.8-4.1
30 Phoenix Suns59184131%103.9112.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks28342635123
Denver Nuggets35393327134
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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