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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 119-116 (OT)
31-29 21-34 26-24 29-20 12-9
Position#14
Record39-30
FormWLLWL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#11
Record42-28
FormWLLWW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 99
H27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
122-127
122
127
-5
123avg 99
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
98-119
98
119
-21
88avg 99
H03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
119-125
119
125
-6
120avg 99
A05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
103avg 99
H07/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
127-124
127
124
+3
116avg 99
A09/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
105-117
105
117
-12
100avg 99
A12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
91-101
91
101
-10
77avg 99
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
120-111 OT
120
111
+9
117avg 99
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
114-118
114
118
-4
109avg 99
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
22-19
26-28
26-16
37-26
24-38
27-37
34-26
31-38
18-26
31-32
18-23
43-30
28-33
28-34
20-28
30-29
29-17
14-16
31-34
32-24
31-39
27-35
37-26
18-28
39-30
15-27
33-32
22-24
20-29
24-24
25-24
33-27
23-30
31-24
19-25
23-30
36-42
31-13
24-33
221.6Avg total
109.2Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)107.0104.0211.0+3.057%
Season at home (33)106.8101.5208.3+5.464%
Season away (36)107.1106.3213.4+0.850%
Last 10 (10)109.2112.4221.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)111.4114.2225.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)105.8106.8212.6-1.050%
vs Weaker (10)105.9104.1210.0+1.870%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-92
124
92
+32
126avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
107-119
107
119
-12
100avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-101
116
101
+15
108avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-130 OT
138
130
+8
138avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
33-21
21-22
38-22
24-24
33-31
22-31
28-33
25-26
26-20
36-24
29-31
35-19
27-38
22-37
40-30
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
230.5Avg total
118.0Scored
112.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)111.4108.5219.9+2.860%
Season at home (33)113.4109.5222.9+3.861%
Season away (37)109.6107.6217.2+1.959%
Last 10 (10)118.0112.5230.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)112.8111.8224.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)118.5116.5235.0+2.061%
vs Weaker (11)118.5105.8224.4+12.791%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H03/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H07/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A09/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H16/03
NBA
113.9Avg total
55.7Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.355.4109.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.553.1105.5-0.638%-
Last 30 away (17)55.857.1112.9-1.441%-
Last 10 (10)55.758.2113.9-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)55.460.6116.0-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)55.556.0111.5-0.540%-
vs Weaker (10)52.054.1106.1-2.140%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
117.0Avg total
61.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.858.0118.8+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.858.9120.7+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)59.856.9116.6+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)61.855.2117.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)62.455.4117.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)59.961.1121.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)62.453.5115.8+8.982%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.228.9
54.3%
53.1%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
35.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.321.4
81.4%
77.4%21.4
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.531.2
61.8%
53.1%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.2
32.6%
35.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws27.922.0
78.9%
77.4%22.0
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWLLWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#11
-3.3
Net rating
+5.4
111.1
Offensive rating
116.1
114.4
Defensive rating
110.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
32.6%
63.8%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 116.1Defence114.4 · 110.7Shooting53.0% · 56.5%3-point %33.8% · 32.6%Ball care13.8% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 21.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/22HPhiladelphia 76ers114-118
14/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers120-111 OT
13/03/22AChicago Bulls91-101
12/03/22AMiami Heat105-117
09/03/22AIndiana Pacers127-124
07/03/22HToronto Raptors104-96
05/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers119-125
03/03/22HCharlotte Hornets98-119
01/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves122-127
27/02/22HWashington Wizards92-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
07/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans138-130 OT
05/03/22HHouston Rockets116-101
03/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder107-119
28/02/22APortland Trail Blazers124-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693336
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game107.0106.8107.1
Allowed / game104.0101.5106.3
Point differential+3.0+5.4+0.8
Avg total211.0208.3213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (22)38% (13)78% (9)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703337
Win %60%61%59%
Points / game111.4113.4109.6
Allowed / game108.5109.5107.6
Point differential+2.8+3.8+1.9
Avg total219.9222.9217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)80% (5)67% (12)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns70561480%114.5106.3+8.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies70482269%114.7109.4+5.3
3 Golden State Warriors70472367%111.2105.1+6.2
4 Miami Heat70462466%109.4104.7+4.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks70442663%114.9110.9+4.0
6 Utah Jazz69432662%114.0107.7+6.3
7 Philadelphia 76ers69432662%108.7106.7+2.0
8 Dallas Mavericks70432761%106.6103.8+2.9
9 Boston Celtics70422860%109.5103.7+5.8
10 Denver Nuggets70422860%111.4108.5+2.8
11 Chicago Bulls69412859%112.1110.9+1.2
12 Minnesota Timberwolves71413058%115.2111.9+3.3
13 Cleveland Cavaliers69393057%107.0104.0+3.0
14 Toronto Raptors69393057%108.8107.2+1.6
15 Brooklyn Nets70363451%111.9111.7+0.2
16 Charlotte Hornets70353550%114.9114.8+0.1
17 Los Angeles Clippers72363650%106.9107.7-0.8
18 Atlanta Hawks69343549%112.8112.2+0.7
19 Washington Wizards68293943%108.4111.6-3.3
20 New York Knicks69294042%106.3106.9-0.6
21 Los Angeles Lakers69294042%110.9113.7-2.9
22 New Orleans Pelicans69284141%108.3110.2-1.9
23 San Antonio Spurs70274339%113.0113.6-0.6
24 Portland Trail Blazers68264238%107.1113.8-6.6
25 Sacramento Kings71254635%110.5115.6-5.1
26 Indiana Pacers70234733%110.5113.3-2.8
27 Oklahoma City Thunder69204929%103.0110.9-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons70195127%103.9112.4-8.5
29 Orlando Magic71185325%104.5112.5-8.0
30 Houston Rockets69175225%108.9118.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cleveland Cavaliers3121262912119
Denver Nuggets293424209116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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