PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 130-104
35-23 28-23 34-24 33-34
Position#1
Record40-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#12
Record29-25
FormLLWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 105
H21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
99-90
99
90
+9
87avg 105
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
104-97
104
97
+7
92avg 105
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
113-115
113
115
-2
103avg 105
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
113-102
113
102
+11
104avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-107
114
107
+7
106avg 105
H31/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
102-91
102
91
+11
90avg 105
A02/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
120-88
120
88
+32
117avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
123-113
123
113
+10
114avg 105
A07/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
109-101
109
101
+8
99avg 105
A08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-28
25-30
27-33
24-17
25-33
21-17
25-18
28-22
38-28
13-17
34-22
19-30
30-29
23-37
27-24
33-25
28-24
32-29
32-24
21-25
27-30
27-25
36-33
24-19
27-14
27-24
28-32
20-21
32-20
33-19
32-30
23-19
38-31
27-32
31-23
27-27
35-24
26-33
22-23
26-21
212.5Avg total
111.3Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)114.0105.8219.8+8.275%
Season at home (26)116.6108.5225.0+8.177%
Season away (27)111.6103.2214.8+8.474%
Last 10 (10)111.3101.2212.5+10.190%
Last 5 (5)113.6100.0213.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)116.7110.3227.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)113.8108.0221.7+5.870%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
94avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 103
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
110-111
110
111
-1
105avg 103
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
104-106
104
106
-2
94avg 103
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
127-124
127
124
+3
121avg 103
H02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
115-108
115
108
+7
109avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
121-104
121
104
+17
123avg 103
H06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
21-32
24-24
37-24
28-31
30-30
25-30
26-20
23-26
40-33
32-24
32-32
23-35
29-32
26-24
22-27
38-25
36-25
27-37
34-22
24-20
218.4Avg total
110.6Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)107.0105.9212.9+1.154%
Season at home (29)110.2103.8214.0+6.576%
Season away (25)103.2108.5211.7-5.228%
Last 10 (10)110.6107.8218.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)115.4110.6226.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)108.3104.3212.7+4.067%
vs Similar (18)107.6106.3213.9+1.344%
vs Weaker (9)105.0101.2206.2+3.867%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H31/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A02/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A07/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A08/02
NBA
109.8Avg total
57.4Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.953.8112.7+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.155.5115.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)57.652.1109.7+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)57.452.4109.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.850.4110.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)59.756.7116.3+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)58.853.5112.3+5.363%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/02
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.7Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.553.4106.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.153.4107.4+0.747%-
Last 30 away (13)52.853.5106.3-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)56.755.2111.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.058.2116.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)55.053.7108.7+1.333%-
vs Similar (18)53.753.9107.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (9)52.752.4105.1+0.244%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.7
56.7%
51.0%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.7
37.7%
36.1%44.1
🏀 Free throws26.219.8
75.6%
76.5%19.8
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.0
52.0%
51.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.912.0
38.8%
36.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.516.6
81.0%
76.5%16.6
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWWLL
#1
League position
#12
+10.5
Net rating
+2.9
115.2
Offensive rating
112.7
104.8
Defensive rating
109.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.7%
3-point %
38.8%
50.8%
Assist %
66.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 112.7Defence104.8 · 109.8Shooting56.6% · 54.2%3-point %37.7% · 38.8%Ball care11.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds16.8% · 25.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Houston Rockets wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/18AMiami Heat109-101
07/02/18ABrooklyn Nets123-113
04/02/18ACleveland Cavaliers120-88
02/02/18ASan Antonio Spurs102-91
31/01/18HOrlando Magic114-107
28/01/18HPhoenix Suns113-102
27/01/18ANew Orleans Pelicans113-115
25/01/18ADallas Mavericks104-97
23/01/18HMiami Heat99-90
21/01/18HGolden State Warriors116-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/18HCharlotte Hornets121-104
04/02/18HGolden State Warriors115-108
02/02/18HOklahoma City Thunder127-124
31/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs104-106
30/01/18HBoston Celtics110-111
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWWWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %75%77%74%
Points / game114.0116.6111.6
Allowed / game105.8108.5103.2
Point differential+8.2+8.1+8.4
Avg total219.8225.0214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%46%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542925
Win %54%76%28%
Points / game107.0110.2103.2
Allowed / game105.9103.8108.5
Point differential+1.1+6.5-5.2
Avg total212.9214.0211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%34%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (9)20% (5)
Overtime %6%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors55421376%115.5108.0+7.5
2 Houston Rockets53401375%114.0105.8+8.2
3 Toronto Raptors54381670%111.4103.3+8.1
4 Boston Celtics57401770%102.998.7+4.2
5 San Antonio Spurs56352162%101.497.7+3.7
6 Minnesota Timberwolves57342360%109.5106.3+3.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers54322259%109.8110.1-0.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks53302357%104.6104.6+0.1
9 Washington Wizards55312456%107.3105.7+1.7
10 Oklahoma City Thunder56312555%106.2102.9+3.3
11 Indiana Pacers56312555%106.5105.4+1.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers55302555%104.6103.6+1.0
13 Denver Nuggets54292554%107.0105.9+1.1
14 Los Angeles Clippers53282553%107.6106.8+0.8
15 Miami Heat55292653%100.5101.4-1.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers52272552%107.5106.0+1.5
17 New Orleans Pelicans54282652%110.2110.9-0.7
18 Detroit Pistons54272750%103.2103.1+0.1
19 Utah Jazz54262848%103.2102.1+1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets54233143%106.3106.4-0.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers54233143%106.7109.1-2.4
22 New York Knicks56233341%103.5105.6-2.1
23 Chicago Bulls53183534%103.5109.2-5.8
24 Brooklyn Nets56193734%105.1109.1-4.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies54183633%99.0102.4-3.4
26 Orlando Magic54183633%105.7109.9-4.2
27 Phoenix Suns56183832%104.2112.5-8.2
28 Sacramento Kings53173632%98.4106.5-8.1
29 Dallas Mavericks55173831%101.5103.9-2.4
30 Atlanta Hawks56173930%103.7107.9-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets35283433130
Denver Nuggets23232434104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.