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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-108
29-32 26-24 22-27 38-25
Position#12
Record27-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#2
Record41-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
80-112
80
112
-32
66avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
105-102
105
102
+3
97avg 103
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
94avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 103
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
110-111
110
111
-1
105avg 103
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
104-106
104
106
-2
94avg 103
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
127-124
127
124
+3
121avg 103
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
28-24
25-26
11-30
30-27
31-21
25-21
19-33
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
21-32
24-24
37-24
28-31
30-30
25-30
26-20
23-26
40-33
32-24
32-32
23-35
213.5Avg total
105.5Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)106.6105.9212.5+0.652%
Season at home (27)109.7103.6213.3+6.174%
Season away (25)103.2108.5211.7-5.228%
Last 10 (10)105.5108.0213.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)112.4109.6222.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)105.0102.5207.5+2.550%
vs Similar (18)107.2107.3214.6-0.139%
vs Weaker (10)105.0103.3208.3+1.760%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
108-94
108
94
+14
110avg 113
A13/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
127-125
127
125
+2
122avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
118-108
118
108
+10
120avg 113
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
119-112
119
112
+7
117avg 113
A18/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
108-116
108
116
-8
103avg 113
A21/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
123-112
123
112
+11
128avg 113
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
126-113
126
113
+13
130avg 113
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
109-105
109
105
+4
99avg 113
H28/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
99-129
99
129
-30
90avg 113
A31/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
119-104
119
104
+15
123avg 113
A03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-27
27-22
17-33
28-12
43-35
38-19
27-35
19-36
35-37
22-27
36-27
25-17
38-40
25-26
32-12
24-34
28-40
30-25
33-27
17-24
21-31
37-29
37-26
28-26
38-29
36-33
32-31
20-20
27-37
23-17
30-19
29-32
30-35
26-34
29-34
14-26
29-27
29-25
26-23
35-29
227.4Avg total
115.6Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)115.7107.6223.3+8.179%
Season at home (25)114.4105.9220.3+8.476%
Season away (27)117.0109.1226.1+7.881%
Last 10 (10)115.6111.8227.4+3.880%
Last 5 (5)115.2112.6227.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)115.5115.0230.5+0.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)114.3106.2220.5+8.188%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H02/02
NBA
109.2Avg total
55.4Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.353.9107.2-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.452.6106.0+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)53.355.1108.4-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)55.453.8109.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)59.055.0114.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)55.052.5107.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (18)53.854.2108.0-0.344%-
vs Weaker (10)52.153.6105.7-1.540%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A13/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A16/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A18/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A21/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H24/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A31/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A03/02
NBA
121.3Avg total
61.8Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.155.9115.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.153.2110.3+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)60.958.2119.1+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)61.859.5121.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)59.259.4118.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)59.258.7117.8+0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)59.155.2114.2+3.967%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.428.9
51.2%
51.0%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
36.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
76.5%16.2
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.030.7
56.9%
51.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.212.2
41.8%
36.1%36.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.6
82.2%
76.5%17.6
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWLLWL
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-2.5
Net rating
+3.8
107.3
Offensive rating
114.3
109.9
Defensive rating
110.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
41.8%
64.5%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 114.3Defence109.9 · 110.5Shooting51.7% · 58.9%3-point %35.0% · 41.8%Ball care14.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 19.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/18HOklahoma City Thunder127-124
31/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs104-106
30/01/18HBoston Celtics110-111
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109
17/01/18HDallas Mavericks105-102
14/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs80-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/18ASacramento Kings119-104
31/01/18AUtah Jazz99-129
28/01/18HBoston Celtics109-105
26/01/18HMinnesota Timberwolves126-113
24/01/18HNew York Knicks123-112
21/01/18AHouston Rockets108-116
18/01/18AChicago Bulls119-112
16/01/18ACleveland Cavaliers118-108
14/01/18AToronto Raptors127-125
13/01/18AMilwaukee Bucks108-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW74%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522725
Win %52%74%28%
Points / game106.6109.7103.2
Allowed / game105.9103.6108.5
Point differential+0.6+6.1-5.2
Avg total212.5213.3211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (9)20% (5)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayWWLLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522527
Win %79%76%81%
Points / game115.7114.4117.0
Allowed / game107.6105.9109.1
Point differential+8.1+8.4+7.8
Avg total223.3220.3226.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%52%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors52411179%115.7107.6+8.1
2 Houston Rockets51381375%114.0105.7+8.2
3 Boston Celtics53381572%103.498.5+4.9
4 Toronto Raptors51351669%111.6104.2+7.4
5 San Antonio Spurs54342063%100.797.6+3.1
6 Minnesota Timberwolves55332260%108.9105.7+3.2
7 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%109.2109.5-0.4
8 Washington Wizards52302258%107.4105.5+2.0
9 Oklahoma City Thunder53302357%106.3102.7+3.6
10 Portland Trail Blazers52292356%104.9103.6+1.4
11 Indiana Pacers54302456%106.8105.5+1.2
12 New Orleans Pelicans51282355%110.8110.5+0.3
13 Milwaukee Bucks51282355%104.6105.1-0.5
14 Miami Heat53292455%100.3101.1-0.8
15 Denver Nuggets52272552%106.6105.9+0.6
16 Los Angeles Clippers51262551%107.7107.2+0.5
17 Philadelphia 76ers50252550%107.5106.5+0.9
18 Detroit Pistons51252649%102.9103.1-0.2
19 Utah Jazz51232845%102.5102.0+0.5
20 New York Knicks53233043%104.2105.6-1.4
21 Charlotte Hornets51222943%106.3106.0+0.3
22 Los Angeles Lakers51203139%106.6110.1-3.5
23 Brooklyn Nets53193436%105.1108.7-3.6
24 Memphis Grizzlies51183335%99.8102.5-2.7
25 Chicago Bulls52183435%103.6109.3-5.8
26 Phoenix Suns53183534%104.8112.1-7.4
27 Sacramento Kings51163531%98.3106.7-8.4
28 Dallas Mavericks52163631%101.4103.7-2.3
29 Orlando Magic51153629%105.5110.4-4.9
30 Atlanta Hawks52153729%103.8108.5-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29262238115
Golden State Warriors32242725108
← all games of the day
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