PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 103-120
23-33 27-36 30-26 23-25
Position#26
Record12-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game112.3
vs
Position#6
Record17-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
104-109
104
109
-5
101avg 97
A01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
100-98
100
98
+2
96avg 97
H02/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
99-121
99
121
-22
83avg 97
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
105-123
105
123
-18
90avg 97
H06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
99-124
99
124
-25
87avg 97
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
113-119
113
119
-6
no box
A09/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
95-133
95
133
-38
no box
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
110-129
110
129
-19
94avg 97
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-128
111
128
-17
98avg 97
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
98-129
98
129
-31
82avg 97
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
26-25
25-33
18-21
29-29
23-15
24-23
24-31
25-33
24-19
25-36
25-33
33-26
30-34
26-34
16-29
22-25
32-34
23-35
22-30
28-34
33-30
30-25
22-30
17-34
26-30
23-36
29-33
23-34
29-39
25-27
33-29
24-32
34-38
30-36
23-22
32-32
22-32
30-37
14-28
224.7Avg total
103.4Scored
121.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)103.4112.3215.7-8.936%
Season at home (16)108.6110.6219.2-2.156%
Season away (17)98.5113.9212.4-15.418%
Last 10 (10)103.4121.3224.7-17.910%
Last 5 (5)105.4127.6233.0-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)104.4114.7219.1-10.235%
vs Similar (4)95.2103.8199.0-8.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
104avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
124avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
no box
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 106
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 106
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
128-130
128
130
-2
119avg 106
A18/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
26-30
28-29
21-27
24-26
41-24
23-46
29-30
35-30
226.6Avg total
113.5Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)115.8110.5226.3+5.355%
Season at home (16)117.6109.0226.6+8.662%
Season away (15)113.9112.1226.0+1.747%
Last 10 (10)113.5113.1226.6+0.440%
Last 5 (5)115.8107.4223.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)114.9110.7225.6+4.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)118.1110.5228.6+7.658%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A09/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-73
52
73
-21
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/02
NBA
115.2Avg total
54.7Scored
60.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.256.2107.3-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.053.1107.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)48.758.9107.6-10.219%-
Last 10 (10)54.760.5115.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)53.667.0120.6-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)51.157.1108.2-6.031%-
vs Similar (4)51.850.2102.0+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A18/02
NBA
116.0Avg total
60.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.055.1116.1+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.655.0117.6+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)59.155.3114.4+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)60.155.9116.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)59.057.2116.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)62.354.9117.3+7.472%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)58.955.4114.3+3.550%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.632.2
49.8%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.1
28.7%
36.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
77.7%17.3
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.828.7
54.4%
52.8%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.313.9
39.4%
36.6%41.7
🏀 Free throws18.214.4
79.1%
77.7%14.4
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LLLLLLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLLLWL
#26
League position
#6
-18.1
Net rating
+0.8
102.1
Offensive rating
114.7
120.2
Defensive rating
113.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
11.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
28.7%
3-point %
39.4%
56.7%
Assist %
59.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 114.7Defence120.2 · 113.8Shooting48.0% · 56.2%3-point %28.7% · 39.4%Ball care13.2% · 11.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 21.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/21AGolden State Warriors98-129
15/02/21ALos Angeles Clippers111-128
13/02/21APortland Trail Blazers110-129
11/02/21ADenver Nuggets95-133
09/02/21APhoenix Suns113-119
07/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks99-124
06/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks105-123
04/02/21HLos Angeles Clippers99-121
02/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves100-98
01/02/21AMinnesota Timberwolves104-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21AWashington Wizards128-130
17/02/21ABoston Celtics99-112
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %36%56%18%
Points / game103.4108.698.5
Allowed / game112.3110.6113.9
Point differential-8.9-2.1-15.4
Avg total215.7219.2212.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game115.8117.6113.9
Allowed / game110.5109.0112.1
Point differential+5.3+8.6+1.7
Avg total226.3226.6226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%12%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3227584%115.9105.5+10.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers3426876%112.2105.4+6.8
3 Philadelphia 76ers31211068%114.3111.1+3.2
4 Los Angeles Clippers33211264%113.8109.1+4.7
5 Brooklyn Nets33211264%120.9116.3+4.6
6 Portland Trail Blazers32191359%114.6115.7-1.1
7 Golden State Warriors32181456%114.3112.4+1.9
8 Denver Nuggets31171455%115.8110.5+5.3
9 Phoenix Suns31171455%110.4108.7+1.6
10 Memphis Grizzlies28151354%112.8111.9+0.9
11 San Antonio Spurs30161453%110.4112.4-1.9
12 Milwaukee Bucks32161650%118.6113.8+4.8
13 Toronto Raptors32161650%113.7111.3+2.4
14 New York Knicks34171750%103.1102.0+1.1
15 Chicago Bulls31151648%113.9114.2-0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks31151648%113.8114.6-0.8
17 Indiana Pacers32151747%112.7111.9+0.8
18 New Orleans Pelicans30141647%115.0113.7+1.3
19 Boston Celtics30141647%109.2109.5-0.3
20 Atlanta Hawks32141844%113.1113.3-0.3
21 Houston Rockets32141844%109.9110.2-0.3
22 Charlotte Hornets32141844%111.4112.0-0.7
23 Sacramento Kings32141844%113.3118.7-5.4
24 Miami Heat31131842%107.0110.4-3.4
25 Orlando Magic33132039%106.1111.8-5.7
26 Oklahoma City Thunder31121939%107.8113.5-5.7
27 Cleveland Cavaliers33122136%103.4112.3-8.9
28 Washington Wizards29101934%112.4117.9-5.4
29 Detroit Pistons32102231%106.8110.0-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3282425%109.1116.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers23273023103
Denver Nuggets33362625120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.