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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-104
36-25 27-37 34-22 24-20
Position#12
Record28-25
FormWLLWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game106.0
vs
Position#20
Record23-29
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.4
Allowed / game106.1
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
105-102
105
102
+3
97avg 103
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 103
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
100-108
100
108
-8
94avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
104-101
104
101
+3
97avg 103
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
130-118
130
118
+12
133avg 103
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
91-89
91
89
+2
89avg 103
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
110-111
110
111
-1
105avg 103
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
104-106
104
106
-2
94avg 103
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
127-124
127
124
+3
121avg 103
H02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
115-108
115
108
+7
109avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
31-21
25-21
19-33
27-29
32-21
22-30
23-29
31-29
19-31
23-25
27-23
20-19
25-30
31-29
28-23
39-28
34-32
26-32
31-26
30-26
20-16
16-32
25-15
21-32
24-24
37-24
28-31
30-30
25-30
26-20
23-26
40-33
32-24
32-32
23-35
29-32
26-24
22-27
38-25
216.6Avg total
109.0Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)106.7106.0212.7+0.853%
Season at home (28)109.9103.8213.6+6.175%
Season away (25)103.2108.5211.7-5.228%
Last 10 (10)109.0107.6216.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)109.4107.6217.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3104.3212.7+4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.2107.3214.6-0.139%
vs Weaker (9)105.0101.2206.2+3.867%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
133-109
133
109
+24
125avg 95
H18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
105-106
105
106
-1
93avg 95
H21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
112-107
112
107
+5
104avg 95
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
81avg 95
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
121-110
121
110
+11
113avg 95
H27/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
91-95
91
95
-4
72avg 95
A28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 95
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
123-110
123
110
+13
118avg 95
A01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
133-126
133
126
+7
131avg 95
H03/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
115-110
115
110
+5
100avg 95
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-36
39-25
25-18
31-30
27-31
21-26
35-16
22-33
35-33
32-22
25-20
20-32
21-32
32-24
20-20
23-25
30-26
31-26
29-34
31-24
26-22
22-32
30-17
13-24
23-23
28-29
27-29
18-24
35-28
29-24
33-32
26-26
49-37
22-20
25-34
37-35
25-31
23-28
38-35
29-16
220.4Avg total
112.5Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)106.4106.1212.5+0.344%
Season at home (29)107.3106.0213.3+1.452%
Season away (23)105.3106.3211.6-1.035%
Last 10 (10)112.5107.9220.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)111.6109.2220.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.2109.5210.8-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (20)104.9103.5208.4+1.440%
vs Weaker (6)118.8111.2230.0+7.783%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H20/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H26/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H30/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H04/02
NBA
110.3Avg total
56.5Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.653.6107.2+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.552.8106.3+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)53.754.5108.2-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)56.553.8110.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)55.454.2109.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.053.7108.7+1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.854.2108.0-0.344%-
vs Weaker (9)52.752.4105.1+0.244%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H18/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H27/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A01/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H03/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A04/02
NBA
114.3Avg total
58.8Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.553.7108.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.154.2108.3-0.144%-
Last 30 away (12)55.152.9108.0+2.242%-
Last 10 (10)58.855.5114.3+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)56.454.8111.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.858.0104.8-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)54.252.9107.1+1.445%-
vs Weaker (6)60.753.7114.3+7.067%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.129.4
51.5%
51.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
36.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.817.2
78.9%
76.5%17.2
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.228.6
50.0%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.3
36.3%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws27.121.4
79.0%
76.5%21.4
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWLLW
Charlotte Hornets
WWWLLWLWLW
#12
League position
#20
+1.4
Net rating
+4.6
110.3
Offensive rating
113.0
108.9
Defensive rating
108.4
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
11.2%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
36.3%
65.3%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 113.0Defence108.9 · 108.4Shooting52.6% · 51.6%3-point %36.5% · 36.3%Ball care14.5% · 11.2%Off. rebounds27.1% · 25.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HGolden State Warriors115-108
02/02/18HOklahoma City Thunder127-124
31/01/18ASan Antonio Spurs104-106
30/01/18HBoston Celtics110-111
28/01/18HDallas Mavericks91-89
26/01/18HNew York Knicks130-118
23/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers104-101
20/01/18HPhoenix Suns100-108
18/01/18ALos Angeles Clippers104-109
17/01/18HDallas Mavericks105-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18APhoenix Suns115-110
03/02/18HIndiana Pacers133-126
01/02/18AAtlanta Hawks123-110
30/01/18AIndiana Pacers96-105
28/01/18AMiami Heat91-95
27/01/18HAtlanta Hawks121-110
25/01/18HNew Orleans Pelicans96-101
23/01/18HSacramento Kings112-107
21/01/18HMiami Heat105-106
18/01/18HWashington Wizards133-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532825
Win %53%75%28%
Points / game106.7109.9103.2
Allowed / game106.0103.8108.5
Point differential+0.8+6.1-5.2
Avg total212.7213.6211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%32%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (9)20% (5)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLWLWW52%
AwayWLLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522923
Win %44%52%35%
Points / game106.4107.3105.3
Allowed / game106.1106.0106.3
Point differential+0.3+1.4-1.0
Avg total212.5213.3211.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)50% (8)22% (9)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors53411277%115.6107.7+7.8
2 Houston Rockets51381375%114.0105.7+8.2
3 Boston Celtics54391572%103.298.4+4.8
4 Toronto Raptors52361669%111.4103.8+7.5
5 San Antonio Spurs55342162%100.998.0+2.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%109.0105.7+3.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%109.2109.5-0.4
8 Washington Wizards53312258%107.5105.4+2.1
9 Milwaukee Bucks52292356%104.7104.9-0.2
10 Oklahoma City Thunder54302456%106.3102.8+3.5
11 Indiana Pacers55302555%106.7105.6+1.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers54292554%104.5103.6+0.9
13 Miami Heat54292554%100.4101.3-0.8
14 Denver Nuggets53282553%106.7106.0+0.8
15 New Orleans Pelicans53282553%110.7111.1-0.4
16 Los Angeles Clippers51262551%107.7107.2+0.5
17 Philadelphia 76ers50252550%107.5106.5+0.9
18 Detroit Pistons52262650%103.1102.9+0.2
19 Utah Jazz53252847%103.4102.3+1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets52232944%106.4106.1+0.3
21 New York Knicks54233143%104.1105.5-1.4
22 Los Angeles Lakers52213140%106.6110.0-3.4
23 Brooklyn Nets54193535%104.9108.7-3.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies52183435%99.6102.5-2.9
25 Chicago Bulls52183435%103.6109.3-5.8
26 Phoenix Suns54183633%104.9112.2-7.3
27 Dallas Mavericks53173632%101.5103.6-2.1
28 Orlando Magic52163631%105.6110.4-4.8
29 Sacramento Kings52163631%98.3106.7-8.4
30 Atlanta Hawks53163730%103.7108.3-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets36273424121
Charlotte Hornets25372220104
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