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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game117.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game114.7
USANBA· Rocket Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Denver Nuggets
09 Jan 2027
CLE v DEN
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
CLE113
DEN108
05 Dec 2024
CLE126
DEN114
19 Nov 2023
CLE121
DEN109
23 Feb 2023
CLE109
DEN115
18 Mar 2022
CLE119
DEN116
19 Feb 2021
CLE103
DEN120
07 Mar 2020
CLE104
DEN102
01 Nov 2018
CLE91
DEN110
03 Mar 2018
CLE117
DEN126
11 Feb 2017
CLE125
DEN109
21 Mar 2016
CLE124
DEN91
17 Nov 2014
CLE97
DEN106
04 Dec 2013
CLE98
DEN88
09 Feb 2013
CLE103
DEN111
28 Jan 2011
CLE103
DEN117
18 Feb 2010
CLE116
DEN118
13 Nov 2008
CLE110
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
108-121
108
121
-13
96avg 108
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
93-130
93
130
-37
82avg 108
H26/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#1
L
106-114
106
114
-8
88avg 108
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
125-121
125
121
+4
117avg 108
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
103avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
W
121-111
121
111
+10
101avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 108
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 108
A05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
27-23
28-31
26-30
26-38
23-30
22-30
22-32
35-18
34-27
21-37
16-32
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
234.3Avg total
115.5Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)119.2117.1236.4+2.150%
Season at home (4)121.2118.5239.8+2.875%
Season away (4)117.2115.8233.0+1.525%
Last 10 (10)115.5118.8234.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)119.2115.4234.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)107.2112.7219.9-5.442%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.4113.6226.0-1.343%
vs Weaker (4)133.2118.8252.0+14.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 111
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
123avg 111
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 111
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 111
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 111
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 111
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#25
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#2
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
226.5Avg total
112.7Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)115.4114.7230.1+0.757%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (3)105.0102.3207.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)112.7113.8226.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)116.6114.4231.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)118.5112.5231.0+6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)117.6115.4233.0+2.161%
vs Weaker (10)129.3117.8247.1+11.590%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
Cleveland CavaliersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H26/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#1
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#19
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#28
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
112.4Avg total
55.7Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.655.6110.3-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.758.3115.1-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)52.552.9105.5-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)55.756.7112.4-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.0109.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.855.4107.2-3.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.156.1109.2-2.921%-
vs Weaker (4)68.254.8123.0+13.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#16
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#25
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#2
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#15
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
115.5Avg total
58.3Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.9118.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)61.860.3122.1+1.544%-
Last 30 away (12)57.256.8114.0+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)58.357.2115.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)62.859.4122.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.554.5117.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)57.058.3115.3-1.344%-
vs Weaker (10)64.860.8125.6+4.050%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
34.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
76.4%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.128.5
54.7%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.2
31.8%
34.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws29.223.6
80.8%
76.4%23.6
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LLWLWWWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLLWL
#17
League position
#12
-6.4
Net rating
-3.3
104.8
Offensive rating
107.0
111.2
Defensive rating
110.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
12.4%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
14.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.2%
3-point %
31.8%
61.3%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 107.0Defence111.2 · 110.3Shooting52.2% · 52.0%3-point %33.2% · 31.8%Ball care16.0% · 12.4%Off. rebounds19.9% · 14.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121
22/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
26/05/26HNew York Knicks93-130
24/05/26HNew York Knicks108-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
28/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves125-113
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game119.2121.2117.2
Allowed / game117.1118.5115.8
Point differential+2.1+2.8+1.5
Avg total236.4239.8233.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game115.4123.2105.0
Allowed / game114.7124.0102.3
Point differential+0.7-0.8+2.7
Avg total230.1247.2207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers98189%111.0105.2+5.8
2 Portland Trail Blazers76186%121.9110.7+11.1
3 Houston Rockets97278%117.9107.6+10.3
4 Los Angeles Lakers97278%121.8113.9+7.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies86275%120.5109.8+10.8
6 Detroit Pistons86275%111.1101.8+9.4
7 San Antonio Spurs86275%116.9108.6+8.2
8 Boston Celtics86275%114.2108.2+6.0
9 Oklahoma City Thunder86275%110.0108.8+1.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves96367%118.8107.6+11.2
11 Golden State Warriors85362%117.5114.6+2.9
12 Denver Nuggets74357%115.4114.7+0.7
13 Atlanta Hawks95456%115.8113.0+2.8
14 New York Knicks84450%110.0105.1+4.9
15 Toronto Raptors84450%117.9113.5+4.4
16 New Orleans Pelicans84450%121.6119.2+2.4
17 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%119.2117.1+2.1
18 Dallas Mavericks84450%112.1112.2-0.1
19 Washington Wizards84450%108.9109.0-0.1
20 Miami Heat83538%118.0122.9-4.9
21 Indiana Pacers93633%111.2114.2-3.0
22 Charlotte Hornets93633%98.1109.2-11.1
23 Orlando Magic72529%105.7114.7-9.0
24 Brooklyn Nets82625%106.6112.9-6.2
25 Phoenix Suns61517%113.3124.3-11.0
26 Los Angeles Clippers81712%109.1115.6-6.5
27 Utah Jazz81712%107.8119.0-11.2
28 Milwaukee Bucks81712%110.0122.2-12.2
29 Sacramento Kings81712%109.2123.2-14.0
30 Chicago Bulls81712%111.6129.6-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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