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Crvena zvezda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-72
22-14 23-27 22-17 24-14
Position#5
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game86.0
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Mornar Bar
Position#17
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game51.0
Allowed / game98.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 2· Beogradska arena
Domestic2024
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2024
CZV91
MBA72
20 Nov 2023
CZV95
MBA75
10 Dec 2022
CZV93
MBA77
30 Jan 2022
CZV81
MBA74
18 Oct 2020
CZV93
MBA62
17 Nov 2018
CZV104
MBA71
02 Apr 2018
CZV88
MBA69
18 Mar 2018
CZV91
MBA63
01 Oct 2017
CZV88
MBA77
30 Jan 2017
CZV82
MBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 81
H15/05
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
88avg 81
A19/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
82avg 81
H24/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
98-75
98
75
+23
86avg 81
A27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
70avg 81
H03/06
Super League
Partizan
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A05/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A12/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
A13/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H14/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 81
A22/09
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-19
23-19
19-16
20-18
22-20
17-14
23-24
27-13
18-29
25-23
27-22
24-13
26-17
22-28
26-17
31-24
20-28
26-21
12-15
–
–
–
–
11-23
25-23
26-26
30-22
23-16
22-27
20-16
21-17
16-20
23-13
11-23
20-27
16-28
25-22
22-16
21-20
153.6Avg total
79.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)79.873.8153.6+6.070%
Last 5 (5)70.467.8138.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.691.2174.8-7.60%
vs Similar (9)78.483.6162.0-5.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.170.3158.4+17.894%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-102
66
102
-36
44avg 64
H03/03
ABA League
Split
#8
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 64
A08/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 64
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
89-105
89
105
-16
79avg 64
A23/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
68avg 64
H30/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
94-111
94
111
-17
83avg 64
A06/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
L
79-104
79
104
-25
no box
A07/05
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
77-104
77
104
-27
no box
H10/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#3
L
51-98
51
98
-47
31avg 64
H21/09
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-30
21-15
38-30
23-21
13-26
14-31
16-24
19-24
24-26
11-17
21-20
20-17
19-17
18-28
29-22
28-30
18-17
15-28
28-30
27-23
30-20
9-20
14-15
25-28
26-22
27-28
16-33
24-26
17-34
16-20
22-24
13-27
19-25
22-35
23-17
20-24
8-26
10-25
13-23
175.6Avg total
78.9Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)51.098.0149.0-47.00%
Season at home (1)51.098.0149.0-47.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.996.7175.6-17.820%
Last 5 (5)76.299.0175.2-22.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)77.391.4168.7-14.219%
vs Similar (2)79.081.0160.0-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Crvena zvezdaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/05
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H24/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A27/05
Super League
Partizan
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H03/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A22/09
ABA League
84.3Avg total
43.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.539.282.7+4.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.383.5+4.953%-
Last 30 away (14)42.839.181.9+3.664%-
Last 10 (9)43.041.384.3+1.756%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
vs Similar (9)39.040.179.1-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.337.384.6+9.980%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/03
ABA League
Split
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A08/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H30/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A06/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A07/05
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H10/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H21/09
ABA League
88.8Avg total
40.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.345.185.4-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.043.884.8-2.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.646.686.2-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.648.288.8-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.851.092.8-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.745.085.7-4.437%-
vs Similar (2)39.544.083.5-4.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.017.9
61.7%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.817.7
77.6%
75.6%17.7
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.6
47.4%
54.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
75.6%14.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LLWLWWWWWW
Mornar Bar
LLLLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#17
+15.9
Net rating
-18.7
121.8
Offensive rating
102.2
105.9
Defensive rating
120.8
58.9%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.1%
3-point %
34.5%
72.3%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence121.8 · 102.2Defence105.9 · 120.8Shooting58.9% · 49.3%3-point %37.1% · 34.5%Ball care14.4% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 21.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Crvena zvezda wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda66-102
20/11/23Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar95-75
20/04/23Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda65-87
10/12/22Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-77
30/01/22Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar81-74
24/10/21Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda69-77
24/01/21Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda78-86
18/10/20Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar93-62
09/02/19Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda57-90
17/11/18Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar104-71
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24ADubai84-86
14/09/24HZenit Petersburg70-83
13/09/24ALokomotiv Kuban86-76
12/09/24ACSKA Moscow92-94
05/06/24APartizan20-0
03/06/24HPartizan89-88
27/05/24AFMP Beograd98-75
24/05/24HFMP Beograd97-87
19/05/24APartizan82-76
15/05/24HPartizan80-73
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24HBuducnost51-98
10/05/24HTivat77-104
07/05/24ATivat79-104
06/04/24AFMP Beograd94-111
30/03/24HBorac Mozzart80-78
23/03/24ACedevita Olimpija89-105
15/03/24HIgokea86-84
08/03/24ASplit75-87
03/03/24HCrvena zvezda66-102
13/02/24APodgorica92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game84.0-84.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game51.051.0-
Allowed / game98.098.0-
Point differential-47.0-47.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%98.051.0+47.0
2 Partizan110100%96.066.0+30.0
3 FMP Beograd110100%75.062.0+13.0
4 Mega Basket110100%80.070.0+10.0
5 Studentski Centar110100%84.076.0+8.0
6 Igokea220100%79.075.0+4.0
7 Dubai110100%86.084.0+2.0
8 Zadar21150%81.574.0+7.5
9 Crvena zvezda1010%84.086.0-2.0
10 Split1010%74.079.0-5.0
11 Spartak Subotica1010%76.084.0-8.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1010%70.080.0-10.0
13 Cedevita Olimpija1010%62.075.0-13.0
14 Cibona1010%69.087.0-18.0
15 Borac Mozzart1010%66.096.0-30.0
16 Mornar Bar1010%51.098.0-47.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2223222491
Mornar Bar1427171472
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