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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-93
20-28 32-16 30-25 30-24
Position#4
Record18-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game101.4
vs
Position#6
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
14 Jul 2018
BOS74
MIA72
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
14 Jul 2015
BOS101
MIA69
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
05 Jul 2014
BOS85
MIA77
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
140-133
140
133
+7
H14/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
103-102
103
102
+1
H26/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
121-110
121
110
+11
H28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
113-104
113
104
+9
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-34
34-32
34-30
38-37
23-32
29-19
24-20
29-29
18-30
28-20
29-21
24-29
26-22
31-20
23-23
19-20
21-22
21-18
33-29
22-28
13-27
21-18
23-25
35-26
19-22
34-24
22-29
28-27
30-23
27-40
34-23
30-24
24-31
31-27
26-29
26-25
31-30
27-28
23-27
32-19
213.2Avg total
108.3Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)110.7101.4212.2+9.378%
Season at home (9)115.2104.7219.9+10.6100%
Season away (14)107.999.4207.2+8.564%
Last 10 (10)108.3104.9213.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)107.2104.8212.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)96.0114.5210.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)112.0106.0218.0+6.075%
vs Weaker (24)107.596.9204.4+10.679%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
109-94
109
94
+15
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-100
124
100
+24
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
116-108
116
108
+8
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
86-113
86
113
-27
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
117-100
117
100
+17
H26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
108-117
108
117
-9
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
122-105
122
105
+17
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
109-106
109
106
+3
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
121-110 OT
121
110
+11
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
34-22
26-30
14-23
29-22
25-27
24-16
31-29
32-22
43-26
24-29
25-23
34-16
33-27
18-24
31-41
13-28
22-27
24-37
27-21
36-31
33-27
29-24
19-18
23-27
19-39
26-25
40-26
41-21
30-37
24-21
27-26
32-30
26-35
25-16
26-25
32-23
26-30
25-28
25-27
217.0Avg total
112.0Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)112.5104.8217.2+7.776%
Season at home (11)119.1102.3221.4+16.891%
Season away (14)107.3106.7214.0+0.664%
Last 10 (10)112.0105.0217.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)115.4107.6223.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)131.0126.0257.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)106.0107.4213.4-1.436%
vs Weaker (18)110.896.6207.3+14.294%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H14/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H26/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A01/12
NBA
104.1Avg total
52.2Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.148.6100.7+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.251.0104.2+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)51.346.898.1+4.559%-
Last 10 (10)52.251.9104.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.454.0105.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.049.593.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)47.050.297.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (24)53.748.2101.9+5.458%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-44
68
44
+24
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
75-48
75
48
+27
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A01/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A04/12
NBA
113.6Avg total
59.7Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.750.6107.3+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.550.0111.5+11.577%-
Last 30 away (17)53.051.1104.1+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)59.753.9113.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)59.660.0119.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.070.0123.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.753.5106.2-0.745%-
vs Weaker (18)59.347.8107.1+11.583%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.628.0
49.5%
52.3%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.4
33.0%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.018.1
82.3%
77.2%18.1
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.427.3
54.2%
52.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.7
39.6%
35.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws24.219.3
79.8%
77.2%19.3
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWWLLWLWW
Miami Heat
WWWLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#6
+3.3
Net rating
+7.0
106.6
Offensive rating
111.2
103.3
Defensive rating
104.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.0%
3-point %
39.6%
59.6%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 111.2Defence103.3 · 104.3Shooting49.5% · 56.2%3-point %33.0% · 39.6%Ball care13.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19ANew York Knicks113-104
29/11/19ABrooklyn Nets107-112
28/11/19HBrooklyn Nets121-110
26/11/19HSacramento Kings103-102
23/11/19ADenver Nuggets92-96
21/11/19ALos Angeles Clippers104-107 OT
19/11/19APhoenix Suns99-85
17/11/19ASacramento Kings99-100
16/11/19AGolden State Warriors105-100
14/11/19HWashington Wizards140-133
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/19AToronto Raptors121-110 OT
01/12/19ABrooklyn Nets109-106
30/11/19HGolden State Warriors122-105
28/11/19AHouston Rockets108-117
26/11/19HCharlotte Hornets117-100
24/11/19APhiladelphia 76ers86-113
23/11/19AChicago Bulls116-108
21/11/19HCleveland Cavaliers124-100
17/11/19HNew Orleans Pelicans109-94
14/11/19ACleveland Cavaliers108-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %78%100%64%
Points / game110.7115.2107.9
Allowed / game101.4104.799.4
Point differential+9.3+10.6+8.5
Avg total212.2219.9207.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %76%91%64%
Points / game112.5119.1107.3
Allowed / game104.8102.3106.7
Point differential+7.7+16.8+0.6
Avg total217.2221.4214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%82%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks2724389%121.1107.6+13.5
2 Boston Celtics2318578%110.7101.4+9.3
3 Los Angeles Lakers2721678%110.9103.6+7.2
4 Denver Nuggets2217577%106.5101.2+5.3
5 Miami Heat2519676%112.5104.8+7.7
6 Philadelphia 76ers2518772%108.2102.3+5.9
7 Toronto Raptors2417771%113.4106.6+6.8
8 Indiana Pacers2416867%111.6105.6+6.0
9 Dallas Mavericks2516964%115.9108.0+7.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers2516964%112.6107.7+4.9
11 Houston Rockets2516964%121.3116.5+4.8
12 Brooklyn Nets23121152%111.1112.3-1.2
13 Orlando Magic27131448%102.9102.7+0.2
14 Utah Jazz25121348%107.5108.9-1.4
15 Minnesota Timberwolves23111248%113.2115.5-2.3
16 Phoenix Suns24111346%113.5112.5+0.9
17 Sacramento Kings23101343%106.6109.3-2.7
18 New Orleans Pelicans26111542%116.0118.7-2.7
19 Oklahoma City Thunder2291341%106.8108.8-2.0
20 Detroit Pistons27111641%108.1109.1-1.0
21 San Antonio Spurs27101737%110.6115.2-4.6
22 Portland Trail Blazers2591636%112.4115.1-2.6
23 Charlotte Hornets28101836%105.1111.6-6.5
24 Washington Wizards2381535%117.1119.4-2.3
25 Chicago Bulls2691735%106.7109.6-2.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies2371630%108.4116.7-8.3
27 Atlanta Hawks2662023%105.2116.1-10.8
28 Cleveland Cavaliers2351822%102.4113.1-10.7
29 Golden State Warriors2862221%106.1114.9-8.8
30 New York Knicks2552020%101.4110.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics20323030112
Miami Heat2816252493
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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