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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 108-95
33-26 20-19 32-19 23-31
Position#4
Record19-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game101.1
vs
Position#7
Record18-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game100.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
06 Oct 2024
BOS130
DEN104
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
103-102
103
102
+1
H26/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
121-110
121
110
+11
H28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
113-104
113
104
+9
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H05/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
29-19
24-20
29-29
18-30
28-20
29-21
24-29
26-22
31-20
23-23
19-20
21-22
21-18
33-29
22-28
13-27
21-18
23-25
35-26
19-22
34-24
22-29
28-27
30-23
27-40
34-23
30-24
24-31
31-27
26-29
26-25
31-30
27-28
23-27
32-19
20-28
32-16
30-25
30-24
206.4Avg total
105.5Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)110.8101.1211.9+9.779%
Season at home (10)114.9103.5218.4+11.4100%
Season away (14)107.999.4207.2+8.564%
Last 10 (10)105.5100.9206.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)111.2104.2215.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0116.0207.0-25.00%
vs Similar (5)112.0103.4215.4+8.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)107.596.9204.4+10.679%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
121-125
121
125
-4
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
131-114
131
114
+17
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
105-95
105
95
+10
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H23/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
H25/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
129-92
129
92
+37
A06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
20-38
35-35
32-27
28-35
21-26
30-18
22-14
28-32
44-17
36-31
23-34
27-22
27-29
28-22
23-22
27-13
18-21
25-23
26-35
28-28
24-29
27-20
37-27
25-23
39-24
22-22
31-35
27-17
30-23
18-27
15-23
24-28
25-32
27-24
20-21
33-27
34-18
31-30
31-17
213.3Avg total
110.9Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)107.5100.8208.3+6.778%
Season at home (12)107.1102.0209.1+5.175%
Season away (11)107.999.5207.4+8.582%
Last 10 (10)110.9102.4213.3+8.570%
Last 5 (5)111.0101.0212.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.488.8174.2-3.440%
vs Similar (21)106.5101.1207.7+5.471%
vs Weaker (4)116.8104.8221.5+12.075%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H26/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/12
NBA
100.3Avg total
50.6Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.248.5100.7+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.550.8104.2+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)51.346.898.1+4.559%-
Last 10 (10)50.649.7100.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.053.8108.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.052.091.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (5)48.049.097.0-1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)53.748.2101.9+5.458%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
72-49
72
49
+23
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H25/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A06/12
NBA
107.0Avg total
56.3Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.249.7101.9+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.250.1101.3+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)53.449.1102.5+4.250%-
Last 10 (10)56.350.7107.0+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.849.8107.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.239.882.0+2.460%-
vs Similar (21)53.451.7105.0+1.752%-
vs Weaker (4)58.551.5110.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.426.6
48.9%
52.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.4
32.6%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.318.1
81.2%
77.2%18.1
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.632.0
52.8%
52.3%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.3
35.8%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
77.2%13.0
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLWWLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#7
+4.6
Net rating
+8.4
105.4
Offensive rating
109.6
100.8
Defensive rating
101.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
12.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.6%
3-point %
35.8%
58.9%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 109.6Defence100.8 · 101.2Shooting48.9% · 53.1%3-point %32.6% · 35.8%Ball care13.9% · 12.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/19HMiami Heat112-93
01/12/19ANew York Knicks113-104
29/11/19ABrooklyn Nets107-112
28/11/19HBrooklyn Nets121-110
26/11/19HSacramento Kings103-102
23/11/19ADenver Nuggets92-96
21/11/19ALos Angeles Clippers104-107 OT
19/11/19APhoenix Suns99-85
17/11/19ASacramento Kings99-100
16/11/19AGolden State Warriors105-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/19ANew York Knicks129-92
04/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers96-105
30/11/19ASacramento Kings97-100 OT
27/11/19HWashington Wizards117-104
25/11/19HPhoenix Suns116-104
23/11/19HBoston Celtics96-92
21/11/19HHouston Rockets105-95
17/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
15/11/19HBrooklyn Nets101-93
13/11/19HAtlanta Hawks121-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %79%100%64%
Points / game110.8114.9107.9
Allowed / game101.1103.599.4
Point differential+9.7+11.4+8.5
Avg total211.9218.4207.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW78%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%75%82%
Points / game107.5107.1107.9
Allowed / game100.8102.099.5
Point differential+6.7+5.1+8.5
Avg total208.3209.1207.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks2724389%121.1107.6+13.5
2 Boston Celtics2419579%110.8101.1+9.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers2822679%111.2103.4+7.9
4 Denver Nuggets2318578%107.5100.8+6.7
5 Miami Heat2619773%111.7105.0+6.7
6 Philadelphia 76ers2618869%108.4102.9+5.5
7 Toronto Raptors2517868%113.2107.1+6.1
8 Dallas Mavericks2617965%116.1108.3+7.8
9 Indiana Pacers2617965%111.0105.5+5.5
10 Houston Rockets2617965%121.2116.2+5.0
11 Los Angeles Clippers2516964%112.6107.7+4.9
12 Brooklyn Nets25141156%111.9112.2-0.4
13 Orlando Magic28141450%102.5102.1+0.4
14 Phoenix Suns25121348%114.5113.3+1.2
15 Utah Jazz26121446%107.1109.4-2.3
16 Minnesota Timberwolves24111346%113.2115.8-2.5
17 Detroit Pistons28121643%108.1108.9-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings24101442%107.0110.0-3.0
19 New Orleans Pelicans27111641%116.6119.4-2.9
20 Oklahoma City Thunder2391439%106.5108.7-2.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers26101638%113.0115.1-2.1
22 Washington Wizards2491538%117.2119.1-2.0
23 Chicago Bulls27101737%106.7109.2-2.6
24 San Antonio Spurs27101737%110.6115.2-4.6
25 Charlotte Hornets29101934%105.0111.6-6.6
26 Memphis Grizzlies2471729%108.0116.2-8.2
27 Atlanta Hawks2762122%105.7116.6-10.9
28 Golden State Warriors2862221%106.1114.9-8.8
29 Cleveland Cavaliers2451921%101.8112.2-10.5
30 New York Knicks2652119%101.0110.7-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics33203223108
Denver Nuggets2619193195
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