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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 121-114
30-25 23-31 27-28 41-30
Position#12
Record14-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game109.2
vs
Position#28
Record10-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
103-106
103
106
-3
92avg 102
A15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
110-102
110
102
+8
105avg 102
H17/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
117-110
117
110
+7
112avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
142-94
142
94
+48
146avg 102
H21/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
143-101
143
101
+42
142avg 102
H23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
137-123
137
123
+14
125avg 102
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
99-114
99
114
-15
87avg 102
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
120-113
120
113
+7
110avg 102
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
114-100
114
100
+14
103avg 102
A01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
118-97
118
97
+21
111avg 102
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
30-31
34-29
16-19
32-22
21-38
25-17
32-25
36-22
23-27
34-30
24-31
44-16
30-22
30-26
38-30
29-26
37-16
45-29
32-30
45-29
33-31
27-35
32-28
27-34
19-28
31-31
22-21
31-25
22-25
36-39
31-24
25-30
34-32
35-17
20-21
24-24
35-29
25-22
34-22
226.3Avg total
120.3Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)117.8109.2226.9+8.670%
Season at home (10)115.7107.3223.0+8.460%
Season away (10)119.9111.0230.9+8.980%
Last 10 (10)120.3106.0226.3+14.380%
Last 5 (5)117.6109.4227.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)118.098.7216.7+19.3100%
vs Similar (14)112.0113.4225.4-1.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.8107.6228.5+13.277%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
120-114
120
114
+6
114avg 104
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
129-114
129
114
+15
123avg 104
H14/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
116-137
116
137
-21
107avg 104
H16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
105-125
105
125
-20
99avg 104
H17/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
112-102
112
102
+10
106avg 104
A19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
77avg 104
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
98-100
98
100
-2
93avg 104
H23/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
125-113
125
113
+12
118avg 104
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 104
A28/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
107-115
107
115
-8
101avg 104
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
25-25
26-30
28-33
26-24
40-35
40-36
23-19
30-39
43-37
19-26
24-35
30-31
32-33
23-29
20-32
36-32
23-24
17-22
36-24
19-26
27-22
22-25
27-30
23-30
22-22
28-30
25-18
38-30
16-34
39-26
32-23
22-24
35-23
24-31
32-23
21-25
26-23
32-38
28-29
224.4Avg total
112.0Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)113.7114.4228.1-0.753%
Season at home (10)109.5115.6225.1-6.130%
Season away (9)118.3113.1231.4+5.278%
Last 10 (10)112.0112.4224.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)107.6106.4214.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.7115.8223.5-8.121%
vs Similar (15)117.3114.4231.7+2.967%
vs Weaker (1)125.0119.0244.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H17/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
74-38
74
38
+36
H21/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A04/12
NBA
113.4Avg total
60.0Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.954.3114.2+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.252.5112.7+7.760%-
Last 30 away (15)59.656.1115.7+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)60.053.4113.4+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)59.057.4116.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.750.7117.3+16.0100%-
vs Similar (14)55.456.9112.3-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)63.252.4115.5+10.877%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H14/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H17/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H23/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A28/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
NBA
114.0Avg total
57.5Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.859.9116.7-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.462.6118.9-6.212%-
Last 30 away (13)57.556.4113.8+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)57.556.5114.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)49.851.8101.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)53.460.4113.8-6.914%-
vs Similar (15)59.859.4119.2+0.440%-
vs Weaker (1)60.061.0121.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.326.1
54.0%
52.3%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.415.7
37.9%
35.7%47.1
🏀 Free throws26.521.0
79.2%
77.2%21.0
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.326.2
52.1%
52.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.3
35.1%
35.7%39.9
🏀 Free throws26.019.7
75.8%
77.2%19.7
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLWWWWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLLWLLWW
#12
League position
#28
+14.0
Net rating
-0.4
118.1
Offensive rating
107.1
104.1
Defensive rating
107.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
11.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.9%
3-point %
35.1%
59.1%
Assist %
60.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 107.1Defence104.1 · 107.5Shooting55.4% · 52.3%3-point %37.9% · 35.1%Ball care11.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds23.8% · 22.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans118-97
01/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers114-100
30/11/19APhoenix Suns120-113
27/11/19HLos Angeles Clippers99-114
24/11/19AHouston Rockets137-123
23/11/19HCleveland Cavaliers143-101
21/11/19HGolden State Warriors142-94
19/11/19HSan Antonio Spurs117-110
17/11/19HToronto Raptors110-102
15/11/19ANew York Knicks103-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies107-115
28/11/19ASan Antonio Spurs113-101
26/11/19AAtlanta Hawks125-113
23/11/19HPhoenix Suns98-100
21/11/19HUtah Jazz95-103
19/11/19AUtah Jazz112-102
17/11/19HHouston Rockets105-125
16/11/19HWashington Wizards116-137
14/11/19HSan Antonio Spurs129-114
12/11/19ADetroit Pistons120-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game117.8115.7119.9
Allowed / game109.2107.3111.0
Point differential+8.7+8.4+8.9
Avg total226.9223.0230.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%30%78%
Points / game113.7109.5118.3
Allowed / game114.4115.6113.1
Point differential-0.7-6.1+5.2
Avg total228.1225.1231.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%10%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %16%20%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks2219386%121.1108.2+12.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers2118386%111.9103.7+8.2
3 Toronto Raptors2015575%113.1105.0+8.1
4 Boston Celtics2015575%110.8103.9+6.9
5 Los Angeles Clippers2216673%115.5107.8+7.7
6 Denver Nuggets1813572%106.1101.9+4.2
7 Miami Heat2115671%111.0105.7+5.3
8 Philadelphia 76ers2115671%108.6103.7+4.9
9 Dallas Mavericks2014670%117.8109.2+8.7
10 Indiana Pacers2114767%109.9104.4+5.5
11 Houston Rockets2013765%120.9115.5+5.4
12 Utah Jazz2112957%106.1105.1+1.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves1910953%113.7114.4-0.7
14 Brooklyn Nets21111052%113.0113.9-0.8
15 Orlando Magic21101148%103.5103.4+0.1
16 Phoenix Suns2091145%114.4113.2+1.1
17 Sacramento Kings1981142%104.3107.8-3.5
18 Oklahoma City Thunder2081240%107.1108.2-1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets2391439%105.4112.8-7.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers2181338%112.8114.8-2.0
21 Detroit Pistons2281436%108.8108.8-0.0
22 Chicago Bulls2281436%106.4109.6-3.2
23 San Antonio Spurs2281436%112.0116.0-4.0
24 Washington Wizards1961332%118.9122.9-4.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans2161529%113.7118.8-5.1
26 Memphis Grizzlies2161529%108.5116.5-8.0
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2051525%104.2112.8-8.7
28 Atlanta Hawks2251723%108.0117.8-9.7
29 New York Knicks2141719%100.9110.4-9.5
30 Golden State Warriors2341917%104.9114.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks30232741121
Minnesota Timberwolves25312830114
← all games of the day
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