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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 96-92
27-13 18-21 25-23 26-35
Position#9
Record10-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game102.3
vs
Position#5
Record11-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game104.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
106-109
106
109
-3
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
109-89
109
89
+20
112avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
93avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
89avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
121-125
121
125
-4
107avg 104
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
101-93
101
93
+8
95avg 104
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
131-114
131
114
+17
130avg 104
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 104
H21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
30-33
27-23
18-26
30-32
22-24
23-30
32-36
17-26
23-19
29-18
22-24
29-28
29-20
31-21
20-20
18-24
24-33
23-27
35-13
27-27
22-24
27-13
14-26
34-25
20-38
35-35
32-27
28-35
21-26
30-18
22-14
28-32
44-17
36-31
23-34
27-22
27-29
28-22
23-22
210.0Avg total
107.1Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)106.8102.3209.1+4.577%
Season at home (7)107.1102.1209.3+5.071%
Season away (6)106.3102.5208.8+3.883%
Last 10 (10)107.1102.9210.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)111.6105.0216.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (27)107.8105.3213.1+2.659%
vs Weaker (3)106.7106.0212.7+0.767%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
W
104-102
104
102
+2
101avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
119-113
119
113
+6
108avg 106
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
108-87
108
87
+21
103avg 106
A08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
135-115
135
115
+20
128avg 106
A09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
116-106
116
106
+10
110avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
140-133
140
133
+7
136avg 106
H14/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 106
A16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
99-100
99
100
-1
95avg 106
A17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
99-85
99
85
+14
91avg 106
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
91avg 106
A21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
27-27
26-24
29-28
32-24
29-28
28-31
30-30
30-20
22-23
33-24
23-20
39-30
33-24
32-37
31-24
25-21
29-33
30-25
32-27
34-34
34-32
34-30
38-37
23-32
29-19
24-20
29-29
18-30
28-20
29-21
24-29
26-22
31-20
23-23
19-20
21-22
21-18
33-29
22-28
217.7Avg total
112.9Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)112.0104.4216.4+7.679%
Season at home (5)117.6110.4228.0+7.2100%
Season away (9)108.9101.0209.9+7.967%
Last 10 (10)112.9104.8217.7+8.180%
Last 5 (5)109.4105.0214.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.4113.0217.4-8.620%
vs Similar (10)107.6100.0207.6+7.690%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)110.8105.3216.1+5.573%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
72-49
72
49
+23
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H21/11
NBA
107.2Avg total
53.1Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.253.1105.3-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.951.2102.1-0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)53.755.1108.9-1.414%-
Last 10 (10)53.154.1107.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)55.655.0110.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (27)52.352.9105.2-0.637%-
vs Weaker (3)51.354.7106.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A06/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H14/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A16/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A17/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A19/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/11
NBA
105.5Avg total
55.3Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.851.4104.2+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.852.4105.2+0.467%-
Last 30 away (18)52.850.7103.4+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)55.350.2105.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)53.049.8102.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.252.6102.8-2.460%-
vs Similar (10)50.551.3101.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)55.251.0106.2+4.260%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.331.4
50.4%
52.3%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.4
35.6%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
77.2%13.1
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.028.2
52.2%
52.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.412.5
35.3%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws22.718.8
82.8%
77.2%18.8
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWLL
Boston Celtics
LWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
+7.7
106.2
Offensive rating
109.8
102.0
Defensive rating
102.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.6%
3-point %
35.3%
65.6%
Assist %
63.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 109.8Defence102.0 · 102.1Shooting51.4% · 52.5%3-point %35.6% · 35.3%Ball care12.0% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.7% · 21.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/19HHouston Rockets105-95
17/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
15/11/19HBrooklyn Nets101-93
13/11/19HAtlanta Hawks121-125
10/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves100-98 OT
09/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers100-97
06/11/19HMiami Heat109-89
02/11/19AOrlando Magic91-87
01/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans107-122
30/10/19HDallas Mavericks106-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/19ALos Angeles Clippers104-107 OT
19/11/19APhoenix Suns99-85
17/11/19ASacramento Kings99-100
16/11/19AGolden State Warriors105-100
14/11/19HWashington Wizards140-133
12/11/19HDallas Mavericks116-106
09/11/19ASan Antonio Spurs135-115
08/11/19ACharlotte Hornets108-87
06/11/19ACleveland Cavaliers119-113
01/11/19HNew York Knicks104-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game106.8107.1106.3
Allowed / game102.3102.1102.5
Point differential+4.5+5.0+3.8
Avg total209.1209.3208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %15%14%17%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %79%100%67%
Points / game112.0117.6108.9
Allowed / game104.4110.4101.0
Point differential+7.6+7.2+7.9
Avg total216.4228.0209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1513287%112.1102.8+9.3
2 Milwaukee Bucks1512380%120.8111.5+9.3
3 Miami Heat1411379%112.4104.0+8.4
4 Boston Celtics1411379%112.0104.4+7.6
5 Denver Nuggets1310377%106.8102.3+4.5
6 Houston Rockets1511473%117.9113.1+4.7
7 Toronto Raptors1410471%113.3105.4+7.9
8 Dallas Mavericks1510567%117.9109.1+8.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers1510567%112.4106.4+6.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers1510567%110.1106.3+3.7
11 Utah Jazz149564%104.4100.6+3.7
12 Indiana Pacers148657%107.4103.1+4.4
13 Minnesota Timberwolves158753%114.5116.3-1.9
14 Phoenix Suns147750%115.4111.4+4.1
15 Brooklyn Nets157847%113.7115.3-1.6
16 Orlando Magic146843%101.9102.4-0.5
17 Sacramento Kings146843%105.0109.5-4.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans156940%116.2119.0-2.8
19 Washington Wizards135838%120.1120.8-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets1661038%105.8113.6-7.8
21 Memphis Grizzlies145936%109.0118.4-9.4
22 Oklahoma City Thunder1551033%107.1107.8-0.7
23 Detroit Pistons1551033%108.7111.4-2.7
24 Chicago Bulls1651131%107.4110.2-2.8
25 San Antonio Spurs1651131%112.9116.1-3.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers1651131%113.0116.7-3.7
27 New York Knicks1541127%101.9108.9-6.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers1541127%103.9112.1-8.2
29 Atlanta Hawks1541127%107.3117.6-10.3
30 Golden State Warriors1631319%108.2118.9-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2718252696
Boston Celtics1321233592
← all games of the day
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