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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 100-102
32-31 29-24 21-26 18-21
Position#1
Record32-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game110.7
Boston Celtics
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#3
Record28-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.3
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
134-101
134
101
+33
135avg 111
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
123-127
123
127
-4
120avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-97
126
97
+29
121avg 111
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
118-101
118
101
+17
116avg 111
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
131-133
131
133
-2
122avg 111
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
127-120 OT
127
120
+7
117avg 111
H11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
102-135
102
135
-33
81avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
145-113
145
113
+32
140avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
105-96
105
96
+9
100avg 111
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-98
117
98
+19
112avg 111
H18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
35-31
40-23
29-25
29-31
32-27
25-40
37-29
30-15
41-25
36-35
19-22
29-17
29-32
26-32
34-20
34-33
34-26
33-44
30-30
32-27
22-26
25-32
32-26
23-41
15-34
32-36
32-24
35-31
34-27
43-28
33-27
29-25
32-30
23-20
21-21
30-25
40-20
24-33
23-20
234.9Avg total
122.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)121.2110.7231.8+10.580%
Season at home (20)124.0108.4232.4+15.6100%
Season away (20)118.2112.9231.2+5.360%
Last 10 (10)122.8112.1234.9+10.770%
Last 5 (5)119.2112.4231.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.6111.7233.3+9.983%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
120-122
120
122
-2
110avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
131-114
131
114
+17
136avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
111-124
111
124
-13
103avg 110
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
125avg 110
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-109
117
109
+8
124avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
121-126
121
126
-5
113avg 110
A17/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
37-28
30-26
31-41
22-27
31-29
34-28
43-28
23-29
24-35
29-36
25-28
33-25
37-25
29-26
34-29
25-33
28-28
32-29
29-27
28-25
38-36
40-42
26-21
17-27
235.3Avg total
120.1Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)116.3111.4227.7+5.067%
Season at home (21)120.6110.6231.2+10.081%
Season away (21)112.0112.1224.1-0.052%
Last 10 (10)120.1115.2235.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)115.4116.1231.5-0.644%
vs Weaker (12)119.8108.7228.5+11.292%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
38-75
38
75
-37
A12/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H14/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A16/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H18/01
NBA
116.0Avg total
61.5Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.055.7118.7+7.483%-
Last 30 at home (15)65.154.9119.9+10.280%-
Last 30 away (15)61.056.5117.5+4.587%-
Last 10 (10)61.554.5116.0+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)58.457.2115.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)63.155.6118.7+7.583%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
D
78-78
78
78
+0
A17/01
NBA
120.3Avg total
62.1Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.857.2117.0+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.453.4113.7+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)59.460.6119.9-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)62.158.2120.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)64.462.8127.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)60.458.9119.4+1.556%-
vs Weaker (12)58.954.6113.5+4.367%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 122.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.225.8
52.4%
54.4%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.316.6
40.2%
36.3%49.8
🏀 Free throws26.521.4
80.8%
78.2%21.4
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.833.1
61.5%
54.4%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.2
38.5%
36.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
78.2%17.3
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWLWLWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+10.4
Net rating
+4.9
119.1
Offensive rating
121.1
108.7
Defensive rating
116.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
60.1%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
11.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.2%
3-point %
38.5%
58.7%
Assist %
66.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 121.1Defence108.7 · 116.1Shooting56.0% · 60.1%3-point %40.2% · 38.5%Ball care11.3% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.3% · 22.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
02/01/23Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics123-111
12/11/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets131-112
21/03/22Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics104-124
12/02/22Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-102
11/04/21Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics87-105
17/02/21Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets112-99
07/12/19Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets108-95
23/11/19Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics96-92
18/03/19Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets105-114
06/11/18Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics115-107
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HSan Antonio Spurs117-98
16/01/24AToronto Raptors105-96
14/01/24HHouston Rockets145-113
12/01/24AMilwaukee Bucks102-135
11/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves127-120 OT
09/01/24AIndiana Pacers131-133
07/01/24AIndiana Pacers118-101
06/01/24HUtah Jazz126-97
03/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder123-127
01/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs134-101
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24APhiladelphia 76ers121-126
14/01/24HIndiana Pacers117-109
13/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
11/01/24AUtah Jazz111-124
08/01/24HDetroit Pistons131-114
06/01/24HOrlando Magic120-122
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game121.2124.0118.2
Allowed / game110.7108.4112.9
Point differential+10.5+15.7+5.3
Avg total231.8232.4231.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %12%10%15%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %67%81%52%
Points / game116.3120.6112.0
Allowed / game111.4110.6112.1
Point differential+5.0+10.0-0.0
Avg total227.7231.2224.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4032880%121.2110.7+10.5
2 Minnesota Timberwolves41301173%113.5107.4+6.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks39271269%123.8120.1+3.7
4 Oklahoma City Thunder41281368%122.2114.1+8.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers40271368%120.0111.8+8.2
6 Denver Nuggets42281467%116.3111.4+5.0
7 Los Angeles Clippers40261465%117.6112.0+5.6
8 Cleveland Cavaliers39241562%113.6110.3+3.3
9 New York Knicks41251661%114.7110.0+4.8
10 New Orleans Pelicans40241660%117.3111.4+5.9
11 Miami Heat41241759%111.5110.9+0.7
12 Sacramento Kings40231757%118.3117.8+0.5
13 Dallas Mavericks42241857%118.5117.4+1.1
14 Indiana Pacers39221756%125.6123.8+1.8
15 Phoenix Suns39221756%116.3114.6+1.6
16 Orlando Magic42222052%111.9111.4+0.5
17 Utah Jazz43222151%117.1118.5-1.5
18 Houston Rockets40192148%112.2111.7+0.6
19 Los Angeles Lakers40192148%114.1116.3-2.2
20 Chicago Bulls43202347%110.2112.4-2.1
21 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks40172342%121.0123.0-2.0
23 Brooklyn Nets40162440%113.8115.6-1.8
24 Toronto Raptors42162638%115.0116.3-1.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies41152637%108.1113.3-5.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers40112928%107.2116.7-9.5
27 Charlotte Hornets3993023%108.8120.4-11.6
28 Washington Wizards4073318%115.4125.0-9.7
29 San Antonio Spurs4173417%112.1121.3-9.2
30 Detroit Pistons4143710%111.9122.6-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics32292118100
Denver Nuggets31242621102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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