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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Jul 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-73
18-19 13-12 23-18 24-24
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.5
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
17 Jul 2024
DAL79
MIA92
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
11 Jul 2017
DAL78
MIA73
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-105
109
105
+4
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
101-112
101
112
-11
A06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
111-124
111
124
-13
A09/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
91-109
91
109
-18
H12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
100-93
100
93
+7
A13/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
15-34
28-18
28-26
31-28
22-25
22-25
34-27
17-22
21-14
31-32
18-30
24-35
25-27
24-28
28-22
26-21
35-29
8-25
20-27
29-40
36-28
20-36
26-20
26-23
18-34
31-26
16-26
22-27
24-28
24-19
30-19
19-21
19-22
28-17
25-15
30-18
20-18
19-19
19-22
195.1Avg total
95.7Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.576.0165.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.799.4195.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)96.295.6191.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)93.8102.4196.2-8.733%
vs Similar (19)99.0101.8200.8-2.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)89.576.0165.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
105-88
105
88
+17
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
94-98
94
98
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
113-116
113
116
-3
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
124-121 OT
124
121
+3
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H13/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#24
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
25-19
28-27
28-20
29-33
26-26
20-18
19-21
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
27-23
25-28
34-22
26-26
19-26
24-27
22-17
29-26
28-29
24-23
26-22
28-29
24-37
32-23
24-31
28-17
23-27
33-23
35-27
19-25
12-20
24-25
23-18
16-11
16-20
28-24
23-20
24-23
200.8Avg total
102.4Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.080.5163.5+2.5100%
Season at home (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)91.087.0178.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)102.498.4200.8+4.070%
Last 5 (5)101.297.4198.6+3.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)106.9101.3208.2+5.571%
vs Weaker (9)103.4100.8204.2+2.744%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A09/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H12/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A13/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
99.3Avg total
47.8Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.052.3101.3-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.550.5102.1+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.554.0100.5-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)47.851.599.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)48.651.8100.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.756.0106.7-5.322%-
vs Similar (19)48.751.8100.6-3.137%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.039.583.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#24
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
102.4Avg total
50.1Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.551.6106.1+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.651.9107.5+3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)53.151.4104.5+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)50.152.3102.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)48.850.299.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)54.851.7106.5+3.157%-
vs Weaker (9)53.751.4105.1+2.233%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.924.3
49.7%
-48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.8
34.2%
-35.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.7
80.8%
-14.7
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.129.2
50.3%
-58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
-17.6
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jul 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLLLLWL
Miami Heat
WWWWWLWLLW
#1
League position
#6
-7.2
Net rating
+3.3
104.2
Offensive rating
108.9
111.3
Defensive rating
105.6
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.2%
3-point %
37.0%
62.9%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/17HPhoenix Suns88-77
08/07/17AChicago Bulls91-75
13/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies100-93
12/04/17HDenver Nuggets91-109
09/04/17APhoenix Suns111-124
08/04/17HSan Antonio Spurs89-102
06/04/17ALos Angeles Clippers101-112
05/04/17ASacramento Kings87-98
02/04/17AMilwaukee Bucks109-105
01/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies90-99
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/17AWashington Wizards91-87
09/07/17HSan Antonio Spurs75-74
13/04/17HWashington Wizards110-102
10/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers124-121 OT
08/04/17AWashington Wizards106-103
07/04/17AToronto Raptors94-96
05/04/17ACharlotte Hornets112-99
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
01/04/17HNew York Knicks94-98
29/03/17ANew York Knicks105-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.588.091.0
Allowed / game76.077.075.0
Point differential+13.5+11.0+16.0
Avg total165.5165.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.075.091.0
Allowed / game80.574.087.0
Point differential+2.5+1.0+4.0
Avg total163.5149.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers330100%89.372.3+17.0
2 Dallas Mavericks220100%89.576.0+13.5
3 Los Angeles Clippers330100%94.084.3+9.7
4 Toronto Raptors330100%91.782.0+9.7
5 Boston Celtics330100%81.376.0+5.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies330100%85.381.3+4.0
7 Miami Heat220100%83.080.5+2.5
8 Brooklyn Nets32167%84.375.3+9.0
9 Atlanta Hawks32167%77.070.7+6.3
10 San Antonio Spurs32167%91.385.0+6.3
11 Houston Rockets32167%97.096.0+1.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%81.084.0-3.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers31233%89.791.3-1.7
14 Philadelphia 76ers31233%91.094.0-3.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers31233%73.777.3-3.7
16 Phoenix Suns31233%86.790.7-4.0
17 Chicago Bulls31233%70.779.7-9.0
18 Milwaukee Bucks31233%78.088.3-10.3
19 Sacramento Kings3030%84.088.3-4.3
20 Washington Wizards3030%82.788.0-5.3
21 Denver Nuggets3030%83.791.3-7.7
22 Golden State Warriors2020%83.593.0-9.5
23 Utah Jazz3030%70.380.7-10.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans3030%80.391.7-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks1813232478
Miami Heat1912182473
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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