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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-128
33-30 22-26 18-32 35-40
Position#25
Record11-35
FormWLWLL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game117.2
vs
Position#9
Record24-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
112-128
112
128
-16
99avg 99
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
99-118
99
118
-19
83avg 99
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
102-135
102
135
-33
89avg 99
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
135-105
135
105
+30
127avg 99
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
121-125
121
125
-4
119avg 99
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
114-112
114
112
+2
113avg 99
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
121-137
121
137
-16
111avg 99
A17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
123-119
123
119
+4
106avg 99
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 99
A20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
103-112
103
112
-9
90avg 99
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
23-27
29-44
31-30
26-30
22-23
28-33
23-32
33-36
23-26
20-36
26-37
27-34
40-26
38-22
30-23
24-33
33-33
37-27
27-32
24-20
23-29
29-23
38-40
30-31
40-40
24-31
27-35
25-25
28-33
30-33
40-28
29-34
25-30
24-19
23-30
22-25
28-32
26-26
27-29
233.5Avg total
113.1Scored
120.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)109.6117.2226.8-7.624%
Season at home (22)106.5114.3220.8-7.723%
Season away (24)112.4119.9232.3-7.525%
Last 10 (10)113.1120.4233.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)112.4118.6231.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)111.7118.6230.3-7.024%
vs Similar (6)107.2116.3223.5-9.217%
vs Weaker (3)109.0111.7220.7-2.733%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
115-98
115
98
+17
104avg 105
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
130-124
130
124
+6
128avg 105
A02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
87-78
87
78
+9
79avg 105
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
115-104
115
104
+11
119avg 105
H11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
108-116
108
116
-8
93avg 105
A12/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
116-103
116
103
+13
114avg 105
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
99-109
99
109
-10
92avg 105
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
105-89
105
89
+16
96avg 105
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
119-125
119
125
-6
116avg 105
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
132-92
132
92
+40
132avg 105
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-26
30-38
26-18
21-16
29-33
32-25
34-28
35-38
25-23
24-19
26-19
12-17
27-32
25-27
35-27
28-18
19-35
28-27
27-27
34-27
28-29
34-22
31-22
23-30
23-31
27-24
28-30
21-24
24-29
32-22
21-20
28-18
33-37
27-27
38-29
21-32
27-30
38-24
38-15
29-23
216.4Avg total
112.6Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)112.8111.4224.1+1.455%
Season at home (21)111.4112.5224.0-1.152%
Season away (23)114.0110.3224.3+3.757%
Last 10 (10)112.6103.8216.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)114.2103.6217.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.7115.7216.3-15.00%
vs Similar (20)114.7113.0227.7+1.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)113.9113.4227.3+0.471%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H23/03
NBA
114.8Avg total
55.4Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.760.6115.3-5.913%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.657.3109.9-4.715%-
Last 30 away (17)56.363.2119.5-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)55.459.4114.8-4.010%-
Last 5 (5)54.859.8114.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.661.0115.6-6.414%-
vs Similar (6)55.257.2112.3-2.017%-
vs Weaker (3)54.365.0119.3-10.70%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A12/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H18/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A22/03
NBA
113.0Avg total
57.0Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.558.3115.8-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.557.8116.2+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)56.358.9115.2-2.646%-
Last 10 (10)57.056.0113.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.0113.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.363.0108.3-17.70%-
vs Similar (20)59.158.0117.1+1.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)58.157.1115.3+1.057%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.529.3
54.8%
52.8%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.9
33.3%
36.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.018.8
75.2%
77.7%18.8
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.926.0
59.2%
52.8%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.615.5
39.1%
36.6%46.5
🏀 Free throws17.714.1
79.7%
77.7%14.1
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWLWLLL
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLWLWWWW
#25
League position
#9
-6.9
Net rating
+9.2
107.4
Offensive rating
117.8
114.3
Defensive rating
108.6
52.9%
Effective FG%
59.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
11.6%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
18.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.3%
3-point %
39.1%
58.3%
Assist %
55.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 117.8Defence114.3 · 108.6Shooting52.9% · 59.0%3-point %33.3% · 39.1%Ball care14.1% · 11.6%Off. rebounds21.9% · 18.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/21HOklahoma City Thunder103-112
20/03/21APhoenix Suns101-113
19/03/21APhoenix Suns123-119
17/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers121-137
15/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers114-112
14/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers121-125
12/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans135-105
04/03/21HCharlotte Hornets102-135
01/03/21HPhoenix Suns99-118
28/02/21AWashington Wizards112-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/21APortland Trail Blazers132-92
20/03/21APortland Trail Blazers119-125
18/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers105-89
16/03/21HLos Angeles Clippers99-109
14/03/21ADenver Nuggets116-103
12/03/21AOklahoma City Thunder108-116
11/03/21HSan Antonio Spurs115-104
04/03/21HOklahoma City Thunder87-78
02/03/21AOrlando Magic130-124
28/02/21ABrooklyn Nets115-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL24%
HomeLLLWL23%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %24%23%25%
Points / game109.6106.5112.4
Allowed / game117.2114.3119.9
Point differential-7.6-7.7-7.5
Avg total226.8220.8232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)29% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWWLW52%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %55%52%57%
Points / game112.8111.4114.0
Allowed / game111.4112.5110.3
Point differential+1.4-1.1+3.7
Avg total224.1224.0224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%29%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz45341176%116.9108.0+8.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers46331372%114.8109.2+5.6
3 Brooklyn Nets46321470%119.9114.5+5.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers48321667%111.5106.3+5.2
5 Milwaukee Bucks46291763%119.3113.3+6.0
6 Phoenix Suns46291763%113.2107.9+5.2
7 Denver Nuggets47281960%115.9110.2+5.7
8 Los Angeles Clippers47281960%113.7109.6+4.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers47262155%113.7115.9-2.2
10 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.8111.4+1.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies44232152%112.0110.7+1.3
12 New York Knicks48252352%104.9103.7+1.2
13 San Antonio Spurs43222151%109.6110.8-1.3
14 Atlanta Hawks47242351%112.6111.2+1.4
15 Golden State Warriors47242351%112.4112.6-0.2
16 Miami Heat46232350%106.1107.7-1.6
17 Chicago Bulls46222448%113.1113.2-0.1
18 Charlotte Hornets46222448%111.8113.2-1.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans45212447%115.8114.5+1.3
20 Boston Celtics46212546%111.4111.5-0.1
21 Indiana Pacers46202643%112.7113.1-0.5
22 Oklahoma City Thunder46202643%106.5112.0-5.4
23 Toronto Raptors47202743%112.3112.1+0.1
24 Sacramento Kings47202743%114.3118.9-4.6
25 Cleveland Cavaliers47182938%103.7111.5-7.8
26 Washington Wizards45162936%113.9119.2-5.3
27 Orlando Magic47163134%105.2111.8-6.5
28 Houston Rockets46153133%107.7112.5-4.8
29 Detroit Pistons47143330%106.1109.3-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves46113524%109.6117.2-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves33221835108
Dallas Mavericks30263240128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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