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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 120-122
37-28 30-26 31-41 22-27
Position#3
Record25-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#14
Record19-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game111.8
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 110
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 110
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
227.6Avg total
118.0Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)115.6110.2225.8+5.369%
Season at home (17)119.9109.7229.6+10.282%
Season away (19)111.6110.7222.4+0.958%
Last 10 (10)118.0109.6227.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)119.2111.6230.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.8114.2228.0-0.447%
vs Weaker (11)119.9106.1226.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
97-114
97
114
-17
80avg 104
A17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
106-115
106
115
-9
103avg 104
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
114-118
114
118
-4
101avg 104
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-110
117
110
+7
113avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
127-119
127
119
+8
119avg 104
A27/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
92-112
92
112
-20
81avg 104
H28/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
117-108
117
108
+9
108avg 104
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-112
107
112
-5
98avg 104
A01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
115-121
115
121
-6
99avg 104
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
135-138 OT
135
138
-3
130avg 104
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
19-34
24-22
23-31
24-25
26-43
22-21
34-26
31-28
25-31
26-32
32-27
36-27
37-32
20-33
24-18
33-33
30-27
35-28
29-31
25-26
21-26
29-32
17-28
26-29
29-15
31-30
31-34
24-37
34-30
29-22
20-23
28-30
27-25
26-32
34-34
30-27
25-40
34-24
29-27
229.4Avg total
112.7Scored
116.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)113.6111.8225.3+1.856%
Season at home (16)117.1107.8224.9+9.275%
Season away (18)110.4115.3225.7-4.839%
Last 10 (10)112.7116.7229.4-4.030%
Last 5 (5)113.2118.2231.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.0112.7219.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)111.9111.2223.1+0.853%
vs Weaker (10)121.4116.5237.9+4.970%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
112.7Avg total
58.2Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.2113.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.953.6111.5+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)57.658.4116.1-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)58.254.5112.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)57.053.6110.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.558.2115.7-0.753%-
vs Weaker (11)58.252.7110.9+5.564%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A22/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A27/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A01/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A04/01
NBA
115.3Avg total
56.1Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.4114.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.955.7114.6+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)57.757.0114.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)56.159.2115.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)53.857.0110.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.760.3110.0-10.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.753.8111.5+3.947%-
vs Weaker (10)61.959.5121.4+2.470%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.431.5
55.9%
54.4%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.9
39.9%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.016.3
81.5%
78.2%16.3
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.129.3
53.2%
54.4%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.3
34.0%
36.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws25.820.2
78.3%
78.2%20.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWWWL
Orlando Magic
LLLWLWWLLL
#3
League position
#14
+8.6
Net rating
-3.9
120.5
Offensive rating
109.7
111.9
Defensive rating
113.6
57.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
10.6%
Turnover %
13.5%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
34.0%
66.4%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 109.7Defence111.9 · 113.6Shooting57.3% · 52.4%3-point %39.9% · 34.0%Ball care10.6% · 13.5%Off. rebounds24.8% · 24.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ASacramento Kings135-138 OT
03/01/24AGolden State Warriors115-121
01/01/24APhoenix Suns107-112
30/12/23HNew York Knicks117-108
28/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers92-112
27/12/23AWashington Wizards127-119
24/12/23AIndiana Pacers117-110
22/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks114-118
21/12/23HMiami Heat106-115
17/12/23ABoston Celtics97-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %69%82%58%
Points / game115.6119.9111.6
Allowed / game110.2109.7110.7
Point differential+5.3+10.2+0.9
Avg total225.8229.6222.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%59%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayWWLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %56%75%39%
Points / game113.6117.1110.4
Allowed / game111.8107.8115.3
Point differential+1.8+9.2-4.8
Avg total225.3224.9225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3327682%121.2110.0+11.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3425974%113.1107.4+5.6
3 Milwaukee Bucks3324973%124.3119.4+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets36251169%115.6110.2+5.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers34231168%119.8111.0+8.8
6 Oklahoma City Thunder34231168%121.8114.2+7.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%117.0111.7+5.3
8 Sacramento Kings32201262%117.8116.8+0.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans34201459%115.7111.2+4.6
10 New York Knicks34201459%115.4111.7+3.8
11 Miami Heat34201459%112.9111.5+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks36211558%119.1117.0+2.1
13 Cleveland Cavaliers35201557%113.1111.4+1.7
14 Indiana Pacers32181456%127.8124.9+2.8
15 Orlando Magic34191556%113.6111.8+1.8
16 Phoenix Suns33181555%115.8114.3+1.5
17 Houston Rockets33171652%112.5109.9+2.5
18 Golden State Warriors34161847%117.2116.7+0.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers33151845%113.4115.7-2.4
20 Brooklyn Nets36162044%114.6116.1-1.5
21 Utah Jazz36162044%114.4119.0-4.6
22 Chicago Bulls37162143%109.1111.5-2.4
23 Toronto Raptors34142041%114.0115.1-1.0
24 Atlanta Hawks34142041%122.6123.9-1.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies34112332%106.9113.4-6.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers3492526%108.2116.0-7.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3382524%109.5120.1-10.6
28 Washington Wizards3462818%115.4126.2-10.8
29 San Antonio Spurs3452915%111.2122.9-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons343319%111.5122.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37303122120
Orlando Magic28264127122
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