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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 120-114
29-26 24-28 39-35 28-25
Position#3
Record21-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#15
Record15-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 111
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
106-114
106
114
-8
94avg 111
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 111
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 111
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 111
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 111
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 111
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 111
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 111
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 111
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-21
21-40
25-18
20-32
22-27
26-25
26-40
32-22
28-36
37-26
38-24
26-36
32-25
25-25
35-30
22-26
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
225.1Avg total
115.9Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)115.0110.0225.0+4.968%
Season at home (13)121.0110.3231.3+10.785%
Season away (18)110.6109.8220.4+0.856%
Last 10 (10)115.9109.2225.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)116.8107.6224.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.7112.1225.8+1.747%
vs Weaker (11)116.7106.8223.5+9.9100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
112-113
112
113
-1
108avg 114
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
110-106
110
106
+4
101avg 114
H07/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
136-138 OT
136
138
-2
132avg 114
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
116-119
116
119
-3
108avg 114
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
101avg 114
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-120
124
120
+4
119avg 114
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
118-114
118
114
+4
116avg 114
A18/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
132-126 OT
132
126
+6
125avg 114
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 114
H23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
126-106
126
106
+20
137avg 114
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
34-26
25-37
20-28
22-26
26-29
34-31
28-20
28-19
34-37
22-33
34-29
25-25
31-28
31-35
29-31
28-29
28-40
37-30
20-22
32-25
38-29
25-35
29-31
27-23
38-26
24-35
29-30
30-40
32-25
24-32
35-24
28-25
35-36
38-22
28-35
23-30
34-16
32-31
37-29
239.7Avg total
121.6Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)117.2115.8233.0+1.552%
Season at home (15)115.9114.9230.8+1.160%
Season away (14)118.6116.7235.4+1.943%
Last 10 (10)121.6118.1239.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)125.8116.8242.6+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)128.2132.2260.4-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.6112.4225.0+0.235%
vs Weaker (8)117.9108.5226.4+9.4100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
111.7Avg total
57.6Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.356.3114.6+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.253.8114.1+6.475%-
Last 30 away (18)57.057.9114.9-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)57.654.1111.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)59.455.4114.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.158.1116.2+0.058%-
vs Weaker (11)58.653.1111.7+5.573%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
67-48
67
48
+19
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H07/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A18/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H24/12
NBA
116.2Avg total
60.6Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.6113.4+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.956.6114.5+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)57.754.6112.3+3.173%-
Last 10 (10)60.655.6116.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)63.455.0118.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.861.2124.0+1.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.156.1112.2+0.059%-
vs Weaker (8)58.251.0109.2+7.288%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.331.5
51.4%
54.4%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.112.1
40.2%
36.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
78.2%16.6
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.3
55.2%
54.4%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.415.6
37.7%
36.3%46.8
🏀 Free throws22.318.2
81.6%
78.2%18.2
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWLL
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#15
+6.8
Net rating
+3.4
118.1
Offensive rating
117.6
111.3
Defensive rating
114.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
10.2%
Turnover %
14.5%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.2%
3-point %
37.7%
64.4%
Assist %
65.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 117.6Defence111.3 · 114.2Shooting54.3% · 55.8%3-point %40.2% · 37.7%Ball care10.2% · 14.5%Off. rebounds28.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101
13/12/23AChicago Bulls114-106
12/12/23AAtlanta Hawks129-122
09/12/23HHouston Rockets106-114
07/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers102-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HPortland Trail Blazers126-106
23/12/23HWashington Wizards129-118
20/12/23HBoston Celtics132-126 OT
18/12/23APortland Trail Blazers118-114
17/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-120
15/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers113-121
13/12/23APhoenix Suns116-119
09/12/23AOklahoma City Thunder136-138 OT
07/12/23HPortland Trail Blazers110-106
02/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWLWLW85%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311318
Win %68%85%56%
Points / game115.0121.0110.6
Allowed / game110.0110.3109.8
Point differential+4.9+10.7+0.8
Avg total225.0231.3220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%62%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%60%43%
Points / game117.2115.9118.6
Allowed / game115.8114.9116.7
Point differential+1.5+1.1+1.9
Avg total233.0230.8235.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%13%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)67% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2722581%120.1109.3+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2822679%113.5106.6+7.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks2821775%124.0118.7+5.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers2820871%122.3111.0+11.3
5 Denver Nuggets31211068%115.0110.0+4.9
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2718967%120.7113.6+7.1
7 Sacramento Kings27171063%117.6117.1+0.5
8 New York Knicks28171161%114.8111.2+3.6
9 Orlando Magic28171161%113.1110.4+2.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers29171259%116.7112.7+4.0
11 Miami Heat29171259%113.2111.8+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks29171259%119.0117.9+1.1
13 New Orleans Pelicans28161257%116.2112.4+3.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers30171357%112.0111.9+0.2
15 Houston Rockets27151256%111.6107.7+3.8
16 Phoenix Suns27141352%114.9114.3+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors29151452%117.2115.8+1.5
18 Los Angeles Lakers28141450%113.6115.5-1.9
19 Brooklyn Nets29141548%116.0115.5+0.4
20 Indiana Pacers26121446%126.6126.6+0.0
21 Chicago Bulls31131842%110.0112.4-2.4
22 Atlanta Hawks29121741%122.7122.9-0.3
23 Utah Jazz30121840%113.0119.4-6.4
24 Toronto Raptors29111838%112.4114.8-2.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies2891932%107.0112.4-5.3
26 Charlotte Hornets2772026%110.4120.9-10.4
27 Portland Trail Blazers2872125%108.0114.7-6.8
28 Washington Wizards2852318%117.0126.6-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs2842414%110.6123.0-12.4
30 Detroit Pistons292277%109.2120.9-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29243928120
Golden State Warriors26283525114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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