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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 127-130
33-34 30-36 44-24 20-36
Position#15
Record16-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game116.3
vs
Position#3
Record24-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game109.8
USANBA· Chase Center (San Francisco)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
101avg 113
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-120
124
120
+4
119avg 113
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
118-114
118
114
+4
116avg 113
A18/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
132-126 OT
132
126
+6
125avg 113
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 113
H23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
126-106
126
106
+20
137avg 113
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
114-120
114
120
-6
104avg 113
A25/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
102-114
102
114
-12
94avg 113
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
122-132
122
132
-10
113avg 113
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
121-115
121
115
+6
112avg 113
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
28-40
37-30
20-22
32-25
38-29
25-35
29-31
27-23
38-26
24-35
29-30
30-40
32-25
24-32
35-24
28-25
35-36
38-22
28-35
23-30
34-16
32-31
37-29
26-29
28-24
35-39
25-28
25-22
26-36
25-33
26-23
26-34
28-29
35-38
33-31
30-28
25-27
32-26
34-34
238.7Avg total
120.1Scored
118.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)116.9116.3233.2+0.648%
Season at home (18)115.8115.8231.6+0.056%
Season away (15)118.3116.9235.3+1.440%
Last 10 (10)120.1118.6238.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)117.0117.4234.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)128.2132.2260.4-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (18)113.4115.3228.7-1.928%
vs Weaker (7)120.7112.1232.9+8.6100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 110
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 110
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 110
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
224.4Avg total
117.4Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)115.1109.8224.9+5.469%
Season at home (17)119.9109.7229.6+10.282%
Season away (18)110.6109.8220.4+0.856%
Last 10 (10)117.4107.0224.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)113.6105.2218.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.5113.5227.1+0.047%
vs Weaker (11)119.9106.1226.0+13.8100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A18/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H20/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A25/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H03/01
NBA
116.0Avg total
58.7Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.4114.3+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.856.7114.5+1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)58.156.0114.1+2.169%-
Last 10 (10)58.757.3116.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.255.0109.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.861.2124.0+1.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.856.6112.4-0.750%-
vs Weaker (7)59.752.6112.3+7.186%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
108.5Avg total
56.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.755.9113.7+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.753.7112.4+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)56.858.1114.9-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)56.452.1108.5+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.853.0106.8+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.557.8115.3-0.353%-
vs Weaker (11)58.252.7110.9+5.564%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.629.3
56.8%
54.4%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.914.8
37.1%
36.3%44.4
🏀 Free throws21.417.1
79.9%
78.2%17.1
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.1
54.8%
54.4%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.313.2
39.6%
36.3%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.6
81.2%
78.2%15.6
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLLLWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#3
+1.5
Net rating
+10.5
118.9
Offensive rating
118.9
117.4
Defensive rating
108.4
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.5%
Turnover %
10.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.1%
3-point %
39.6%
65.1%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 118.9Defence117.4 · 108.4Shooting56.3% · 56.5%3-point %37.1% · 39.6%Ball care12.5% · 10.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HOrlando Magic121-115
31/12/23HDallas Mavericks122-132
29/12/23HMiami Heat102-114
25/12/23ADenver Nuggets114-120
24/12/23HPortland Trail Blazers126-106
23/12/23HWashington Wizards129-118
20/12/23HBoston Celtics132-126 OT
18/12/23APortland Trail Blazers118-114
17/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-120
15/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers113-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %48%56%40%
Points / game116.9115.8118.3
Allowed / game116.3115.8116.9
Point differential+0.6+0.0+1.4
Avg total233.2231.6235.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)67% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %9%11%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %69%82%56%
Points / game115.1119.9110.6
Allowed / game109.8109.7109.8
Point differential+5.4+10.2+0.8
Avg total224.9229.6220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%59%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3226681%121.1110.4+10.7
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3324973%112.8107.8+5.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks3324973%124.3119.4+4.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers33231070%120.7110.5+10.2
5 Oklahoma City Thunder33231070%122.0113.9+8.1
6 Denver Nuggets35241169%115.1109.8+5.4
7 Los Angeles Clippers33211264%117.2112.2+4.9
8 Sacramento Kings32201262%117.8116.8+0.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans33201361%116.4111.2+5.2
10 Miami Heat34201459%112.9111.5+1.4
11 New York Knicks33191458%115.1112.3+2.8
12 Dallas Mavericks35201557%118.5117.4+1.1
13 Orlando Magic34191556%113.6111.8+1.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers34191556%113.1112.1+1.1
15 Indiana Pacers31171455%127.0125.2+1.8
16 Phoenix Suns33181555%115.8114.3+1.5
17 Houston Rockets32171553%113.0109.6+3.5
18 Golden State Warriors33161748%116.9116.3+0.6
19 Utah Jazz35161946%114.9118.8-3.9
20 Los Angeles Lakers33151845%113.4115.7-2.4
21 Brooklyn Nets35152043%114.3116.1-1.8
22 Atlanta Hawks33141942%122.8123.2-0.4
23 Chicago Bulls36152142%109.2112.1-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors34142041%114.0115.1-1.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies34112332%106.9113.4-6.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers3392427%108.4115.3-6.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3282425%110.0120.6-10.5
28 Washington Wizards3362718%116.2126.6-10.4
29 San Antonio Spurs3452915%111.2122.9-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons343319%111.5122.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors33304420127
Denver Nuggets34362436130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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