PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 127-119
35-33 33-31 26-21 33-34
Position#1
Record35-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.3
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#16
Record18-23
FormLLWWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
14 Oct 2022
GSW112
DEN119
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
10 Jul 2019
GSW73
DEN69
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
30 Sep 2017
GSW102
DEN108
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
13 Oct 2015
GSW103
DEN114
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
24 Oct 2014
GSW119
DEN112
16 Oct 2014
GSW104
DEN101
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
116-108
116
108
+8
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
113-109
113
109
+4
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
135-90
135
90
+45
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
104-74
104
74
+30
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
117-101
117
101
+16
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-113
119
113
+6
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
108-109
108
109
-1
A25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
121-111
121
111
+10
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
30-31
18-30
38-20
29-35
29-30
37-29
18-15
32-25
27-20
29-21
15-24
39-21
31-24
38-27
27-18
19-15
36-18
27-21
22-20
33-34
16-31
39-19
29-17
33-32
24-27
31-25
31-29
27-25
28-27
32-28
21-29
42-17
30-38
32-32
17-24
29-29
30-19
32-21
17-30
214.8Avg total
114.4Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)116.3103.8220.1+12.485%
Season at home (19)119.3101.7220.9+17.689%
Season away (22)113.7105.7219.4+8.082%
Last 10 (10)114.4100.4214.8+14.090%
Last 5 (5)114.6106.6221.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)117.4103.3220.7+14.187%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-113
121
113
+8
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
92-112
92
112
-20
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
127-114
127
114
+13
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
117-107
117
107
+10
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
108-109
108
109
-1
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
105-103
105
103
+2
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
H31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
33-29
27-37
29-18
19-27
24-38
24-27
25-20
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
225.5Avg total
113.2Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)107.1108.5215.7-1.444%
Season at home (18)112.9111.6224.4+1.344%
Season away (23)102.7106.1208.8-3.543%
Last 10 (10)113.2112.3225.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)108.6111.4220.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)105.5126.5232.0-21.00%
vs Similar (22)105.7108.0213.7-2.241%
vs Weaker (6)116.7111.5228.2+5.267%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H31/12
NBA
111.9Avg total
59.4Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.951.9112.8+9.077%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.448.9113.3+15.587%-
Last 30 away (15)57.554.9112.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)59.452.5111.9+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.8114.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)60.951.9112.8+9.077%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
114.9Avg total
58.4Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.355.1111.4+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.655.5113.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)55.054.7109.7+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)58.456.5114.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.8110.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)57.069.0126.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (22)55.654.1109.7+1.550%-
vs Weaker (6)58.754.2112.8+4.550%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.531.5
54.8%
50.2%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.6
38.8%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.016.6
83.0%
77.0%16.6
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.830.9
55.4%
50.2%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.4
37.5%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws26.320.2
76.8%
77.0%20.2
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWLWWWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#16
+13.7
Net rating
+0.9
112.1
Offensive rating
116.4
98.4
Defensive rating
115.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.3%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.8%
3-point %
37.5%
72.9%
Assist %
62.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 116.4Defence98.4 · 115.5Shooting55.9% · 55.7%3-point %38.8% · 37.5%Ball care14.4% · 13.3%Off. rebounds20.3% · 26.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/16HDallas Mavericks108-99
29/12/16HToronto Raptors121-111
25/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers108-109
24/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-113
23/12/16ABrooklyn Nets117-101
21/12/16HUtah Jazz104-74
18/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers135-90
16/12/16HNew York Knicks103-90
14/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-109
12/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves116-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
13/12/16ADallas Mavericks92-112
11/12/16AOrlando Magic121-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %85%89%82%
Points / game116.3119.3113.7
Allowed / game103.8101.7105.7
Point differential+12.4+17.6+8.0
Avg total220.1220.9219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%74%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411823
Win %44%44%43%
Points / game107.1112.9102.7
Allowed / game108.5111.6106.1
Point differential-1.4+1.3-3.5
Avg total215.7224.4208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)25% (8)62% (8)
Overtime %10%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4135685%116.3103.8+12.4
2 San Antonio Spurs4031978%104.297.5+6.6
3 Houston Rockets42311174%114.8107.2+7.6
4 Cleveland Cavaliers39281172%109.0103.5+5.5
5 Toronto Raptors39261367%109.6103.0+6.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies42261662%99.898.3+1.5
7 Utah Jazz41251661%98.894.6+4.3
8 Boston Celtics41251661%106.0103.4+2.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers42251760%105.7103.0+2.7
10 Oklahoma City Thunder39231659%105.7104.1+1.6
11 Atlanta Hawks41231856%101.6101.9-0.4
12 Charlotte Hornets42222052%102.8102.3+0.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks39201951%102.6101.4+1.2
14 Washington Wizards40202050%105.3104.7+0.7
15 New York Knicks40202050%105.9108.2-2.4
16 Indiana Pacers41202149%104.9105.7-0.9
17 Chicago Bulls42202248%101.6101.0+0.5
18 Detroit Pistons42192345%98.197.4+0.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers43192444%106.3109.3-3.0
20 Denver Nuggets41182344%107.1108.5-1.4
21 Sacramento Kings38162242%101.8104.3-2.6
22 Orlando Magic43182542%99.3103.9-4.6
23 Minnesota Timberwolves41162539%103.2103.5-0.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans42152736%102.7106.2-3.5
25 Phoenix Suns40142635%105.8111.4-5.6
26 Miami Heat43142933%99.5101.3-1.8
27 Los Angeles Lakers45143131%104.5109.8-5.3
28 Dallas Mavericks41122929%94.9101.0-6.1
29 Philadelphia 76ers39102926%98.6106.6-8.1
30 Brooklyn Nets3993023%104.8113.6-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors35332633127
Denver Nuggets33312134119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.