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Gargzdai vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 83-80
27-14 12-23 16-22 28-21
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game89.8
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Lietkabelis
Lithuania
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game81.2
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Lietkabelis
25 Apr 2027
GAR v LIE
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
GAR83
LIE80
12 Apr 2026
GAR64
LIE89
08 Nov 2025
GAR80
LIE89
02 May 2023
GAR65
LIE86
02 Oct 2022
GAR71
LIE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.79
Implied52.1%
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best odds2.10
Implied47.9%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 78
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 78
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 78
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 78
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 78
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 78
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 78
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 78
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 78
A18/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
176.2Avg total
87.8Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.889.8181.7+2.067%
Season at home (3)84.785.0169.7-0.367%
Season away (3)99.094.7193.7+4.367%
Last 10 (10)87.888.4176.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)95.489.0184.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.884.5163.4-5.746%
vs Similar (8)89.289.2178.5+0.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.686.8177.3+3.867%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 72
H19/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 72
A23/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 72
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#23
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 72
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
48avg 72
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#19
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 72
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 72
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 72
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 72
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 72
A20/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-20
32-21
25-15
20-26
25-16
20-22
12-22
24-18
14-16
32-28
15-17
12-20
25-18
25-15
13-19
21-20
19-29
12-23
16-25
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
156.7Avg total
77.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.381.2156.5-5.850%
Season at home (3)78.077.3155.3+0.767%
Season away (3)72.785.0157.7-12.333%
Last 10 (10)77.379.4156.7-2.160%
Last 5 (5)76.875.6152.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.688.2169.8-6.630%
vs Similar (12)78.079.5157.5-1.542%
vs Weaker (8)80.470.0150.4+10.475%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under 160.5
no forecast
@ 2.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.42
Over/Under 166 · main lineActual: Under 166
Over 166
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under 166
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.86
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5
Over 170.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 170.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
Marathon Be
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Gargzdai total 79.5Actual: Gargzdai over 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.39
Gargzdai total 83.5 · main lineActual: Gargzdai under 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.72
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Gargzdai total 87.5Actual: Gargzdai under 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
Lietkabelis total 78.5Actual: Lietkabelis over 78.5
Over 78.5
no forecast
@ 1.43
Under 78.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Under
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.36
Lietkabelis total 82.5 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis under 82.5
Over 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 82.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Under
Betano
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Lietkabelis total 86.5Actual: Lietkabelis under 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 2.57
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.38
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Gargzdai -4.5Actual: Lietkabelis +4.5
GAR -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
LIE +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
Best 5 market prices
GAR
Bet365
2.45
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Pinnacle
2.17
LIE
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.52
1xBet
1.46
Spread Gargzdai -1.5 · main lineActual: Gargzdai -1.5
GAR -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
LIE +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
GAR
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
LIE
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.84
SBO
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Spread Gargzdai +1.5Actual: Gargzdai +1.5
GAR +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.68
LIE -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
Best 5 market prices
GAR
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.62
Marathon Be
1.59
1xBet
1.54
LIE
Betano
2.12
Marathon Be
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Bet365
2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
GargzdaiLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
89.6Avg total
43.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.75
Last 30 (30)40.044.684.6-4.533%57%
Last 30 at home (14)37.143.580.6-6.414%43%
Last 30 away (16)42.645.588.1-2.950%69%
Last 10 (10)43.146.589.6-3.440%70%
Last 5 (5)48.646.495.0+2.280%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.642.581.1-3.831%46%
vs Similar (8)38.846.285.0-7.525%62%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.246.189.3-2.944%67%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H19/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/09
LKL
KK Bosna
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/10
LKL
BC Roma
#19
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
75.6Avg total
37.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.75
Last 30 (30)38.440.578.9-2.137%37%
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.778.7-0.640%33%
Last 30 away (15)37.741.379.1-3.633%40%
Last 10 (10)37.837.875.6+0.050%30%
Last 5 (5)38.233.872.0+4.460%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.043.484.4-2.420%40%
vs Similar (12)36.342.779.0-6.325%50%
vs Weaker (8)38.233.671.9+4.675%12%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Gargzdai win
GAR win
no forecast
@ 1.80
LIE win
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread Gargzdai -0.5 · main lineActual: Gargzdai -0.5
GAR -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
LIE +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 82.75 · main lineActual: Under 82.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Gargzdai 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Gargzdai under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
Lietkabelis 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Lietkabelis under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: GAR + total 83.5
GAR & over
no forecast
@ 3.50
GAR & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: LIE + total 83.5
LIE & over
no forecast
@ 4.00
LIE & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.64
Under
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Over/Under 84Actual: Under 84
Over
no forecast
@ 2.08
Under
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Gargzdai -1.5Actual: Gargzdai -1.5
GAR -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
LIE +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Gargzdai +1Actual: Gargzdai +1
GAR +1
no forecast
@ 1.65
LIE -1
no forecast
@ 2.13
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Spread Gargzdai -2.5Actual: Lietkabelis +2.5
GAR -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
LIE +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.68
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Gargzdai (regulation)
GAR
no forecast
@ 1.83
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
LIE
no forecast
@ 2.05

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GAR win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
LIE win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LIE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (GAR:LIE): GAR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.5
54.0%
55.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.816.6
72.8%
70.8%16.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.9
52.5%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.2
34.0%
35.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
70.8%14.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWWWWWWLLL
Lietkabelis
WWWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#5
-0.9
Net rating
-3.2
98.5
Offensive rating
95.0
99.4
Defensive rating
98.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
34.0%
62.9%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 95.0Defence99.4 · 98.2Shooting52.8% · 51.9%3-point %33.8% · 34.0%Ball care12.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
6
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
06/05/26Lietkabelis v Gargzdai69-78
12/04/26Gargzdai v Lietkabelis64-89
01/02/26Lietkabelis v Gargzdai70-79
08/11/25Gargzdai v Lietkabelis80-89
07/10/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai84-66
02/05/23Gargzdai v Lietkabelis65-86
04/03/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai82-73
02/10/22Gargzdai v Lietkabelis71-91
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79
17/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-98
23/05/26HNeptunas74-84
21/05/26ANeptunas73-100
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
04/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas68-97
30/09/26HKK Bosna75-72
26/09/26HTaurage85-79
23/09/26ASiauliai77-86
19/09/26HJuventus84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game91.884.799.0
Allowed / game89.885.094.7
Point differential+2.0-0.3+4.3
Avg total181.7169.7193.7
Over 16683%67%100%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game75.378.072.7
Allowed / game81.277.385.0
Point differential-5.8+0.7-12.3
Avg total156.5155.3157.7
Over 1660%0%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas660100%94.274.7+19.5
2 Rytas43175%90.585.2+5.2
3 Gargzdai64267%91.889.8+2.0
4 Juventus63350%87.385.0+2.3
5 Neptunas63350%82.782.5+0.2
6 Siauliai63350%82.882.8+0.0
7 Lietkabelis63350%75.381.2-5.8
8 Jonava52340%78.477.6+0.8
9 Taurage61517%80.090.8-10.8
10 Nevezis5050%70.484.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2712162883
Lietkabelis1423222180
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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