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Gargzdai vs Lietkabelis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.1
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Lietkabelis
25 Apr 2027
GAR v LIE
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
GAR83
LIE80
12 Apr 2026
GAR64
LIE89
08 Nov 2025
GAR80
LIE89
02 May 2023
GAR65
LIE86
02 Oct 2022
GAR71
LIE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 83
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 83
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 83
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 83
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 83
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 83
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 83
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 83
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
173.3Avg total
89.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.086.2175.2+2.867%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (5)92.888.2181.0+4.660%
Last 10 (10)89.583.8173.3+5.780%
Last 5 (5)84.283.0167.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (6)89.287.3176.5+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.685.2174.8+4.569%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
BC Roma
#22
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 68
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 68
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 68
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 68
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 68
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 68
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 68
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 68
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
156.9Avg total
78.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.681.1160.7-1.656%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)78.278.7156.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.681.8161.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.386.8167.1-6.530%
vs Similar (15)78.579.1157.7-0.647%
vs Weaker (5)71.671.0142.6+0.660%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
GargzdaiLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
87.5Avg total
43.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.244.884.9-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)42.745.888.5-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.987.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.086.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (6)37.245.582.7-8.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.544.587.0-2.146%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Roma
#22
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
79.0Avg total
38.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.779.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.980.1-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)37.341.578.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.279.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.686.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.243.583.7-3.320%-
vs Similar (15)37.543.180.7-5.620%-
vs Weaker (5)33.434.067.4-0.660%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLWWLWWWWW
Lietkabelis
WLWLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+3.6
Net rating
-2.7
99.4
Offensive rating
95.5
95.8
Defensive rating
98.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
35.0%
60.8%
Assist %
56.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 95.5Defence95.8 · 98.3Shooting54.5% · 51.9%3-point %34.6% · 35.0%Ball care13.1% · 15.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gargzdai wins
6
Lietkabelis wins
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game89.084.292.8
Allowed / game86.283.888.2
Point differential+2.8+0.5+4.6
Avg total175.2168.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game79.683.674.5
Allowed / game81.178.484.5
Point differential-1.6+5.2-10.0
Avg total160.7162.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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