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Gargzdai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-88
17-28 26-19 15-18 26-23
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game92.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Jonava
13 Mar 2027
GAR v JON
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
GAR v JON
upcoming
02 May 2026
GAR104
JON109
30 Oct 2025
GAR84
JON88
04 Oct 2025
GAR103
JON73
12 Nov 2023
GAR86
JON80
15 Jan 2023
GAR68
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 74
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 74
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 74
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
103-73
103
73
+30
91avg 74
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 74
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
68avg 74
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 74
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 74
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 74
H26/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
32-8
27-21
21-23
23-21
32-23
24-16
17-10
21-23
18-28
18-19
16-29
22-26
24-26
17-30
23-17
19-16
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
168.8Avg total
82.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.777.7159.3+4.033%
Season at home (1)68.072.0140.0-4.00%
Season away (2)88.580.5169.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)82.586.3168.8-3.830%
Last 5 (5)83.085.2168.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)77.991.7169.6-13.914%
vs Similar (7)86.782.0168.7+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)103.073.0176.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 78
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
74-101
74
101
-27
66avg 78
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 78
A27/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
73-103
73
103
-30
63avg 78
A04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
91avg 78
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 78
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
74avg 78
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#5
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 78
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
113-117
113
117
-4
116avg 78
A26/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
15-16
19-31
17-19
14-22
11-19
25-21
28-25
13-21
17-31
21-21
23-28
19-19
16-31
19-17
24-26
8-32
21-27
23-21
21-23
26-22
29-19
22-27
11-12
19-23
19-21
19-23
29-15
28-14
16-22
10-34
29-27
15-32
28-29
21-20
24-20
26-32
36-20
27-39
24-26
177.6Avg total
83.4Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.392.7179.0-6.333%
Season at home (2)88.090.5178.5-2.550%
Season away (1)83.097.0180.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)83.494.2177.6-10.820%
Last 5 (5)91.695.4187.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)81.393.4174.7-12.211%
vs Similar (9)96.992.6189.4+4.378%
vs Weaker (2)111.570.5182.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
GargzdaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
86.2Avg total
43.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.686.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.586.1+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.546.787.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.886.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.287.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)39.946.186.0-6.323%-
vs Similar (7)46.342.088.3+4.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)59.029.088.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
29-59
29
59
-30
A04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A26/10
LKL
86.5Avg total
39.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.487.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.543.089.5+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.945.686.5-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.786.5-6.940%-
Last 5 (5)48.446.895.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.246.287.4-4.937%-
vs Similar (9)44.943.288.1+1.744%-
vs Weaker (2)59.033.092.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.6
55.8%
55.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.4
32.5%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.812.3
59.1%
74.2%12.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.7
53.8%
55.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.9
34.6%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.3
70.8%
74.2%15.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLLWWLLLL
Jonava
LLLWWLLLLL
#9
League position
#8
-4.9
Net rating
-14.3
110.6
Offensive rating
107.2
115.5
Defensive rating
121.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.5%
3-point %
34.6%
57.7%
Assist %
63.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 107.2Defence115.5 · 121.5Shooting53.3% · 53.2%3-point %32.5% · 34.6%Ball care15.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava103-73
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
18/10/25HJuventus91-74
15/10/25ASiauliai83-89
11/10/25ANeptunas74-102
08/10/25ANevezis94-72
04/10/25HJonava103-73
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25ANeptunas113-117
23/10/25HNevezis88-101
15/10/25AJuventus83-97
12/10/25HNevezis86-82
09/10/25HSiauliai88-80
04/10/25AGargzdai73-103
27/09/25ASiauliai78-93
23/09/25ALietkabelis74-101
20/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas78-87
18/06/25HLietkabelis73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.768.088.5
Allowed / game77.772.080.5
Point differential+4.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total159.3140.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game86.388.083.0
Allowed / game92.790.597.0
Point differential-6.3-2.5-14.0
Avg total179.0178.5180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus43175%87.281.5+5.8
2 Nevezis42250%88.290.2-2.0
3 Siauliai42250%87.889.8-2.0
4 Gargzdai31233%81.777.7+4.0
5 Jonava31233%86.392.7-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1726152684
Jonava2819182388
← all games of the day
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