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Kastela vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 49-77
9-22 11-17 20-20 9-18
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game73.0
Kastela
Croatia
vs
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.0
CroatiaCroatian CupCroatian Cup - Quarter-finals· Gradska sportska dvorana Zabok
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Kastela v Alkar
12 Feb 2025
KAST49
ALKA77
27 Jan 2018
KAST73
ALKA64
23 Apr 2016
KAST91
ALKA104
16 Jan 2016
KAST86
ALKA88
13 Dec 2014
KAST73
ALKA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 80
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
102-72
102
72
+30
104avg 80
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
127-64
127
64
+63
121avg 80
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 80
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 80
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 80
A15/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
93-94
93
94
-1
92avg 80
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 80
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
59avg 80
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
102avg 80
H08/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
20-17
20-18
22-17
20-20
23-21
26-18
33-13
38-19
29-12
29-11
31-22
28-14
21-17
32-15
24-23
23-21
14-17
21-19
20-23
17-27
22-13
16-16
14-15
29-24
28-21
18-20
18-29
17-22
21-18
14-22
30-7
12-9
19-20
12-12
21-11
24-24
24-31
27-21
25-16
164.4Avg total
90.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.873.6164.4+17.270%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.074.5139.5-9.50%
vs Similar (7)74.673.3147.9+1.329%
vs Weaker (20)86.672.5159.1+14.080%
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 68
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-71
61
71
-10
54avg 68
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 68
A29/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 68
H04/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 68
A11/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
97avg 68
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
54avg 68
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
71avg 68
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
63avg 68
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 68
H08/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
32-23
16-10
22-21
17-18
13-24
26-15
5-14
23-23
19-18
21-17
15-24
18-32
25-13
20-11
18-15
18-18
13-20
17-27
18-19
19-17
20-24
25-20
24-24
20-15
19-22
11-26
10-23
19-12
22-21
18-14
14-17
11-19
19-17
19-15
18-18
20-8
11-24
21-19
17-11
148.5Avg total
73.1Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.175.4148.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)71.473.2144.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.481.6150.0-13.114%
vs Similar (11)75.377.4152.6-2.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.576.8169.2+15.875%
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
KastelaAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A15/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H08/02
Prva Liga
84.3Avg total
45.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.076.4+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.236.476.6+3.844%-
Last 30 away (14)40.735.576.2+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.884.3+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.038.069.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (7)34.437.772.1-3.329%-
vs Weaker (20)43.235.078.2+8.265%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A11/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
Premijer liga
77.0Avg total
37.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.741.880.5-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)35.939.275.1-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.477.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.871.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.642.676.2-8.921%-
vs Similar (11)36.539.375.7-2.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)50.037.087.0+13.075%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.524.0
60.8%
52.0%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.7
41.8%
32.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws12.510.0
80.0%
71.8%10.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.4
54.1%
52.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.1
30.1%
32.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.311.2
73.2%
71.8%11.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWLLLWWWW
Alkar
WLWLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#2
+23.4
Net rating
-3.2
117.8
Offensive rating
101.4
94.4
Defensive rating
104.6
61.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.8%
3-point %
30.1%
61.1%
Assist %
71.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 101.4Defence94.4 · 104.6Shooting61.5% · 50.2%3-point %41.8% · 30.1%Ball care18.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 26.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Kastela   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kastela wins
6
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
27/01/18Kastela v Alkar73-64
07/10/17Alkar v Kastela85-62
10/05/16Alkar v Kastela81-79
23/04/16Kastela v Alkar91-104 OT
16/01/16Kastela v Alkar86-88
10/10/15Alkar v Kastela75-73
21/03/15Alkar v Kastela88-59
13/12/14Kastela v Alkar73-68
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HJazine100-92
01/02/25ACrikvenica64-52
25/01/25HSkrljevo82-69
19/01/25AMladost93-94
15/01/25AKK Zagreb69-71
11/01/25HGorica78-80
14/12/24HBosco105-69
07/12/24HHermes127-64
01/12/24HSamobor102-72
27/11/24HOsijek88-73
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HGKK Sibenka69-62
02/02/25ACedevita Junior67-69
25/01/25HDubrovnik73-64
21/01/25ASplit60-86
17/01/25HCibona88-85
11/01/25AOsijek66-84
04/01/25HDubrava81-71
29/12/24AZabok78-82
15/12/24HZadar61-71
08/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Croatian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Alkar
Croatian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar110100%87.055.0+32.0
2 Alkar110100%85.070.0+15.0
3 Kastela110100%88.073.0+15.0
4 Split110100%83.071.0+12.0
5 Cibona220100%85.578.5+7.0
6 Cedevita Junior220100%85.581.5+4.0
7 Zabok21150%84.578.0+6.5
8 Marsonia21150%85.587.5-2.0
9 Dinamo Zagreb1010%85.086.0-1.0
10 Kvarner1010%78.084.0-6.0
11 Dubrava1010%72.081.0-9.0
12 GKK Sibenka1010%71.083.0-12.0
13 Dubrovnik1010%69.084.0-15.0
14 Osijek1010%73.088.0-15.0
15 Skrljevo1010%70.085.0-15.0
16 Samobor1010%55.087.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela91120949
Alkar2217201877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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