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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 80-73
13-19 24-22 27-9 16-23
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#7
Record4-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game84.4
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 76
A12/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
81avg 76
A15/10
LKL
Ulm
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 76
H19/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
80avg 76
H22/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 76
A26/10
Eurocup
Prienai
#12
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 76
A30/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H02/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
86avg 76
A19/11
LKL
Venezia
#10
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 76
A22/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
14-21
22-16
18-23
13-22
28-18
27-22
16-25
21-19
23-9
15-22
21-26
17-20
20-13
18-15
24-22
24-18
11-17
23-22
15-29
30-15
25-21
18-20
23-21
19-18
20-18
25-23
25-25
19-20
15-17
28-12
16-24
20-27
21-23
20-9
30-29
14-17
24-16
17-19
16-22
160.9Avg total
81.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.377.7162.0+6.778%
Season at home (3)77.072.7149.7+4.367%
Season away (6)88.080.2168.2+7.883%
Last 10 (10)81.279.7160.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)85.079.2164.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.877.6149.3-5.822%
vs Similar (11)79.775.7155.5+4.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.578.8168.3+10.790%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 74
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 74
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
173.9Avg total
91.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.084.4167.4-1.444%
Season at home (5)86.682.6169.2+4.040%
Season away (4)78.586.8165.2-8.250%
Last 10 (10)91.782.2173.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)95.278.4173.6+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.183.1159.2-7.036%
vs Similar (10)78.180.2158.3-2.150%
vs Weaker (9)95.081.7176.7+13.378%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
LKL
Ulm
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/10
Eurocup
Prienai
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A30/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/11
LKL
Venezia
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A22/11
Eurocup
76.6Avg total
39.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.378.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.438.078.4+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)39.238.577.8+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.176.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.479.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.640.776.2-5.133%-
vs Similar (11)40.836.076.8+4.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.338.781.0+3.660%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.281.0+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.582.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.980.0-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.682.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.240.677.8-3.527%-
vs Similar (10)40.641.982.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker (9)45.737.783.3+8.078%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.2
53.2%
54.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.0
38.8%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.8
70.1%
74.2%14.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
54.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.1
69.7%
74.2%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWWWLWWLL
Neptunas
WWWWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#7
-0.1
Net rating
-7.3
109.0
Offensive rating
105.4
109.1
Defensive rating
112.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
38.8%
3-point %
34.1%
58.5%
Assist %
65.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 105.4Defence109.1 · 112.7Shooting55.1% · 51.4%3-point %38.8% · 34.1%Ball care19.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 32.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lietkabelis wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22AVenezia71-74
19/11/22AJonava91-88
05/11/22ANevezis78-73
02/11/22HCluj-Napoca89-84
30/10/22APrienai96-77
26/10/22AJL Bourg73-86
22/10/22HRytas79-70
19/10/22HUlm80-76
15/10/22AJuventus84-87
12/10/22APrometey71-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %78%67%83%
Points / game84.377.088.0
Allowed / game77.772.780.2
Point differential+6.7+4.3+7.8
Avg total162.0149.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game83.086.678.5
Allowed / game84.482.686.8
Point differential-1.4+4.0-8.2
Avg total167.4169.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%89.470.7+18.8
2 Lietkabelis97278%84.377.7+6.7
3 Jonava97278%83.777.6+6.1
4 Rytas96367%86.780.6+6.1
5 BC Wolves96367%80.477.8+2.7
6 Juventus95456%83.887.3-3.6
7 Neptunas94544%83.084.4-1.4
8 Siauliai94544%82.284.2-2.0
9 Nevezis104640%77.981.3-3.4
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%82.590.0-7.5
11 Gargzdai91811%77.484.3-6.9
12 Prienai9090%79.193.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1324271680
Neptunas192292373
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