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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 72-80
19-18 13-19 16-17 24-26
Position#7
Record15-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#3
Record16-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game74.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2015-16
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE v NEP
upcoming
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
02 May 2020
LIE v NEP
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A16/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A19/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H22/03
Baltic League
Nevezis
#10
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A26/03
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A30/03
Baltic League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A03/04
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H05/04
Baltic League
Siauliai
#5
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A09/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H13/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-31
17-27
20-10
18-20
18-22
15-15
16-20
22-23
22-19
21-15
25-27
18-21
16-26
18-15
27-29
20-14
22-11
13-22
12-20
18-20
14-22
16-22
26-26
17-28
22-19
17-8
27-15
23-20
24-17
16-15
23-12
20-25
14-23
22-24
26-27
17-20
20-14
20-25
27-23
161.9Avg total
79.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.779.1154.8-3.545%
Season at home (16)78.278.6156.8-0.456%
Season away (17)73.379.6152.9-6.435%
Last 10 (10)79.682.3161.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)81.881.0162.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.982.7154.6-10.833%
vs Similar (10)80.882.0162.8-1.240%
vs Weaker (11)85.573.5159.1+12.091%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#26
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A09/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A13/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H27/02
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H06/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H12/03
LKL
Skycop
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A19/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A26/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A09/04
LKL
Siauliai
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A13/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
7-19
21-19
20-16
15-20
21-12
26-9
26-13
19-10
16-21
13-20
22-11
13-15
22-19
19-12
16-12
17-19
22-24
19-16
21-20
20-18
16-22
14-30
22-12
21-27
26-21
24-22
18-34
16-13
26-22
18-16
10-27
24-26
20-21
19-20
25-28
21-18
25-21
15-22
13-18
155.7Avg total
77.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.674.9151.5+1.748%
Season at home (16)77.173.8150.8+3.356%
Season away (17)76.176.0152.1+0.141%
Last 10 (10)77.877.9155.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)78.687.6166.2-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.381.0153.3-8.717%
vs Similar (13)71.673.8145.5-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.272.3154.5+9.973%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/03
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/03
LKL
Siauliai
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H22/03
Baltic League
Nevezis
#10
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A26/03
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A30/03
Baltic League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
LKL
Valmiera/ORDO
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H05/04
Baltic League
Siauliai
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/04
LKL
79.5Avg total
37.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.979.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.739.078.7+0.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.842.780.5-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.779.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.844.079.8-8.222%-
vs Similar (10)38.740.278.9-1.550%-
vs Weaker (11)41.238.980.1+2.355%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#26
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A09/02
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H27/02
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H06/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/03
LKL
Skycop
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A26/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/04
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/04
LKL
77.1Avg total
38.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.275.1+0.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.176.1+4.080%-
Last 30 away (15)35.738.374.1-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.077.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.884.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.040.378.3-2.350%-
vs Similar (13)34.937.872.8-2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.434.776.1+6.682%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lietkabelis wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/16HJuventus84-82
09/04/16ASiauliai82-99
05/04/16HValmiera/ORDO86-64
03/04/16AAlytaus Dzukija83-70
30/03/16AValmiera/ORDO74-90
26/03/16ANevezis81-76 OT
22/03/16HSiauliai79-91
19/03/16APieno Zvaigzdes90-84
16/03/16ASiauliai67-77
14/03/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/16ASiauliai74-79
09/04/16ARytas88-95
03/04/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
26/03/16AJuventus89-104
19/03/16ASkycop72-82
12/03/16HPieno Zvaigzdes95-91 OT
06/03/16HSkycop70-58
27/02/16HRytas70-62
13/02/16APieno Zvaigzdes88-54
09/02/16AAlba Berlin62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW45%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayLWWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%56%35%
Points / game75.778.273.3
Allowed / game79.178.679.6
Point differential-3.5-0.4-6.4
Avg total154.8156.8152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Neptunas
LKL 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %48%56%41%
Points / game76.677.176.1
Allowed / game74.973.876.0
Point differential+1.7+3.3+0.1
Avg total151.5150.8152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3330391%86.669.8+16.8
2 Rytas3326779%84.873.0+11.8
3 Skycop34191556%79.078.2+0.8
4 Juventus34181653%79.582.1-2.6
5 Neptunas33161748%76.674.9+1.7
6 Siauliai34161847%79.579.5+0.0
7 Lietkabelis33151845%75.779.1-3.5
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes34122235%79.483.6-4.2
9 Alytaus Dzukija3482624%67.576.4-8.9
10 Nevezis3482624%71.882.9-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1913162472
Neptunas1819172680
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