Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 May 2020

Tip-off: 14:00

Scheduled

Position#3

Record16-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game72.5

Lietkabelis

Neptunas

Position#4

Record14-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game80.5

LKL

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lietkabelis Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

77-82

-5

A28/12

LKL

Siauliai

80-71

A02/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

83-72

+11

H05/01

LKL

Neptunas

102-64

102

+38

H11/01

LKL

Juventus

77-89

-12

A18/01

LKL

CBet

76-62

+14

H25/01

LKL

Nevezis

85-69

+16

H01/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

73-65

A08/02

LKL

Neptunas

84-78

A29/02

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

67-81

-14

H07/03

LKL

14-18

31-19

10-25

22-20

23-12

11-21

24-22

22-16

23-22

18-11

23-19

19-20

30-14

22-21

32-14

18-15

17-22

15-27

25-19

20-21

19-18

25-9

12-17

20-18

20-17

23-11

14-21

28-20

19-18

19-16

23-10

12-21

22-27

18-14

21-22

23-15

17-16

15-20

12-28

23-17

153.7Avg total

80.4Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.3	72.5	150.8	+5.8	67%
Season at home (12)	81.9	66.8	148.7	+15.2	92%
Season away (12)	74.8	78.2	153.0	-3.5	42%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	73.3	153.7	+7.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	71.0	148.0	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.0	83.0	159.0	-7.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	83.8	75.0	158.8	+8.8	67%
vs Weaker (21)	79.8	73.2	153.0	+6.6	76%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-70

+23

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

77-80

-3

A28/12

LKL

CBet

86-73

+13

H04/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

64-102

102

-38

A11/01

LKL

Rytas

69-92

-23

A18/01

LKL

CBet

95-85

+10

A01/02

LKL

Juventus

115-89

115

+26

H08/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

78-73

H26/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-84

-6

H29/02

LKL

Siauliai

90-70

+20

H08/03

LKL

25-16

29-18

21-23

18-13

22-22

12-15

19-24

24-19

20-20

22-16

16-19

28-18

14-30

21-22

14-32

15-18

16-21

22-27

18-30

13-14

25-18

15-26

33-20

22-21

21-23

33-20

26-30

35-16

20-15

23-15

16-21

19-22

27-22

14-18

22-21

15-23

34-15

12-15

19-24

25-16

166.3Avg total

84.5Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	83.7	80.5	164.2	+3.2	58%
Season at home (13)	85.7	77.2	162.8	+8.5	77%
Season away (11)	81.4	84.5	165.9	-3.2	36%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	81.8	166.3	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	80.2	171.4	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.3	88.5	166.8	-10.2	17%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	73.3	86.7	160.0	-13.3	33%
vs Weaker (21)	87.3	77.0	164.4	+10.3	76%

This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LietkabelisNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.4	41.2	+4.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.7	21.3	46.0	+3.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.6	18.6	38.1	+1.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	18.2	40.8	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.1	42.6	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.6	44.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	21.3	37.5	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.8	35.8	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.0	34.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.7	16.7	39.3	+6.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.5	19.1	41.7	+3.4	67%	-

LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

45-37

A28/12

LKL

Siauliai

34-33

A02/01

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

41-33

H05/01

LKL

Neptunas

52-35

+17

H11/01

LKL

Juventus

32-49

-17

A18/01

LKL

CBet

44-27

+17

H25/01

LKL

Nevezis

43-28

+15

H01/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

38-34

A08/02

LKL

Neptunas

40-41

-1

A29/02

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

32-36

-4

H07/03

LKL

75.4Avg total

40.1Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.0	76.5	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	35.1	77.1	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	39.1	75.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.3	75.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	33.2	72.6	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	44.2	36.7	80.8	+7.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	37.9	36.8	74.6	+1.1	52%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

54-34

+20

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

34-37

-3

A28/12

LKL

CBet

42-36

H04/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

35-52

-17

A11/01

LKL

Rytas

38-48

-10

A18/01

LKL

CBet

40-44

-4

A01/02

LKL

Juventus

54-43

+11

H08/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

43-30

+13

H26/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

41-40

H29/02

LKL

Siauliai

46-30

+16

H08/03

LKL

82.1Avg total

42.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.2	83.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	37.9	82.9	+7.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.4	82.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.4	82.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	45.7	38.6	84.3	+7.0	81%	-

This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	15.8	36.4	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	23.3	39.0	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.6	16.3	36.9	+4.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.1	41.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	24.4	44.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	25.2	42.8	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.4	41.9	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.3	20.1	41.5	+1.2	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	17.1	38.8	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	37.5	78.2	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	35.4	76.4	+5.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	39.9	80.4	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.0	78.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.8	75.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	43.7	78.0	-9.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.9	36.4	78.3	+5.5	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.1	80.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.7	81.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	42.8	89.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	44.5	84.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	34.7	43.3	78.0	-8.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	41.7	38.4	80.1	+3.2	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lietkabelis wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
29/02/20	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	78-84
11/01/20	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	102-64
09/11/19	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	78-74
22/04/19	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	69-73
17/03/19	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	72-74
24/11/18	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	76-100
30/09/18	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	76-89
17/06/18	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	78-89
15/06/18	Neptunas v Lietkabelis	79-71
12/06/18	Lietkabelis v Neptunas	69-71

Lietkabelislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/20	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	67-81
29/02/20	A	Neptunas	84-78
08/02/20	A	Alytaus Dzukija	73-65
01/02/20	H	Nevezis	85-69
25/01/20	H	CBet	76-62
18/01/20	A	Juventus	77-89
11/01/20	H	Neptunas	102-64
05/01/20	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	83-72
02/01/20	A	Siauliai	80-71
28/12/19	A	Rytas	77-82

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Siauliai	90-70
29/02/20	H	Lietkabelis	78-84
26/02/20	H	Alytaus Dzukija	78-73
08/02/20	H	Juventus	115-89
01/02/20	A	CBet	95-85
18/01/20	A	Rytas	69-92
11/01/20	A	Lietkabelis	64-102
04/01/20	H	CBet	86-73
28/12/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	77-80
23/12/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WWWWL	92%
Away	LWLWW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	67%	92%	42%
Points / game	78.3	81.9	74.8
Allowed / game	72.5	66.8	78.2
Point differential	+5.8	+15.2	-3.5
Avg total	150.8	148.7	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	83%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	-	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Neptunas

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	58%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	58%	77%	36%
Points / game	83.7	85.7	81.4
Allowed / game	80.5	77.2	84.5
Point differential	+3.2	+8.5	-3.2
Avg total	164.2	162.8	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	46%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	24	22	2	92%	89.0	70.0	+19.0
2	Rytas	24	17	7	71%	84.7	75.5	+9.2
3	Lietkabelis	24	16	8	67%	78.3	72.5	+5.8
4	Neptunas	24	14	10	58%	83.7	80.5	+3.2
5	Juventus	24	13	11	54%	80.2	81.7	-1.5
6	CBet	24	11	13	46%	73.7	79.4	-5.7
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	24	8	16	33%	77.5	83.0	-5.5
8	Siauliai	24	7	17	29%	78.8	85.2	-6.4
9	Nevezis	24	6	18	25%	74.4	82.9	-8.5
10	Alytaus Dzukija	24	6	18	25%	71.2	80.8	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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