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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 140-112
30-29 37-27 39-20 34-36
Position#17
Record14-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#16
Record20-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· The O2 Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
117-107
117
107
+10
120avg 98
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 98
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 98
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 98
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 98
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 98
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 98
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 98
A08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
225.6Avg total
109.7Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)108.0111.2219.2-3.238%
Season at home (18)111.9113.9225.9-2.039%
Season away (19)104.3108.6212.8-4.337%
Last 10 (10)109.7115.9225.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)111.8123.8235.6-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.2126.8234.0-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)104.8109.2214.0-4.333%
vs Weaker (8)117.5112.9230.4+4.662%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
107-105
107
105
+2
94avg 94
H20/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
111-118
111
118
-7
98avg 94
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
102-109
102
109
-7
96avg 94
H23/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 94
A27/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
105-111
105
111
-6
96avg 94
A29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
111-101
111
101
+10
108avg 94
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
117-104
117
104
+13
116avg 94
H01/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
121-116
121
116
+5
120avg 94
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
121-109
121
109
+12
112avg 94
H06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
123-109
123
109
+14
123avg 94
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-36
28-21
31-22
19-26
24-20
35-34
28-30
24-34
31-22
9-29
27-26
35-32
19-28
22-23
20-12
24-27
25-23
23-35
26-27
31-26
28-22
34-28
22-23
27-28
27-17
35-34
27-22
28-31
36-28
30-32
26-32
29-24
34-27
25-25
38-32
24-25
33-29
29-14
34-27
27-39
217.5Avg total
110.3Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)105.8106.2212.0-0.453%
Season at home (20)107.5102.3209.8+5.275%
Season away (18)103.9110.6214.5-6.628%
Last 10 (10)110.3107.2217.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)118.6107.8226.4+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)98.8105.4204.2-6.660%
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.2105.8211.0-0.744%
vs Weaker (7)107.799.7207.4+8.071%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
114.6Avg total
56.8Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.256.0112.1+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.955.9112.9+1.047%-
Last 30 away (13)55.256.0111.2-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.8114.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)57.661.2118.8-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.866.0123.8-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.954.2109.2+0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)58.154.9113.0+3.250%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H20/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A21/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H23/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A27/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H08/01
NBA
108.3Avg total
55.6Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.352.7105.0-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.949.9101.8+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)52.755.9108.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)55.652.7108.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)62.251.2113.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.055.6103.6-7.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.253.3106.5-0.144%-
vs Weaker (7)52.949.1102.0+3.771%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.629.9
52.8%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.7
36.0%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.817.8
78.1%
77.0%17.8
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.731.4
50.9%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.6
38.6%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.321.7
85.8%
77.0%21.7
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLLLWWLLW
Indiana Pacers
WWWWWLLLLW
#17
League position
#16
-6.3
Net rating
+3.1
110.8
Offensive rating
110.1
117.1
Defensive rating
107.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.0%
3-point %
38.6%
65.5%
Assist %
59.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 110.1Defence117.1 · 107.0Shooting53.2% · 52.7%3-point %36.0% · 38.6%Ball care13.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HNew York Knicks123-109
06/01/17HBrooklyn Nets121-109
04/01/17ADetroit Pistons121-116
01/01/17HOrlando Magic117-104
30/12/16HChicago Bulls111-101
29/12/16AWashington Wizards105-111
27/12/16AChicago Bulls85-90
23/12/16HBoston Celtics102-109
21/12/16ANew York Knicks111-118
20/12/16HWashington Wizards107-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLWLLL39%
AwayLLWLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %38%39%37%
Points / game108.0111.9104.3
Allowed / game111.2113.9108.6
Point differential-3.2-2.0-4.3
Avg total219.2225.9212.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%28%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLLLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %53%75%28%
Points / game105.8107.5103.9
Allowed / game106.2102.3110.6
Point differential-0.4+5.2-6.6
Avg total212.0209.8214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3933685%117.3105.4+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3830879%106.097.8+8.2
3 Houston Rockets41311076%114.6107.4+7.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers38281074%109.1103.4+5.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%107.8102.3+5.5
6 Toronto Raptors38251366%110.7104.4+6.2
7 Boston Celtics39241562%107.0104.7+2.3
8 Utah Jazz40241660%98.494.9+3.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder40241660%106.8104.8+2.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies41241759%99.298.7+0.5
11 Atlanta Hawks38221658%102.7102.6+0.1
12 Indiana Pacers38201853%105.8106.2-0.4
13 Milwaukee Bucks37191851%105.1103.0+2.1
14 Charlotte Hornets39201951%105.5104.0+1.5
15 Washington Wizards38191950%105.4106.1-0.7
16 Chicago Bulls39192049%101.5101.4+0.1
17 Detroit Pistons40182245%100.1100.3-0.1
18 Portland Trail Blazers41182344%108.1110.3-2.2
19 New York Knicks39172244%105.3108.6-3.3
20 Sacramento Kings38162242%102.2104.7-2.5
21 Orlando Magic40162440%98.8103.8-4.9
22 New Orleans Pelicans39152438%102.4105.4-3.0
23 Denver Nuggets37142338%108.0111.2-3.2
24 Los Angeles Lakers42152736%104.9109.7-4.8
25 Minnesota Timberwolves39132633%103.4104.5-1.1
26 Phoenix Suns38122632%105.9111.9-6.0
27 Philadelphia 76ers36112531%99.2105.6-6.4
28 Dallas Mavericks38112729%95.1100.7-5.5
29 Miami Heat40112928%98.0102.5-4.4
30 Brooklyn Nets3782922%105.1114.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30373934140
Indiana Pacers29272036112
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