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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 125-112
39-36 30-25 31-22 25-29
Position#17
Record15-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game111.2
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Orlando Magic
USA
Position#26
Record17-25
FormLLLWL
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game104.1
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 99
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 99
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 99
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 99
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 99
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 99
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 99
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 99
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 99
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
146avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
30-29
37-27
39-20
34-36
228.4Avg total
112.0Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)108.8111.2220.1-2.439%
Season at home (19)113.4113.8227.3-0.442%
Season away (19)104.3108.6212.8-4.337%
Last 10 (10)112.0116.4228.4-4.430%
Last 5 (5)115.4121.4236.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.3127.3236.7-18.00%
vs Similar (19)106.7109.3216.0-2.637%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)117.5112.9230.4+4.662%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
112-102
112
102
+10
105avg 92
H27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-120
101
120
-19
91avg 92
H29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
104-117
104
117
-13
91avg 92
A01/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
115-103
115
103
+12
112avg 92
A03/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
92-111
92
111
-19
80avg 92
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
80avg 92
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
95-111
95
111
-16
86avg 92
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
77avg 92
A12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
115-109
115
109
+6
109avg 92
A14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
107-114
107
114
-7
98avg 92
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-18
32-25
28-28
16-31
28-32
27-30
13-35
33-23
17-27
34-35
22-27
31-28
33-32
34-27
25-21
23-23
26-23
21-29
18-26
27-33
22-19
30-25
23-35
18-21
34-40
26-22
9-19
26-30
33-28
18-28
24-17
21-32
36-23
18-26
28-29
33-31
42-29
23-35
18-20
24-30
212.2Avg total
103.0Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)99.4104.1203.5-4.740%
Season at home (20)96.8102.5199.4-5.735%
Season away (22)101.8105.5207.3-3.845%
Last 10 (10)103.0109.2212.2-6.230%
Last 5 (5)101.2107.8209.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)102.2107.9210.1-5.732%
vs Similar (8)102.498.5200.9+3.962%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H12/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
57.5Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.7112.4+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.955.4113.3+2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)55.256.0111.2-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)57.557.6115.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)59.060.4119.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.066.3126.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (19)55.654.3109.9+1.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)58.154.9113.0+3.250%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A03/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A15/01
NBA
112.3Avg total
57.0Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.1106.4+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.451.4102.8+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)55.154.6109.6+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)57.055.3112.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)56.455.0111.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)53.654.0107.6-0.541%-
vs Similar (8)52.850.4103.1+2.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.930.4
53.4%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.9
35.9%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.318.5
79.4%
77.0%18.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.930.1
50.3%
50.2%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
77.0%13.1
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLLLLWWLL
Orlando Magic
LWLLLLWLLW
#17
League position
#26
-4.4
Net rating
-6.3
111.8
Offensive rating
104.4
116.2
Defensive rating
110.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.9%
3-point %
34.7%
65.6%
Assist %
58.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 104.4Defence116.2 · 110.7Shooting53.6% · 50.8%3-point %35.9% · 34.7%Ball care13.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
11/12/16Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets113-121
15/03/16Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets116-110
09/12/15Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic74-85
22/03/15Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets100-119
08/01/15Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic93-90
12/03/14Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets112-120
12/01/14Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic120-94
10/01/13Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic108-105
02/11/12Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets102-89
23/04/12Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic101-74
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/17HIndiana Pacers140-112
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
Orlando Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/17AUtah Jazz107-114
14/01/17APortland Trail Blazers115-109
12/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers96-105
09/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers95-111
07/01/17HHouston Rockets93-100
05/01/17HAtlanta Hawks92-111
03/01/17ANew York Knicks115-103
01/01/17AIndiana Pacers104-117
29/12/16HCharlotte Hornets101-120
27/12/16HMemphis Grizzlies112-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeWLLLW42%
AwayLLWLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %39%42%37%
Points / game108.8113.4104.3
Allowed / game111.2113.8108.6
Point differential-2.4-0.4-4.3
Avg total220.1227.3212.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%32%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %8%16%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLL35%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %40%35%45%
Points / game99.496.8101.8
Allowed / game104.1102.5105.5
Point differential-4.7-5.7-3.8
Avg total203.5199.4207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4034685%117.5105.5+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs4031978%106.798.0+8.7
3 Houston Rockets43321174%114.9107.6+7.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers39291074%109.4103.5+5.9
5 Toronto Raptors40271368%111.3104.5+6.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers42281467%108.0102.2+5.8
7 Boston Celtics40251562%106.9104.7+2.3
8 Utah Jazz42261662%99.094.8+4.2
9 Oklahoma City Thunder42251760%106.7104.9+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks41241759%103.0102.6+0.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies43251858%99.699.1+0.5
12 Washington Wizards40211952%105.8105.7+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers40211952%105.8106.8-1.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks40202050%105.2103.6+1.6
15 Charlotte Hornets40202050%105.2103.9+1.2
16 Chicago Bulls42212150%101.5101.5+0.0
17 Detroit Pistons43192444%99.8101.0-1.3
18 New York Knicks42182443%105.2108.3-3.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers43182542%107.9110.7-2.7
20 Orlando Magic42172540%99.4104.1-4.7
21 Sacramento Kings40162440%102.8105.5-2.8
22 Denver Nuggets38152339%108.8111.2-2.4
23 New Orleans Pelicans42162638%102.2105.0-2.8
24 Minnesota Timberwolves41142734%102.9103.9-1.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers45153033%104.3110.2-5.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers39132633%99.5105.3-5.9
27 Dallas Mavericks40132732%95.7100.5-4.8
28 Phoenix Suns40132732%106.0111.8-5.8
29 Miami Heat41113027%98.3102.8-4.5
30 Brooklyn Nets4083220%105.2114.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets39303125125
Orlando Magic36252229112
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