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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 143-117
33-24 37-37 29-23 44-33
Position#17
Record42-38
FormLWLLW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game118.6
vs
Position#12
Record46-35
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
111-136
111
136
-25
99avg 110
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 110
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
128-149
128
149
-21
118avg 110
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
118-135
118
135
-17
106avg 110
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
119-109
119
109
+10
114avg 110
H30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
129-147
129
147
-18
115avg 110
H01/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
152-136
152
136
+16
160avg 110
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
95-121
95
121
-26
84avg 110
A07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
114-128
114
128
-14
114avg 110
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
140-117
140
117
+23
146avg 110
A10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-38
27-38
23-32
30-28
28-19
35-27
20-37
37-20
27-40
19-41
41-28
41-40
36-34
39-45
32-29
11-27
38-34
20-27
33-26
28-22
33-53
24-27
45-32
27-35
36-32
41-25
45-34
30-45
27-32
24-32
25-30
19-27
26-32
24-37
40-33
24-26
34-23
38-29
33-33
35-32
250.7Avg total
122.6Scored
128.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)120.8118.6239.3+2.252%
Season at home (40)123.0118.3241.3+4.762%
Season away (40)118.5118.8237.4-0.342%
Last 10 (10)122.6128.1250.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)126.0129.8255.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.2122.8237.0-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)117.9121.2239.1-3.436%
vs Weaker (12)128.4117.1245.5+11.375%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
146-107
146
107
+39
148avg 111
H23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
130-129 OT
130
129
+1
121avg 111
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
102-109
102
109
-7
86avg 111
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
123-113
123
113
+10
120avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
112-102
112
102
+10
105avg 111
H30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
130-101
130
101
+29
127avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
141-107
141
107
+34
142avg 111
A03/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
105-108
105
108
-3
92avg 111
H06/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
116-122
116
122
-6
102avg 111
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
124-102
124
102
+22
116avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
39-24
45-29
30-32
37-29
36-26
25-40
23-26
29-26
31-29
22-32
20-22
27-30
39-24
22-28
35-31
29-30
25-24
36-22
22-26
25-28
47-26
30-22
28-25
35-25
36-30
27-30
43-22
31-32
26-21
22-28
26-27
29-33
38-27
20-44
29-18
27-22
34-26
35-17
28-37
232.9Avg total
122.9Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)118.5115.7234.2+2.857%
Season at home (41)117.8114.0231.8+3.859%
Season away (40)119.2117.5236.7+1.755%
Last 10 (10)122.9110.0232.9+12.970%
Last 5 (5)123.2108.0231.2+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)112.2112.0224.2+0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (14)118.4114.6233.1+3.857%
vs Weaker (12)125.9107.1233.0+18.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +9.4+9.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +9.4+9.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-76
58
76
-18
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H01/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A07/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-52
72
52
+20
A10/04
NBA
127.2Avg total
60.7Scored
66.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.861.0121.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.861.5123.3+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)59.960.5120.3-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)60.766.5127.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)61.464.4125.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.260.5120.8-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.862.7118.5-6.921%-
vs Weaker (12)66.959.2126.1+7.875%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A01/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A03/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H06/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H10/04
NBA
118.6Avg total
65.2Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.056.5119.5+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.754.7117.4+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)63.559.2122.7+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)65.253.4118.6+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)65.654.0119.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.054.2115.2+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.058.9120.9+3.157%-
vs Weaker (12)64.954.3119.2+10.692%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 122.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.027.5
57.3%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.216.0
37.9%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws24.319.6
80.7%
78.1%19.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 122.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.028.1
55.1%
54.8%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.316.8
39.7%
35.8%50.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.3
77.3%
78.1%16.3
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWLWLLWL
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#12
-5.3
Net rating
+12.5
117.3
Offensive rating
119.4
122.6
Defensive rating
106.9
57.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.9%
3-point %
39.7%
70.1%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 119.4Defence122.6 · 106.9Shooting57.1% · 57.1%3-point %37.9% · 39.7%Ball care12.0% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26AWashington Wizards140-117
09/04/26AToronto Raptors114-128
07/04/26AToronto Raptors95-121
04/04/26HWashington Wizards152-136
01/04/26HBoston Celtics129-147
30/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-109
29/03/26AIndiana Pacers118-135
27/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers128-149
25/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
23/03/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-136
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-102
08/04/26ACleveland Cavaliers116-122
06/04/26HNew York Knicks105-108
03/04/26ABrooklyn Nets141-107
01/04/26AOrlando Magic130-101
30/03/26HBoston Celtics112-102
28/03/26HSacramento Kings123-113
27/03/26ABoston Celtics102-109
25/03/26ADetroit Pistons130-129 OT
23/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies146-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game120.8123.0118.5
Allowed / game118.6118.3118.8
Point differential+2.2+4.7-0.3
Avg total239.3241.3237.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)60% (10)33% (6)
Overtime %1%2%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWWLW59%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %57%59%55%
Points / game118.5117.8119.2
Allowed / game115.7114.0117.5
Point differential+2.8+3.8+1.7
Avg total234.2231.8236.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)33% (9)60% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder79631680%119.1107.7+11.4
2 San Antonio Spurs79601976%119.8111.3+8.6
3 Detroit Pistons81592273%117.6109.5+8.1
4 Boston Celtics81552668%114.9107.1+7.7
5 Denver Nuggets81532865%122.0116.9+5.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers80522865%116.1114.5+1.7
7 New York Knicks79512865%116.5110.1+6.4
8 Houston Rockets81513063%115.0110.1+4.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%119.4115.4+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves81483359%117.8114.5+3.3
11 Atlanta Hawks81463557%118.5115.7+2.8
12 Toronto Raptors80453556%114.5111.9+2.7
13 Orlando Magic79443556%115.8115.0+0.8
14 Phoenix Suns80443655%112.6110.9+1.7
15 Philadelphia 76ers81443754%115.8116.2-0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets81433853%116.1111.4+4.7
17 Miami Heat80423852%120.8118.6+2.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers81414051%113.8112.7+1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers81414051%115.4115.8-0.4
20 Golden State Warriors81374446%114.7115.2-0.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks81324940%110.7116.7-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls81315038%116.2121.2-5.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans81265532%115.4119.9-4.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies81255631%114.8120.5-5.7
25 Dallas Mavericks81255631%113.7119.5-5.8
26 Utah Jazz81225927%117.7126.0-8.2
27 Sacramento Kings81225927%111.0121.0-10.0
28 Brooklyn Nets81206125%106.0115.7-9.7
29 Indiana Pacers81196223%112.3120.3-7.9
30 Washington Wizards81176421%112.9124.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat33372944143
Atlanta Hawks24372333117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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