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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2009
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 98-72
32-18 19-24 27-14 20-16
Position#14
Record45-42
FormLWWLL
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game97.6
vs
Position#13
Record50-37
FormWLLWW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game96.1
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
H07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
122-105
122
105
+17
H12/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H16/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A20/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
108-93
108
93
+15
A23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
107-78
107
78
+29
H25/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H28/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
11-13
18-14
31-25
25-22
22-32
25-25
26-26
37-26
26-39
34-26
25-14
21-18
13-20
30-26
15-17
24-22
22-19
21-20
21-27
21-24
18-35
18-17
7-14
24-18
30-23
29-31
25-21
22-12
28-17
25-32
32-17
17-24
25-22
13-17
16-18
20-24
20-39
30-22
21-21
185.7Avg total
92.9Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)97.797.6195.3+0.252%
Season at home (43)100.395.8196.0+4.567%
Season away (44)95.299.3194.5-4.036%
Last 10 (10)92.992.8185.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)88.289.6177.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.5103.8203.3-4.317%
vs Similar ◀ (22)100.098.8198.8+1.255%
vs Weaker (2)106.093.0199.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
118-110
118
110
+8
A07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
113-105
113
105
+8
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
122-118
122
118
+4
H10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
93-108
93
108
-15
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
78-107
78
107
-29
A25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A28/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
H30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
27-26
32-27
33-26
27-28
26-34
31-12
29-31
34-36
28-24
28-24
32-34
18-21
20-13
26-30
17-15
21-22
22-31
26-19
21-26
24-21
35-18
17-18
14-7
18-24
23-30
31-29
21-25
12-22
17-28
32-25
17-32
24-17
22-25
17-13
18-16
24-20
39-20
22-30
21-21
192.3Avg total
97.2Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)97.696.1193.7+1.657%
Season at home (44)98.592.6191.1+5.975%
Season away (43)96.799.6196.3-2.940%
Last 10 (10)97.295.1192.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)89.688.2177.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.691.0181.6-0.429%
vs Similar ◀ (19)95.793.3188.9+2.468%
vs Weaker (4)104.095.2199.2+8.875%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H12/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A20/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H25/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A30/04
NBA
92.1Avg total
44.5Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.749.598.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.749.9101.6+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)46.149.195.2-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.692.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.692.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.552.099.5-4.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)48.149.197.2-1.045%-
vs Weaker (2)59.046.0105.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H30/04
NBA
97.8Avg total
48.7Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.247.494.7-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (19)48.844.693.5+4.268%-
Last 30 away (11)44.552.396.7-7.818%-
Last 10 (10)48.749.197.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.645.092.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.046.988.9-4.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.847.595.3+0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)53.848.2102.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/09AAtlanta Hawks91-106
28/04/09HAtlanta Hawks71-81
25/04/09HAtlanta Hawks107-78
23/04/09AAtlanta Hawks108-93
20/04/09AAtlanta Hawks64-90
16/04/09HDetroit Pistons102-96 OT
14/04/09AAtlanta Hawks79-81
12/04/09HNew York Knicks122-105
10/04/09ABoston Celtics98-105
07/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans87-93 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/09HMiami Heat106-91
28/04/09AMiami Heat81-71
25/04/09AMiami Heat78-107
23/04/09HMiami Heat93-108
20/04/09HMiami Heat90-64
16/04/09AMemphis Grizzlies90-98
14/04/09HMiami Heat81-79
10/04/09HIndiana Pacers122-118
09/04/09AMilwaukee Bucks113-105
07/04/09AToronto Raptors118-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874344
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game97.7100.395.2
Allowed / game97.695.899.3
Point differential+0.2+4.5-4.0
Avg total195.3196.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (24)100% (7)53% (17)
Overtime %9%12%7%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %57%75%40%
Points / game97.698.596.7
Allowed / game96.192.699.6
Point differential+1.6+5.9-2.9
Avg total193.7191.1196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%39%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (30)71% (14)44% (16)
Overtime %1%0%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers86701681%100.090.7+9.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers87691879%106.999.2+7.7
3 Boston Celtics88652374%101.894.5+7.2
4 Orlando Magic88632572%100.794.0+6.8
5 Denver Nuggets87582967%104.6100.0+4.6
6 Houston Rockets88573165%98.093.9+4.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers88563264%98.694.0+4.6
8 San Antonio Spurs87553263%96.793.5+3.2
9 Dallas Mavericks87543362%101.499.2+2.2
10 Atlanta Hawks87503757%97.696.1+1.6
11 New Orleans Pelicans87503757%95.195.1+0.1
12 Utah Jazz87493856%103.2101.2+2.0
13 Phoenix Suns82463656%109.4107.5+1.9
14 Miami Heat87454252%97.797.6+0.2
15 Chicago Bulls88444450%102.7103.2-0.5
16 Philadelphia 76ers88434549%96.897.2-0.5
17 Detroit Pistons86394745%93.594.7-1.2
18 Indiana Pacers82364644%105.1106.2-1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets82354743%93.694.9-1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%99.3100.4-1.1
21 Brooklyn Nets82344841%98.1100.5-2.4
22 Toronto Raptors82334940%99.0101.9-2.8
23 New York Knicks82325039%105.2107.8-2.6
24 Golden State Warriors82295335%108.6112.3-3.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves82245829%97.8102.7-4.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies82245829%93.999.3-5.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82235928%97.0103.1-6.1
28 Washington Wizards82196323%96.1103.5-7.5
29 Los Angeles Clippers82196323%95.1103.9-8.8
30 Sacramento Kings82176521%100.6109.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3219272098
Atlanta Hawks1824141672
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