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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 100-94
22-27 30-29 24-21 24-17
Position#13
Record31-31
FormLLLWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#9
Record40-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game97.5
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A17/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A18/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
100-87 OT
100
87
+13
A20/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A21/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H24/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
110-106
110
106
+4
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
114-111 OT
114
111
+3
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
23-15
24-22
27-12
23-21
23-14
33-17
26-26
23-22
28-23
19-21
17-18
21-14
25-17
17-26
13-19
27-21
25-23
12-27
27-26
15-24
26-21
17-23
30-23
18-26
27-24
12-25
14-19
24-26
24-26
16-24
16-20
33-34
23-20
30-24
24-28
26-27
18-20
30-21
25-31
186.0Avg total
94.0Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)96.295.5191.7+0.850%
Season at home (30)96.893.4190.1+3.453%
Season away (32)95.797.4193.1-1.747%
Last 10 (10)94.092.0186.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)92.699.6192.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.796.7182.3-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)93.898.8192.5-5.035%
vs Weaker (10)102.187.5189.6+14.680%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
110-92
110
92
+18
A18/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A20/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
L
104-108
104
108
-4
A22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
H27/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-102 OT
106
102
+4
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
116-92
116
92
+24
A02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H04/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
127-122
127
122
+5
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
27-18
25-31
29-17
23-26
27-23
16-21
14-18
24-21
28-30
38-22
14-35
28-24
26-27
20-24
31-25
23-21
27-21
28-24
20-26
19-29
31-21
26-15
23-34
24-24
20-22
30-27
18-19
34-23
25-20
16-25
41-24
32-22
29-29
26-17
25-25
35-35
28-28
29-25
35-34
206.1Avg total
106.1Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)102.397.5199.8+4.866%
Season at home (32)105.597.0202.5+8.578%
Season away (29)98.898.1196.9+0.752%
Last 10 (10)106.1100.0206.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)112.8104.0216.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.5108.5192.0-25.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)95.196.6191.7-1.553%
vs Weaker (13)107.596.2203.8+11.385%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A17/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A18/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A21/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H24/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/03
NBA
91.7Avg total
47.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.648.598.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (10)51.547.699.1+3.950%-
Last 30 away (20)48.648.997.5-0.255%-
Last 10 (10)47.244.591.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.696.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.352.7104.0-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.050.198.1-2.141%-
vs Weaker (10)51.844.596.3+7.380%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A18/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A20/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A22/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H27/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A02/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H04/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
D
63-63
63
63
+0
H06/03
NBA
102.9Avg total
53.9Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.549.498.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.247.597.7+2.647%-
Last 30 away (13)48.751.8100.5-3.146%-
Last 10 (10)53.949.0102.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)55.450.6106.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.557.598.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.149.396.4-2.333%-
vs Weaker (13)53.848.2101.9+5.669%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/10HLos Angeles Lakers114-111 OT
03/03/10HGolden State Warriors110-106
01/03/10AOrlando Magic80-96
27/02/10HMilwaukee Bucks71-94
24/02/10HMinnesota Timberwolves88-91
21/02/10ADallas Mavericks91-97
20/02/10AMemphis Grizzlies100-87 OT
18/02/10ABrooklyn Nets87-84
17/02/10APhiladelphia 76ers105-78
11/02/10AAtlanta Hawks94-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/10HGolden State Warriors127-122
04/03/10HPhiladelphia 76ers112-93
02/03/10AChicago Bulls116-92
28/02/10HMilwaukee Bucks106-102 OT
27/02/10HDallas Mavericks103-111 OT
25/02/10HMinnesota Timberwolves98-92
23/02/10AUtah Jazz105-100
22/02/10AGolden State Warriors104-108
20/02/10APhoenix Suns80-88
18/02/10ALos Angeles Clippers110-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game96.296.895.7
Allowed / game95.593.497.4
Point differential+0.8+3.4-1.7
Avg total191.7190.1193.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)67% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %5%7%3%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWLLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613229
Win %66%78%52%
Points / game102.3105.598.8
Allowed / game97.597.098.1
Point differential+4.8+8.5+0.7
Avg total199.8202.5196.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)71% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %8%12%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers63491478%102.695.1+7.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers63461773%102.796.5+6.2
3 Orlando Magic63432068%101.795.5+6.2
4 Dallas Mavericks63422167%101.198.8+2.3
5 Denver Nuggets62412166%107.5102.6+4.9
6 Atlanta Hawks61402166%102.397.5+4.8
7 Boston Celtics60392165%98.794.0+4.7
8 Utah Jazz61392264%102.697.8+4.9
9 Phoenix Suns64392561%109.4106.1+3.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder61372461%99.696.4+3.2
11 San Antonio Spurs59352459%100.896.6+4.3
12 Portland Trail Blazers64372758%97.994.9+3.0
13 Toronto Raptors60322853%104.2105.3-1.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks61322952%98.296.7+1.6
15 Memphis Grizzlies62323052%102.1102.9-0.8
16 Chicago Bulls61313051%97.098.6-1.5
17 Miami Heat62313150%96.295.5+0.8
18 Houston Rockets60303050%101.0101.2-0.2
19 New Orleans Pelicans63313249%99.6101.4-1.8
20 Charlotte Hornets61303149%94.894.2+0.6
21 Los Angeles Clippers62253740%95.8100.7-4.9
22 Philadelphia 76ers61223936%97.4100.9-3.4
23 Washington Wizards59213836%97.5101.5-4.0
24 New York Knicks61214034%101.6104.9-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings62214134%100.8105.2-4.4
26 Detroit Pistons62214134%92.797.5-4.7
27 Indiana Pacers62204232%99.4104.5-5.2
28 Golden State Warriors62174527%106.8110.8-4.0
29 Minnesota Timberwolves62144823%97.7106.3-8.6
30 Brooklyn Nets6165510%90.2101.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat22302424100
Atlanta Hawks2729211794
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