PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 92-75
30-14 21-20 22-24 19-17
Position#13
Record16-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#9
Record21-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game98.2
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
90-118
90
118
-28
H13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
115-95
115
95
+20
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-80
114
80
+34
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
78-108
78
108
-30
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
97-107
97
107
-10
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
24-25
18-31
23-25
24-26
36-24
31-24
24-21
33-18
26-26
30-16
15-26
25-21
23-24
21-26
26-31
19-16
13-14
31-19
17-21
21-23
20-14
23-17
29-33
34-21
32-23
32-16
16-20
19-25
21-23
19-25
32-22
26-26
23-32
13-28
16-22
30-17
16-32
26-24
25-34
190.5Avg total
95.7Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)96.896.7193.5+0.152%
Season at home (19)95.994.2190.2+1.753%
Season away (12)98.2100.8198.9-2.650%
Last 10 (10)95.794.8190.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)94.695.4190.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.398.3200.7+4.067%
vs Similar ◀ (17)95.3101.4196.7-6.129%
vs Weaker (10)95.988.7184.6+7.280%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
130-107
130
107
+23
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
110-97
110
97
+13
H17/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H19/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
98-101 OT
98
101
-3
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
112-87
112
87
+25
A23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
31-21
39-32
29-25
22-24
29-18
32-24
27-31
22-18
22-16
37-17
15-32
29-16
17-24
23-23
23-29
26-17
28-24
27-28
31-18
24-34
27-29
31-29
22-32
33-20
18-20
33-26
26-32
26-23
25-33
23-19
10-20
30-23
34-29
21-25
16-29
26-22
28-33
26-12
19-32
206.3Avg total
105.3Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)104.998.2203.1+6.766%
Season at home (16)109.498.9208.3+10.475%
Season away (16)100.497.5197.9+2.956%
Last 10 (10)105.3101.0206.3+4.350%
Last 5 (5)101.4107.0208.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.093.0169.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)98.997.6196.5+1.362%
vs Weaker (16)110.998.9209.8+11.969%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -6.2-6.2
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#2
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/01
NBA
95.7Avg total
49.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.648.997.5-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.247.796.9+1.556%-
Last 30 away (12)47.850.698.3-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)49.046.795.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.295.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.050.0103.0+3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)47.850.998.7-3.141%-
vs Weaker (10)48.745.193.8+3.670%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A23/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H02/01
NBA
100.1Avg total
52.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.649.2101.8+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.648.8104.4+6.871%-
Last 30 away (16)50.049.699.6+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)52.847.3100.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)54.253.2107.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.039.090.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.050.2101.2+0.846%-
vs Weaker (16)54.049.1103.1+4.969%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/10HCharlotte Hornets97-107
01/01/10ASan Antonio Spurs78-108
31/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans91-95
27/12/09HIndiana Pacers114-80
25/12/09ANew York Knicks93-87
24/12/09HUtah Jazz80-70
20/12/09HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
18/12/09HOrlando Magic104-86
16/12/09HToronto Raptors115-95
13/12/09HMemphis Grizzlies90-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/10HNew York Knicks108-112 OT
31/12/09ACleveland Cavaliers101-106
30/12/09HCleveland Cavaliers84-95
27/12/09AIndiana Pacers110-98
24/12/09ADenver Nuggets104-124
23/12/09AMinnesota Timberwolves112-87
20/12/09AChicago Bulls98-101 OT
19/12/09HUtah Jazz96-83
17/12/09HMemphis Grizzlies110-97
13/12/09HBrooklyn Nets130-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game96.895.998.2
Allowed / game96.794.2100.8
Point differential+0.1+1.7-2.6
Avg total193.5190.2198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL66%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%75%56%
Points / game104.9109.4100.4
Allowed / game98.298.997.5
Point differential+6.7+10.4+2.9
Avg total203.1208.3197.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers3327682%104.997.3+7.6
2 Boston Celtics3224875%100.592.8+7.8
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3627975%100.093.5+6.5
4 Orlando Magic3324973%101.695.8+5.8
5 Dallas Mavericks34231168%100.797.4+3.4
6 Atlanta Hawks32211166%104.998.2+6.7
7 Portland Trail Blazers35221363%96.792.9+3.9
8 San Antonio Spurs32201262%101.895.6+6.2
9 Denver Nuggets34211362%106.8101.6+5.1
10 Phoenix Suns34211362%109.8106.4+3.4
11 Houston Rockets34201459%100.399.5+0.8
12 Utah Jazz33181555%99.797.6+2.0
13 Oklahoma City Thunder33181555%98.396.5+1.8
14 Miami Heat31161552%96.896.7+0.1
15 Memphis Grizzlies32161650%104.1104.7-0.5
16 Toronto Raptors35171849%103.0105.1-2.1
17 New Orleans Pelicans31151648%98.0100.7-2.7
18 Chicago Bulls31141745%92.097.1-5.1
19 Charlotte Hornets32141844%92.292.5-0.3
20 Los Angeles Clippers32141844%95.898.8-2.9
21 Sacramento Kings33141942%103.8105.5-1.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks31131842%97.598.7-1.3
23 New York Knicks34142041%101.9102.7-0.8
24 Detroit Pistons32112134%91.595.8-4.4
25 Washington Wizards31102132%98.9102.7-3.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers33102330%97.7101.8-4.1
27 Indiana Pacers33102330%97.6103.8-6.3
28 Golden State Warriors3292328%106.8112.0-5.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves3572820%95.4105.5-10.0
30 Brooklyn Nets333309%90.1100.8-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3021221992
Atlanta Hawks1420241775
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.