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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 112-97
29-26 30-23 29-21 24-27
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game114.3
vs
Position#27
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game101.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
101avg 99
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-112
102
112
-10
90avg 99
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
no box
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
100avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
119avg 99
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
120-101
120
101
+19
112avg 99
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
124avg 99
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
109-116
109
116
-7
102avg 99
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
26-28
24-18
21-13
17-36
30-25
30-27
28-22
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
24-32
30-28
29-24
37-17
29-33
24-37
29-23
39-28
23-36
34-19
27-22
25-39
219.8Avg total
110.1Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)120.0114.3234.3+5.767%
Season at home (1)120.0101.0221.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)120.0121.0241.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)110.1109.7219.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)115.2111.0226.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.9118.3227.2-9.422%
vs Similar (16)106.799.6206.3+7.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)114.0111.0225.0+3.060%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
98-118
98
118
-20
82avg 102
H29/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
136-135 OT
136
135
+1
no box
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
111-117
111
117
-6
99avg 102
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
130-122
130
122
+8
125avg 102
H03/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
113-149
113
149
-36
no box
A05/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
107-115
107
115
-8
90avg 102
A07/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
134-135
134
135
-1
no box
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
117-100
117
100
+17
113avg 102
A24/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-99
103
99
+4
100avg 102
H26/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
103-105
103
105
-2
93avg 102
H28/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-38
21-22
25-30
22-28
26-43
42-28
30-26
24-25
31-33
25-25
34-28
21-31
42-38
30-30
26-26
32-28
18-42
30-39
32-32
33-36
21-28
24-26
27-31
35-30
28-35
41-38
34-36
31-26
38-32
22-31
31-18
26-19
23-26
29-24
25-25
26-24
40-31
25-32
18-19
20-23
234.7Avg total
115.2Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)107.7101.3209.0+6.367%
Season at home (2)103.0102.0205.0+1.050%
Season away (1)117.0100.0217.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)115.2119.5234.7-4.340%
Last 5 (5)112.8110.8223.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)115.6118.6234.2-3.040%
vs Similar (5)125.4123.0248.4+2.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A27/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
54.9Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.4109.6+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.252.1107.3+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)55.156.8111.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)54.957.6112.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)54.458.0112.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.357.9115.2-0.644%-
vs Similar (16)52.951.6104.5+1.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)58.657.2115.8+1.440%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H29/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H03/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
48-81
48
81
-33
A05/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A07/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A24/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H26/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H28/10
NBA
122.7Avg total
58.6Scored
64.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.861.9121.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (20)61.061.6122.7-0.650%-
Last 30 away (10)57.562.4119.9-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)58.664.1122.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)58.260.6118.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)59.362.7122.0-3.432%-
vs Similar (5)62.658.0120.6+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.730.0
52.0%
52.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.3
33.3%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
77.2%15.6
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.729.3
52.6%
52.3%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.212.5
33.6%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws24.418.0
73.8%
77.2%18.0
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWLLLLW
Atlanta Hawks
LWWLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#27
-0.2
Net rating
-3.5
102.1
Offensive rating
106.7
102.3
Defensive rating
110.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
33.6%
62.0%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 106.7Defence102.3 · 110.1Shooting51.3% · 51.7%3-point %33.3% · 33.6%Ball care15.2% · 13.1%Off. rebounds21.4% · 21.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-116
26/10/19AMilwaukee Bucks131-126 OT
23/10/19HMemphis Grizzlies120-101
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
01/04/19ABoston Celtics105-110
30/03/19ANew York Knicks100-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/19HPhiladelphia 76ers103-105
26/10/19HOrlando Magic103-99
24/10/19ADetroit Pistons117-100
11/04/19HIndiana Pacers134-135
07/04/19AMilwaukee Bucks107-115
05/04/19AOrlando Magic113-149
03/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers130-122
03/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs111-117
31/03/19HMilwaukee Bucks136-135 OT
29/03/19HPortland Trail Blazers98-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game120.0120.0120.0
Allowed / game114.3101.0121.0
Point differential+5.7+19.0-1.0
Avg total234.3221.0241.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game107.7103.0117.0
Allowed / game101.3102.0100.0
Point differential+6.3+1.0+17.0
Avg total209.0205.0217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minnesota Timberwolves330100%121.3111.3+10.0
2 Philadelphia 76ers330100%109.7102.3+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets330100%105.7100.3+5.3
4 San Antonio Spurs330100%119.0114.3+4.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers43175%121.5112.5+9.0
6 Toronto Raptors43175%112.0103.2+8.8
7 Utah Jazz43175%98.891.5+7.2
8 Atlanta Hawks32167%107.7101.3+6.3
9 Los Angeles Lakers32167%105.799.7+6.0
10 Milwaukee Bucks32167%124.0118.0+6.0
11 Miami Heat32167%120.0114.3+5.7
12 Boston Celtics32167%107.7102.7+5.0
13 Dallas Mavericks32167%116.7112.3+4.3
14 Houston Rockets32167%117.7117.3+0.3
15 Phoenix Suns42250%114.0105.2+8.8
16 Portland Trail Blazers42250%113.2113.0+0.2
17 Detroit Pistons42250%106.5109.5-3.0
18 Brooklyn Nets31233%124.0123.3+0.7
19 Washington Wizards31233%106.3105.7+0.7
20 Orlando Magic31233%96.097.3-1.3
21 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%102.3107.3-5.0
22 Memphis Grizzlies31233%112.3121.0-8.7
23 Golden State Warriors31233%116.0128.0-12.0
24 Oklahoma City Thunder41325%103.0101.2+1.8
25 Chicago Bulls41325%104.2110.2-6.0
26 New York Knicks41325%105.0112.2-7.2
27 Charlotte Hornets41325%105.5119.2-13.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans4040%121.0128.2-7.2
29 Indiana Pacers3030%101.0108.3-7.3
30 Sacramento Kings4040%95.5115.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29302924112
Atlanta Hawks2623212797
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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