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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 116-93
29-22 33-25 32-24 22-22
Position#13
Record19-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#12
Record28-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game104.0
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 92
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
108-116
108
116
-8
101avg 92
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
109-103
109
103
+6
100avg 92
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
90avg 92
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 92
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
92avg 92
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 92
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
91avg 92
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 92
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 92
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
25-26
14-26
27-28
30-42
18-23
26-26
34-25
27-32
26-21
26-26
30-24
29-22
15-31
26-20
29-22
25-22
28-21
29-28
27-26
28-30
18-18
31-25
28-29
34-30
21-36
16-23
38-17
33-24
20-29
24-14
23-21
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
206.7Avg total
105.4Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)99.6102.1201.7-2.539%
Season at home (24)102.6102.1204.7+0.546%
Season away (25)96.7102.2198.9-5.432%
Last 10 (10)105.4101.3206.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)106.899.0205.8+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (19)98.1101.4199.5-3.332%
vs Weaker (8)107.2110.9218.1-3.650%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 96
H14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
111-98
111
98
+13
109avg 96
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
108-107
108
107
+1
96avg 96
A16/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-118
95
118
-23
81avg 96
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
102-93
102
93
+9
95avg 96
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 96
H22/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
105-115
105
115
-10
96avg 96
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
119-114
119
114
+5
117avg 96
A26/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
86-112
86
112
-26
70avg 96
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
142-139 OT
142
139
+3
132avg 96
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
26-20
21-30
36-25
36-36
24-17
28-30
23-15
26-27
27-27
35-29
20-24
18-42
27-27
23-25
27-24
35-13
30-23
22-21
15-36
25-25
37-29
28-23
20-16
21-30
19-28
35-27
30-30
22-29
29-30
27-24
41-31
25-37
20-30
23-26
18-19
30-37
31-28
22-16
21-23
217.1Avg total
107.9Scored
109.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)103.8104.0207.8-0.258%
Season at home (24)106.2105.8212.0+0.558%
Season away (24)101.3102.2203.5-0.958%
Last 10 (10)107.9109.2217.1-1.360%
Last 5 (5)112.4114.6227.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)107.0119.0226.0-12.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)102.9104.9207.8-2.062%
vs Weaker (5)113.0104.4217.4+8.660%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H18/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
107.2Avg total
52.6Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.154.7106.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.354.7108.1-1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)50.954.7105.5-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)52.654.6107.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)54.855.8110.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.354.0104.3-3.737%-
vs Weaker (8)56.857.6114.4-0.950%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A16/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H21/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H22/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A26/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H29/01
NBA
108.9Avg total
52.6Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.453.3103.7-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.753.0103.7-2.331%-
Last 30 away (14)50.153.6103.7-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)52.656.3108.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)51.860.6112.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.054.5104.5-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)48.953.1102.0-4.224%-
vs Weaker (5)57.053.2110.2+3.860%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.129.0
51.7%
50.2%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.7
39.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.915.3
69.9%
77.0%15.3
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.929.1
48.6%
50.2%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.3
37.3%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.118.8
74.9%
77.0%18.8
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWWWWWWLL
Atlanta Hawks
WLWLWWLWWL
#13
League position
#12
+4.2
Net rating
-1.3
107.8
Offensive rating
106.0
103.6
Defensive rating
107.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
37.3%
55.7%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 106.0Defence103.6 · 107.3Shooting54.1% · 50.9%3-point %39.3% · 37.3%Ball care11.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds17.2% · 22.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103
28/01/17AChicago Bulls100-88
26/01/17ABrooklyn Nets109-106
24/01/17HGolden State Warriors105-102
22/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks109-97
20/01/17HDallas Mavericks99-95
18/01/17HHouston Rockets109-103
14/01/17AMilwaukee Bucks108-116
11/01/17AGolden State Warriors95-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HNew York Knicks142-139 OT
28/01/17HWashington Wizards86-112
26/01/17AChicago Bulls119-114
24/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers105-115
22/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers110-93
21/01/17HChicago Bulls102-93
19/01/17ADetroit Pistons95-118
16/01/17ANew York Knicks108-107
15/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks111-98
14/01/17HBoston Celtics101-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW39%
HomeWWWWW46%
AwayLLLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %39%46%32%
Points / game99.6102.696.7
Allowed / game102.1102.1102.2
Point differential-2.5+0.5-5.4
Avg total201.7204.7198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)33% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game103.8106.2101.3
Allowed / game104.0105.8102.2
Point differential-0.2+0.5-0.9
Avg total207.8212.0203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)60% (5)69% (13)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4841785%118.0104.8+13.1
2 San Antonio Spurs48371177%107.599.2+8.2
3 Houston Rockets52361669%114.1108.0+6.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers48331569%110.0104.9+5.1
5 Los Angeles Clippers48301862%107.8103.9+4.0
6 Boston Celtics48301862%108.2105.7+2.5
7 Toronto Raptors49301961%109.6104.7+4.9
8 Utah Jazz49301961%99.395.5+3.8
9 Washington Wizards48282058%106.9105.0+1.9
10 Atlanta Hawks48282058%103.8104.0-0.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies50292158%100.299.5+0.7
12 Oklahoma City Thunder49282157%105.8105.3+0.5
13 Indiana Pacers48262254%105.8106.2-0.5
14 Chicago Bulls49242549%101.6101.6-0.0
15 Charlotte Hornets49232647%105.1103.9+1.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks47212645%104.7104.6+0.1
17 Denver Nuggets47212645%110.5111.3-0.8
18 Portland Trail Blazers50222844%107.8110.0-2.2
19 Detroit Pistons48212744%100.8101.9-1.1
20 New York Knicks50212942%106.1108.9-2.9
21 Minnesota Timberwolves49193039%104.0105.1-1.1
22 Miami Heat49193039%99.6102.1-2.5
23 New Orleans Pelicans49193039%103.5106.2-2.7
24 Sacramento Kings49193039%103.0106.1-3.1
25 Philadelphia 76ers47182938%100.9106.0-5.1
26 Dallas Mavericks48183038%97.1100.1-3.0
27 Orlando Magic51193237%99.9105.5-5.6
28 Los Angeles Lakers51173433%104.0110.2-6.2
29 Phoenix Suns48153331%106.4112.1-5.7
30 Brooklyn Nets4893919%105.8115.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29333222116
Atlanta Hawks2225242293
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