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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 95-79
17-14 29-13 18-24 31-28
Position#14
Record23-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game96.6
vs
Position#13
Record26-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game96.6
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
21-27
27-32
24-24
25-25
25-30
33-32
16-20
30-22
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
20-21
26-31
27-24
26-20
28-24
27-31
25-18
22-26
21-25
15-20
28-24
22-24
31-27
26-23
27-23
20-21
10-29
24-28
30-21
19-20
32-29
24-23
27-16
20-29
198.1Avg total
98.2Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)96.596.6193.2-0.155%
Season at home (20)95.792.6188.3+3.165%
Season away (22)97.3100.3197.6-3.045%
Last 10 (10)98.299.9198.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)95.696.2191.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)89.296.2185.5-7.038%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.995.4190.4-0.557%
vs Weaker (8)104.4102.5206.9+1.975%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
102-106
102
106
-4
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
87-121
87
121
-34
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A15/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
114-119
114
119
-5
A17/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
105-102
105
102
+3
A21/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
117-87
117
87
+30
H24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
99-104
99
104
-5
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
21-31
25-26
32-20
18-41
15-30
27-32
27-18
30-30
22-29
26-24
16-26
16-31
30-19
29-31
27-26
15-12
28-19
23-27
31-22
20-23
31-33
30-29
33-34
23-24
19-27
20-13
25-20
22-22
28-31
27-24
28-25
27-19
31-28
28-20
31-20
26-27
31-28
23-28
19-21
202.3Avg total
100.4Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)98.796.6195.3+2.160%
Season at home (22)100.094.4194.4+5.677%
Season away (21)97.398.8196.1-1.543%
Last 10 (10)100.4101.9202.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)104.499.2203.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.8101.8194.5-9.025%
vs Similar ◀ (20)98.095.0192.9+3.060%
vs Weaker (6)105.396.5201.8+8.883%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H25/01
NBA
100.1Avg total
48.0Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.950.298.1-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.148.493.5-3.236%-
Last 30 away (16)50.351.9102.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)48.052.1100.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.651.899.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.448.493.8-3.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.149.895.9-3.729%-
vs Weaker (8)53.652.9106.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
33-71
33
71
-38
A10/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A17/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H19/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A21/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H24/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H25/01
NBA
101.0Avg total
47.7Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.448.096.4+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.949.5100.5+1.465%-
Last 30 away (13)45.145.991.0-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)47.753.3101.0-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)51.652.4104.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.052.894.8-10.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)49.448.097.4+1.460%-
vs Weaker (6)49.344.794.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
1
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateGameScore
13/12/08Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks73-87
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/09HOrlando Magic103-97
22/01/09HBoston Celtics83-98
19/01/09AOklahoma City Thunder104-94
18/01/09AHouston Rockets86-93
15/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks102-99
14/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
10/01/09ASacramento Kings119-115 OT
08/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-108
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/09HPhoenix Suns99-104
24/01/09HMilwaukee Bucks117-87
21/01/09AChicago Bulls105-102
19/01/09HToronto Raptors87-84
17/01/09AGolden State Warriors114-119
15/01/09ALos Angeles Clippers97-80
14/01/09APhoenix Suns102-107
11/01/09HPhiladelphia 76ers94-109
10/01/09AOrlando Magic87-121
08/01/09HOrlando Magic102-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWLLW65%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %55%65%45%
Points / game96.595.797.3
Allowed / game96.692.6100.3
Point differential-0.1+3.1-3.0
Avg total193.2188.3197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)100% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLLWWL77%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %60%77%43%
Points / game98.7100.097.3
Allowed / game96.694.498.8
Point differential+2.1+5.6-1.5
Avg total195.3194.4196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%32%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)70% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers4335881%107.698.8+8.8
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4234881%100.890.1+10.7
3 Boston Celtics4637980%101.191.3+9.9
4 Orlando Magic43331077%101.793.9+7.8
5 San Antonio Spurs43291467%96.693.7+2.9
6 Denver Nuggets44291566%104.6100.8+3.8
7 New Orleans Pelicans40261465%96.293.1+3.1
8 Houston Rockets45281762%97.894.9+2.8
9 Portland Trail Blazers43261760%98.195.1+3.0
10 Atlanta Hawks43261760%98.796.6+2.1
11 Phoenix Suns43251858%103.8102.7+1.1
12 Dallas Mavericks44251957%99.999.4+0.5
13 Detroit Pistons43241956%93.593.5-0.0
14 Utah Jazz45252056%101.799.5+2.3
15 Miami Heat42231955%96.596.6-0.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers42212150%96.896.1+0.7
17 Milwaukee Bucks47222547%98.498.2+0.2
18 Brooklyn Nets44202445%98.5101.4-2.9
19 New York Knicks43182542%103.5106.1-2.7
20 Charlotte Hornets44182641%91.693.4-1.7
21 Chicago Bulls45182740%99.3102.7-3.5
22 Toronto Raptors46182839%97.799.7-1.9
23 Indiana Pacers44172739%104.1106.2-2.1
24 Minnesota Timberwolves42152736%98.7101.9-3.2
25 Golden State Warriors45143131%107.3111.6-4.3
26 Memphis Grizzlies43113226%92.799.4-6.6
27 Los Angeles Clippers43103323%93.4100.5-7.1
28 Sacramento Kings45103522%98.8107.8-8.9
29 Oklahoma City Thunder4493520%96.1102.9-6.7
30 Washington Wizards4493520%94.3101.4-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1729183195
Atlanta Hawks1413242879
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