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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 90-93
25-22 18-27 24-23 23-21
Position#13
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#12
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game98.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
89-116
89
116
-27
76avg 92
A15/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 92
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 92
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-106
99
106
-7
86avg 92
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96 OT
108
96
+12
99avg 92
H01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
87-96
87
96
-9
72avg 92
A04/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
85-97
85
97
-12
66avg 92
A08/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
84avg 92
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
91-102
91
102
-11
80avg 92
H13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
78avg 92
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
23-28
31-33
11-30
23-27
27-26
30-16
28-27
23-21
34-25
20-27
14-24
19-24
25-28
28-25
27-29
28-26
26-24
19-17
18-24
27-25
19-27
26-23
15-21
28-39
19-16
14-28
24-14
22-23
31-30
17-17
25-28
21-23
26-29
12-24
32-26
19-25
21-30
20-16
30-23
194.1Avg total
94.3Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.998.0192.9-3.122%
Season at home (5)96.899.8196.6-3.020%
Season away (4)92.595.8188.2-3.225%
Last 10 (10)94.399.8194.1-5.520%
Last 5 (5)89.697.4187.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (26)97.196.1193.2+1.042%
vs Weaker (2)108.096.0204.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
99-100
99
100
-1
92avg 96
H08/05
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
114-99
114
99
+15
114avg 96
H27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
104-72
104
72
+32
103avg 96
A29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
106-95
106
95
+11
95avg 96
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
116-123
116
123
-7
110avg 96
H02/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
80avg 96
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 96
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
110-106
110
106
+4
107avg 96
A09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 96
H10/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
117-96
117
96
+21
115avg 96
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-27
22-29
19-25
22-19
29-27
28-29
24-24
33-19
29-24
24-15
21-19
30-14
22-15
31-29
26-37
27-14
37-28
23-23
34-39
22-33
19-19
16-29
28-23
29-24
30-30
35-29
28-25
19-13
20-20
33-22
31-37
26-27
35-27
33-34
26-27
21-19
23-27
36-21
28-30
30-18
207.5Avg total
108.5Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)109.698.9208.4+10.778%
Season at home (6)113.3102.8216.2+10.583%
Season away (3)102.091.0193.0+11.067%
Last 10 (10)108.599.0207.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)109.2100.2209.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)111.0101.5212.5+9.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)103.3101.4204.6+1.950%
vs Weaker (6)107.295.2202.3+12.083%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H29/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A04/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A08/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A15/11
NBA
100.6Avg total
48.5Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.749.198.8+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.147.599.7+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)47.250.797.9-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)48.552.1100.6-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)46.653.4100.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)50.148.698.7+1.542%-
vs Weaker (2)52.051.5103.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/05
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A29/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H02/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H10/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H13/11
NBA
106.5Avg total
56.1Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.149.9101.0+1.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.650.1104.8+4.581%-
Last 30 away (14)47.149.696.7-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)56.150.4106.5+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)56.051.6107.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.050.5109.5+8.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)49.850.5100.3-0.759%-
vs Weaker (6)53.247.5100.7+5.783%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.628.1
45.6%
50.2%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
77.0%14.1
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.4
54.0%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
77.0%17.5
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLLWLLWL
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWLLWWWL
#13
League position
#12
-5.7
Net rating
+9.3
97.6
Offensive rating
106.7
103.2
Defensive rating
97.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
35.5%
55.7%
Assist %
64.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 106.7Defence103.2 · 97.4Shooting47.4% · 53.7%3-point %34.8% · 35.5%Ball care13.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds21.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/16ASan Antonio Spurs90-94
13/11/16HUtah Jazz91-102
11/11/16HChicago Bulls95-98
08/11/16AOklahoma City Thunder85-97
04/11/16AToronto Raptors87-96
01/11/16HSacramento Kings108-96 OT
30/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs99-106
29/10/16HCharlotte Hornets91-97
26/10/16AOrlando Magic108-96
15/05/16AToronto Raptors89-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HPhiladelphia 76ers117-96
10/11/16HChicago Bulls115-107
09/11/16ACleveland Cavaliers110-106
05/11/16HHouston Rockets112-97
04/11/16AWashington Wizards92-95
02/11/16HLos Angeles Lakers116-123
31/10/16HSacramento Kings106-95
29/10/16APhiladelphia 76ers104-72
27/10/16HWashington Wizards114-99
08/05/16HCleveland Cavaliers99-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game94.996.892.5
Allowed / game98.099.895.8
Point differential-3.1-3.0-3.2
Avg total192.9196.6188.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game109.6113.3102.0
Allowed / game98.9102.891.0
Point differential+10.7+10.5+11.0
Avg total208.4216.2193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Clippers1110191%108.892.2+16.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers109190%110.6103.5+7.1
3 Golden State Warriors108280%116.4108.2+8.2
4 Atlanta Hawks97278%109.698.9+10.7
5 San Antonio Spurs118373%101.296.1+5.1
6 Toronto Raptors107370%106.5101.4+5.1
7 Charlotte Hornets96367%104.498.9+5.6
8 Portland Trail Blazers117464%108.7111.1-2.4
9 Chicago Bulls106460%106.2100.8+5.4
10 Houston Rockets106460%107.8104.8+3.0
11 Utah Jazz127558%97.593.8+3.7
12 Milwaukee Bucks95456%103.9102.0+1.9
13 Detroit Pistons116555%98.396.2+2.1
14 Los Angeles Lakers116555%108.6107.5+1.1
15 Oklahoma City Thunder116555%103.1102.7+0.4
16 Boston Celtics105550%107.9108.1-0.2
17 Memphis Grizzlies105550%97.5101.9-4.4
18 Indiana Pacers115645%106.5108.1-1.5
19 Brooklyn Nets104640%105.2109.5-4.3
20 New York Knicks104640%101.0106.5-5.5
21 Sacramento Kings114736%99.8103.6-3.8
22 Orlando Magic114736%92.6102.6-10.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves93633%107.9105.1+2.8
24 Denver Nuggets103730%104.1108.2-4.1
25 Phoenix Suns113827%108.4115.6-7.3
26 Miami Heat92722%94.998.0-3.1
27 Washington Wizards92722%99.9104.1-4.2
28 Dallas Mavericks92722%94.9101.3-6.4
29 New Orleans Pelicans112918%101.7109.1-7.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers101910%95.6108.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2518242390
Atlanta Hawks2227232193
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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