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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 105-87
27-17 20-17 28-28 30-25
Position#8
Record26-21
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#10
Record27-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game99.9
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
100avg 88
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
92avg 88
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
62avg 88
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
79-91
79
91
-12
64avg 88
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
83avg 88
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
81-101
81
101
-20
65avg 88
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 88
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 88
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-103
107
103
+4
104avg 88
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
29-29
23-24
26-31
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
18-19
21-30
18-26
22-16
22-26
15-25
27-30
23-25
20-31
24-29
23-20
14-21
18-23
31-24
12-21
28-16
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
190.2Avg total
91.0Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)95.795.7191.4-0.055%
Season at home (24)98.595.5194.0+3.062%
Season away (23)92.796.0188.7-3.348%
Last 10 (10)91.099.2190.2-8.240%
Last 5 (5)93.298.4191.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.098.0190.0-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)94.697.4191.9-2.844%
vs Weaker (11)97.597.5195.0-0.164%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
84-107
84
107
-23
68avg 94
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
90avg 94
A16/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
114-86
114
86
+28
118avg 94
H17/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
98-81
98
81
+17
102avg 94
H18/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
104-98
104
98
+6
95avg 94
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
88-91
88
91
-3
77avg 94
A22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 94
A24/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
119-105
119
105
+14
116avg 94
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 94
H28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
76avg 94
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-25
22-35
26-27
28-22
23-24
25-27
19-22
27-23
28-25
29-20
30-18
24-17
27-21
21-21
26-22
29-18
19-25
26-29
30-26
20-27
24-20
19-25
25-19
23-29
16-19
25-26
31-24
31-30
35-20
24-26
29-29
23-17
22-26
21-21
17-21
24-27
20-24
31-31
17-29
194.8Avg total
97.8Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)101.999.9201.8+2.056%
Season at home (23)103.097.5200.6+5.565%
Season away (25)100.8102.0202.8-1.248%
Last 10 (10)97.897.0194.8+0.840%
Last 5 (5)95.498.0193.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.0105.5188.5-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)95.599.6195.1-4.142%
vs Weaker (16)107.899.4207.2+8.469%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
98.8Avg total
46.9Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.749.197.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.249.599.7+0.742%-
Last 30 away (18)47.748.996.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.951.998.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)47.252.699.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.047.399.3+4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)48.249.697.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (11)48.548.997.4-0.545%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A16/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H18/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A21/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A24/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
66-50
66
50
+16
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A29/01
NBA
93.8Avg total
47.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.348.397.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.446.798.1+4.771%-
Last 30 away (16)47.449.797.1-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)47.945.993.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.647.895.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.050.581.5-19.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.446.392.8+0.150%-
vs Weaker (16)53.849.5103.2+4.262%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.130.3
48.8%
49.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.85.2
31.0%
35.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
75.5%14.4
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.128.6
50.1%
49.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
75.5%13.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLLLLWLL
Atlanta Hawks
LLWLLWWWLL
#8
League position
#10
-8.3
Net rating
+0.8
96.5
Offensive rating
97.6
104.8
Defensive rating
96.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.0%
3-point %
32.7%
59.2%
Assist %
66.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 97.6Defence104.8 · 96.8Shooting48.3% · 49.8%3-point %31.0% · 32.7%Ball care15.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds21.6% · 16.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
26/01/16AChicago Bulls89-84
23/01/16AToronto Raptors81-101
21/01/16AWashington Wizards87-106
20/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks79-91
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104
12/01/16AGolden State Warriors103-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/16AIndiana Pacers92-111
28/01/16HLos Angeles Clippers83-85
26/01/16ADenver Nuggets119-105
24/01/16APhoenix Suns95-98
22/01/16ASacramento Kings88-91
21/01/16APortland Trail Blazers104-98
18/01/16HOrlando Magic98-81
17/01/16HBrooklyn Nets114-86
16/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks101-108 OT
14/01/16ACharlotte Hornets84-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLLWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %55%62%48%
Points / game95.798.592.7
Allowed / game95.795.596.0
Point differential-0.0+3.0-3.3
Avg total191.4194.0188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)83% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL56%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayWLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %56%65%48%
Points / game101.9103.0100.8
Allowed / game99.997.5102.0
Point differential+2.0+5.5-1.2
Avg total201.8200.6202.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%39%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4743491%115.0102.5+12.5
2 San Antonio Spurs4739883%104.591.2+13.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers46341274%102.296.3+5.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder49361373%109.4101.5+8.0
5 Toronto Raptors47321568%101.696.7+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers48321667%104.3100.3+4.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies48282058%97.499.0-1.6
8 Chicago Bulls46262057%101.4101.0+0.4
9 Boston Celtics48272156%104.6100.3+4.3
10 Atlanta Hawks48272156%101.999.9+2.0
11 Miami Heat47262155%95.795.7-0.0
12 Dallas Mavericks49272255%100.9101.3-0.4
13 Indiana Pacers47252253%102.699.9+2.7
14 Detroit Pistons48252352%102.1100.6+1.5
15 Houston Rockets50252550%105.1106.6-1.5
16 New York Knicks49232647%99.5100.9-1.4
17 Charlotte Hornets47222547%101.6101.7-0.2
18 Washington Wizards45212447%102.3104.8-2.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers48222646%102.2102.5-0.3
20 Utah Jazz46212546%97.796.7+1.0
21 Orlando Magic45202544%98.799.9-1.2
22 Sacramento Kings47202743%106.6108.2-1.6
23 Milwaukee Bucks49202941%98.1103.0-4.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans46182839%102.8105.0-2.2
25 Denver Nuggets48183038%100.2104.2-4.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves48143429%99.5103.5-4.0
27 Phoenix Suns48143429%101.0106.8-5.8
28 Brooklyn Nets48123625%95.4102.9-7.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers4994018%96.1106.3-10.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers4874115%94.9105.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27202830105
Atlanta Hawks1717282587
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