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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 85-106
21-25 16-25 20-36 28-20
Position#13
Record39-29
FormLLWWL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#4
Record46-22
FormLWWWL
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game94.5
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
87-101
87
101
-14
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
110-85
110
85
+25
H15/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
29-18
20-13
22-34
25-21
22-25
23-25
20-29
19-28
14-22
25-13
25-17
26-31
25-25
22-27
31-28
19-24
23-20
14-18
23-30
25-29
24-28
16-24
22-20
20-22
30-26
10-24
16-22
19-18
16-20
27-16
29-28
28-17
27-22
29-16
26-30
20-17
22-29
21-26
24-30
182.7Avg total
89.7Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)95.595.1190.6+0.457%
Season at home (33)96.296.0192.2+0.261%
Season away (35)94.794.3189.0+0.554%
Last 10 (10)89.793.0182.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)90.292.8183.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)87.998.1186.0-10.222%
vs Similar (17)93.794.4188.1-0.653%
vs Weaker (4)100.894.5195.2+6.2100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
96-99
96
99
-3
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-125
95
125
-30
A05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
118-85
118
85
+33
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
110-80
110
80
+30
H15/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
43-36
25-23
33-29
34-23
17-29
15-13
20-26
30-22
33-23
17-26
16-28
12-36
38-26
22-32
23-31
22-18
27-22
16-23
21-24
25-25
26-32
24-20
21-28
29-26
26-27
13-17
26-18
28-22
27-15
29-23
34-25
22-19
27-20
28-24
33-17
18-24
27-22
17-21
23-29
195.6Avg total
98.7Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)101.594.5196.0+6.968%
Season at home (35)102.693.4196.0+9.271%
Season away (33)100.295.7196.0+4.564%
Last 10 (10)98.796.9195.6+1.840%
Last 5 (5)100.690.8191.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)95.698.8194.3-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)105.297.0202.2+8.272%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H05/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H15/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/03
NBA
91.2Avg total
45.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.248.495.7-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.149.396.4-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)47.447.494.9+0.057%-
Last 10 (10)45.246.091.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.691.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.149.392.4-6.222%-
vs Similar (17)47.647.194.8+0.553%-
vs Weaker (4)54.852.0106.8+2.875%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H11/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H15/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H17/03
NBA
102.3Avg total
53.1Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.548.8102.3+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.846.8100.6+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)53.151.1104.2+2.179%-
Last 10 (10)53.149.2102.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)51.046.497.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)51.848.5100.3+3.375%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)54.649.0103.6+5.672%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/11HDenver Nuggets87-102
15/03/11HMilwaukee Bucks110-85
13/03/11HPortland Trail Blazers91-82
12/03/11AChicago Bulls76-94
09/03/11HLos Angeles Lakers87-101
06/03/11HNew York Knicks79-92
05/03/11HOklahoma City Thunder104-111
03/03/11HChicago Bulls83-80
01/03/11ADenver Nuggets90-100
28/02/11APortland Trail Blazers90-83
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/11HOklahoma City Thunder85-96
15/03/11HSan Antonio Spurs110-80
12/03/11HMemphis Grizzlies118-85
11/03/11HLos Angeles Lakers94-88
09/03/11HPortland Trail Blazers96-105
06/03/11HChicago Bulls86-87
05/03/11ASan Antonio Spurs95-125
04/03/11HOrlando Magic96-99
28/02/11HNew York Knicks86-91
26/02/11HWashington Wizards121-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLLWWL61%
AwayLWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %57%61%54%
Points / game95.596.294.7
Allowed / game95.196.094.3
Point differential+0.4+0.2+0.5
Avg total190.6192.2189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)64% (11)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game101.5102.6100.2
Allowed / game94.593.495.7
Point differential+6.9+9.2+4.5
Avg total196.0196.0196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won28% (18)22% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs67541381%103.497.2+6.2
2 Boston Celtics66481873%97.691.0+6.5
3 Chicago Bulls68491972%97.891.2+6.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers68482071%101.595.0+6.5
5 Dallas Mavericks68482071%100.496.5+3.9
6 Miami Heat68462268%101.594.5+6.9
7 Oklahoma City Thunder67442366%104.6101.4+3.2
8 Orlando Magic70442663%99.794.4+5.4
9 Denver Nuggets69412859%107.4103.3+4.1
10 Portland Trail Blazers68392957%96.395.0+1.3
11 Atlanta Hawks68392957%95.595.1+0.4
12 New Orleans Pelicans70403057%94.893.0+1.8
13 Memphis Grizzlies69373254%100.098.7+1.3
14 New York Knicks67353252%106.8105.9+0.9
15 Utah Jazz69363352%100.3101.3-1.0
16 Philadelphia 76ers68353351%99.197.5+1.6
17 Houston Rockets69353451%105.6104.1+1.5
18 Phoenix Suns66333350%104.7105.3-0.6
19 Golden State Warriors68303844%103.2105.9-2.7
20 Indiana Pacers69303943%99.6100.9-1.3
21 Charlotte Hornets67283942%93.196.7-3.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks67264139%91.192.5-1.4
23 Los Angeles Clippers69264338%98.5101.7-3.2
24 Detroit Pistons68244435%96.1100.3-4.2
25 Brooklyn Nets66224433%93.799.2-5.5
26 Toronto Raptors68194928%99.5105.1-5.6
27 Minnesota Timberwolves69175225%101.5106.9-5.3
28 Sacramento Kings66165024%98.7104.4-5.7
29 Washington Wizards67165124%96.4104.3-7.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers67135419%95.0105.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks2116202885
Miami Heat25253620106
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