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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 97-109
24-28 24-30 22-23 27-28
Position#13
Record13-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game108.8
vs
Position#16
Record11-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game103.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
10 Jul 2019
MIN90
MIA87
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
112-99
112
99
+13
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-94
112
94
+18
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
101-125
101
125
-24
A09/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
110-118
110
118
-8
A12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
109-98
109
98
+11
A14/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A18/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
97-100
97
100
-3
H20/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-118
102
118
-16
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
124-118
124
118
+6
H23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
32-31
34-20
19-30
28-28
40-23
29-28
15-15
22-22
28-29
26-44
25-30
28-19
32-37
28-29
22-33
33-14
24-28
31-23
21-33
18-24
39-19
18-22
23-21
24-29
19-26
31-17
37-15
24-22
29-27
27-22
17-29
24-26
28-29
28-29
22-34
30-35
35-27
41-18
18-38
211.9Avg total
107.6Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)108.3108.8217.1-0.462%
Season at home (9)108.8109.1217.9-0.367%
Season away (12)108.0108.5216.5-0.558%
Last 10 (10)107.6104.3211.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)106.4101.8208.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)102.4116.4218.8-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.1100.1202.3+2.064%
vs Weaker (3)114.3115.3229.7-1.033%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
104-101
104
101
+3
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
126-115
126
115
+11
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
103-112
103
112
-9
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
95-120
95
120
-25
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
21-23
13-25
23-19
34-20
28-29
27-17
15-35
21-22
16-28
20-25
23-22
36-27
33-27
25-32
32-29
25-22
12-27
20-8
27-17
29-31
29-24
23-28
22-29
19-30
30-31
25-10
19-31
26-17
24-12
16-28
25-31
27-29
28-29
13-32
27-30
27-16
27-25
25-22
25-35
197.6Avg total
97.4Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)100.1103.4203.5-3.348%
Season at home (12)103.2105.1208.3-1.858%
Season away (11)96.7101.5198.3-4.836%
Last 10 (10)97.4100.2197.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)97.2104.0201.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.092.0175.0-9.025%
vs Similar ◀ (20)99.6102.8202.4-3.245%
vs Weaker (6)100.594.0194.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A09/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A14/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A18/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H20/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H23/11
NBA
107.7Avg total
56.4Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.2105.6+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.250.6103.8+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)53.653.4107.0+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)56.451.3107.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)54.052.8106.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.657.0110.6-3.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.750.4103.1+2.355%-
vs Weaker (3)58.757.0115.7+1.767%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H23/11
NBA
102.6Avg total
52.9Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.049.999.8+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.350.4100.7-0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)49.649.398.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)52.949.7102.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)53.248.8102.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.849.889.5-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.850.9102.7+0.945%-
vs Weaker (6)50.746.797.3+4.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.531.0
50.4%
51.0%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
36.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.921.6
80.3%
76.5%21.6
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.623.8
48.0%
51.0%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.8
36.8%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.4
78.7%
76.5%14.4
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLWW
Miami Heat
WLWLLWWLWL
#13
League position
#16
+3.3
Net rating
-2.9
107.9
Offensive rating
100.3
104.6
Defensive rating
103.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
12.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.5%
3-point %
36.8%
57.4%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 100.3Defence104.6 · 103.1Shooting50.8% · 50.8%3-point %34.5% · 36.8%Ball care12.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds24.1% · 20.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/17HOrlando Magic124-118
21/11/17ACharlotte Hornets102-118
20/11/17HDetroit Pistons97-100
18/11/17ADallas Mavericks111-87
16/11/17HSan Antonio Spurs98-86
14/11/17AUtah Jazz109-98
12/11/17APhoenix Suns110-118
09/11/17AGolden State Warriors101-125
06/11/17HCharlotte Hornets112-94
05/11/17HDallas Mavericks112-99
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/17HBoston Celtics104-98
19/11/17HIndiana Pacers95-120
18/11/17AWashington Wizards91-88
16/11/17HWashington Wizards93-102
12/11/17ADetroit Pistons103-112
11/11/17AUtah Jazz84-74
09/11/17APhoenix Suns126-115
07/11/17AGolden State Warriors80-97
05/11/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-101
04/11/17ADenver Nuggets94-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game108.3108.8108.0
Allowed / game108.8109.1108.5
Point differential-0.4-0.3-0.5
Avg total217.1217.9216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayLWWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game100.1103.296.7
Allowed / game103.4105.1101.5
Point differential-3.3-1.8-4.8
Avg total203.5208.3198.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2421388%103.995.6+8.3
2 Houston Rockets2217577%111.8102.3+9.5
3 Golden State Warriors2215768%116.0107.7+8.2
4 Toronto Raptors2214864%109.7103.6+6.1
5 Portland Trail Blazers2415962%104.999.4+5.5
6 Minnesota Timberwolves2113862%108.3108.8-0.4
7 San Antonio Spurs2314961%102.299.0+3.3
8 Washington Wizards2213959%108.3104.2+4.1
9 Detroit Pistons2213959%104.0102.3+1.7
10 Indiana Pacers2112957%108.0106.0+1.9
11 Denver Nuggets23131057%107.6107.0+0.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers22121055%108.3107.5+0.8
13 Cleveland Cavaliers23121152%108.8109.7-0.9
14 Oklahoma City Thunder20101050%102.797.5+5.2
15 Utah Jazz22111150%101.9100.1+1.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans22111150%107.5109.9-2.5
17 Miami Heat23111248%100.1103.4-3.3
18 Milwaukee Bucks21101148%101.6105.0-3.5
19 Memphis Grizzlies22101245%100.899.5+1.3
20 Charlotte Hornets22101245%105.6105.6+0.0
21 Orlando Magic25111444%105.1106.4-1.3
22 New York Knicks23101343%103.3105.9-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets2291341%111.6112.7-1.1
24 Los Angeles Lakers25101540%103.8106.2-2.4
25 Los Angeles Clippers2281436%105.5106.6-1.1
26 Phoenix Suns2381535%107.4115.5-8.1
27 Dallas Mavericks2581732%99.8103.5-3.7
28 Chicago Bulls2261627%96.2106.2-10.0
29 Atlanta Hawks2461825%101.9106.1-4.2
30 Sacramento Kings2461825%93.4104.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2424222797
Miami Heat28302328109
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