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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-98
27-16 27-25 25-22 25-35
Position#16
Record7-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#4
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
97-91
97
91
+6
90avg 93
H01/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
94-95
94
95
-1
90avg 93
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
104-101
104
101
+3
93avg 93
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
67avg 93
A07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
126-115
126
115
+11
125avg 93
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
72avg 93
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
103-112
103
112
-9
91avg 93
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
93-102
93
102
-9
82avg 93
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
91-88
91
88
+3
85avg 93
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
95-120
95
120
-25
82avg 93
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
22-30
18-17
30-27
37-28
21-23
13-25
23-19
34-20
28-29
27-17
15-35
21-22
16-28
20-25
23-22
36-27
33-27
25-32
32-29
25-22
12-27
20-8
27-17
29-31
29-24
23-28
22-29
19-30
30-31
25-10
19-31
26-17
24-12
16-28
25-31
27-29
28-29
13-32
27-30
196.2Avg total
96.7Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)100.2103.1203.4-2.944%
Season at home (8)101.6106.5208.1-4.938%
Season away (8)98.999.8198.6-0.950%
Last 10 (10)96.799.5196.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)93.299.2192.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.9104.7207.6-1.945%
vs Weaker (7)106.799.7206.4+7.071%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 100
A04/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
104-88
104
88
+16
100avg 100
A05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
110-107
110
107
+3
108avg 100
A07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
107-96
107
96
+11
89avg 100
H09/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
90-87
90
87
+3
77avg 100
H11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
86avg 100
H12/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
109-102
109
102
+7
97avg 100
A15/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
92-88
92
88
+4
82avg 100
H17/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
102avg 100
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
110-102 OT
110
102
+8
108avg 100
A21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
19-24
30-16
34-23
22-20
27-18
28-31
27-19
26-25
28-29
28-21
28-32
33-16
28-36
26-29
20-15
11-26
30-31
23-19
26-11
24-24
20-25
33-27
18-18
30-21
22-31
28-19
29-31
18-28
24-19
26-21
24-20
20-35
24-15
36-27
30-22
34-22
19-27
16-28
27-19
198.5Avg total
102.8Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)102.994.8197.7+8.189%
Season at home (8)101.992.8194.6+9.188%
Season away (10)103.796.5200.2+7.290%
Last 10 (10)102.895.7198.5+7.1100%
Last 5 (5)103.297.0200.2+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.4104.8207.2-2.459%
vs Weaker (8)109.196.1205.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H01/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A07/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A09/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H19/11
NBA
102.7Avg total
52.4Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.6105.5+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.153.2108.4+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)52.549.6102.1+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)52.450.3102.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)49.850.4100.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.050.087.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.752.2105.9+1.555%-
vs Weaker (7)56.949.9106.7+7.071%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A04/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H09/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A15/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A21/11
NBA
98.0Avg total
47.7Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.253.0102.3-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.855.7107.5-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)46.750.497.1-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)47.750.398.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.496.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)47.855.4103.2-7.523%-
vs Weaker (8)53.146.699.8+6.562%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.523.0
46.5%
51.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.0
37.0%
36.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.7
79.0%
76.5%14.7
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.225.0
46.1%
51.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
36.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws25.220.1
79.8%
76.5%20.1
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLWWLWLW
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+7.1
99.3
Offensive rating
103.1
102.2
Defensive rating
96.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
34.9%
56.9%
Assist %
58.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 103.1Defence102.2 · 96.0Shooting50.1% · 48.4%3-point %37.0% · 34.9%Ball care16.2% · 13.6%Off. rebounds19.4% · 21.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
9
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/17HIndiana Pacers95-120
18/11/17AWashington Wizards91-88
16/11/17HWashington Wizards93-102
12/11/17ADetroit Pistons103-112
11/11/17AUtah Jazz84-74
09/11/17APhoenix Suns126-115
07/11/17AGolden State Warriors80-97
05/11/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-101
04/11/17ADenver Nuggets94-95
01/11/17HChicago Bulls97-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/17ADallas Mavericks110-102 OT
19/11/17AAtlanta Hawks110-99
17/11/17HGolden State Warriors92-88
15/11/17ABrooklyn Nets109-102
12/11/17HToronto Raptors95-94
11/11/17HCharlotte Hornets90-87
09/11/17HLos Angeles Lakers107-96
07/11/17AAtlanta Hawks110-107
05/11/17AOrlando Magic104-88
04/11/17AOklahoma City Thunder101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game100.2101.698.9
Allowed / game103.1106.599.8
Point differential-2.9-4.9-0.9
Avg total203.4208.1198.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %89%88%90%
Points / game102.9101.9103.7
Allowed / game94.892.896.5
Point differential+8.1+9.1+7.2
Avg total197.7194.6200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1816289%102.994.8+8.1
2 Golden State Warriors1713476%117.9107.5+10.4
3 Houston Rockets1713476%112.6104.0+8.6
4 Toronto Raptors1611569%110.4103.5+6.9
5 San Antonio Spurs1711665%101.398.2+3.1
6 Detroit Pistons1711665%104.0102.1+1.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers1811761%111.4110.7+0.7
8 Denver Nuggets1710759%108.8106.2+2.6
9 Philadelphia 76ers1710759%108.4107.2+1.2
10 Minnesota Timberwolves1710759%107.2107.6-0.5
11 New York Knicks169756%104.7103.6+1.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers1810856%101.697.4+4.2
13 Washington Wizards1810856%108.4104.3+4.1
14 Indiana Pacers1810856%108.9107.3+1.6
15 New Orleans Pelicans179853%108.7110.4-1.6
16 Milwaukee Bucks168850%101.4104.5-3.1
17 Charlotte Hornets178947%106.9106.5+0.4
18 Orlando Magic178947%106.6108.1-1.5
19 Los Angeles Lakers1881044%105.4106.8-1.3
20 Oklahoma City Thunder167944%103.298.6+4.6
21 Memphis Grizzlies167944%100.2101.2-1.1
22 Miami Heat167944%100.2103.1-2.9
23 Utah Jazz1871139%99.7101.1-1.4
24 Phoenix Suns1871139%107.9115.9-8.1
25 Brooklyn Nets1761135%110.5114.2-3.8
26 Los Angeles Clippers1651131%104.9106.6-1.6
27 Sacramento Kings1741324%93.2105.8-12.6
28 Chicago Bulls1531220%95.4104.7-9.3
29 Atlanta Hawks1731418%102.8107.8-5.0
30 Dallas Mavericks1831517%99.1105.8-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27272525104
Boston Celtics1625223598
← all games of the day
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