PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-106
15-28 29-27 19-26 25-25
Position#14
Record22-28
FormLLLLW
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Position#13
Record22-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game102.2
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
92-111
92
111
-19
84avg 96
A19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
96-112
96
112
-16
83avg 96
A21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
84avg 96
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
127-114
127
114
+13
128avg 96
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-114
109
114
-5
97avg 96
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
86-102
86
102
-16
74avg 96
A28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
99avg 96
H29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
88-104
88
104
-16
78avg 96
A02/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
117-121
117
121
-4
112avg 96
A04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
137-112
137
112
+25
139avg 96
A05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
12-30
26-27
27-32
23-25
32-34
19-29
22-24
22-25
21-28
28-29
26-27
33-33
35-31
25-27
34-23
39-33
19-39
24-16
27-26
19-36
20-17
31-24
16-25
27-42
26-22
20-17
29-21
27-30
16-31
18-19
27-24
31-31
22-39
36-28
28-23
45-25
29-41
27-23
36-23
216.8Avg total
105.7Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)105.3105.1210.4+0.244%
Season at home (25)109.5105.8215.3+3.652%
Season away (25)101.0104.4205.4-3.336%
Last 10 (10)105.7111.1216.8-5.420%
Last 5 (5)107.2110.2217.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)107.6111.8219.4-4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (21)104.9105.2210.0-0.338%
vs Weaker (4)111.5112.8224.2-1.225%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
90avg 93
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
109-97
109
97
+12
100avg 93
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
92avg 93
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 93
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
91avg 93
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 93
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
116-93
116
93
+23
106avg 93
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-102
125
102
+23
128avg 93
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
15-31
26-20
29-22
25-22
28-21
29-28
27-26
28-30
18-18
31-25
28-29
34-30
21-36
16-23
38-17
33-24
20-29
24-14
23-21
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
29-22
33-25
32-24
22-22
32-17
32-35
36-23
25-27
40-33
31-24
22-31
22-25
209.3Avg total
109.8Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)100.7102.2202.9-1.442%
Season at home (26)104.0101.7205.7+2.350%
Season away (26)97.4102.6200.0-5.235%
Last 10 (10)109.899.5209.3+10.3100%
Last 5 (5)115.2101.4216.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (19)100.4101.6202.1-1.242%
vs Weaker (8)110.0109.4219.4+0.662%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.0+4.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -8.0-8.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.0+4.0
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A05/02
NBA
113.9Avg total
52.5Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.255.7110.9-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.354.7115.0+5.767%-
Last 30 away (18)51.756.4108.1-4.722%-
Last 10 (10)52.561.4113.9-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)52.462.8115.2-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.458.2111.6-4.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.654.1108.8+0.543%-
vs Weaker (4)60.260.8121.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H24/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A07/02
NBA
109.9Avg total
56.8Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.754.5108.2-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.554.2108.7+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)52.854.9107.7-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)56.853.1109.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)63.453.6117.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.353.8106.1-1.547%-
vs Weaker (8)58.057.5115.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 105.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.130.8
51.2%
50.2%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.119.5
74.7%
77.0%19.5
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.829.5
51.9%
50.2%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.9
45.2%
35.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.1
69.9%
77.0%15.1
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLLLLWLLL
Miami Heat
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#13
-5.4
Net rating
+10.5
105.6
Offensive rating
112.2
110.9
Defensive rating
101.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.7%
3-point %
45.2%
60.8%
Assist %
53.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 112.2Defence110.9 · 101.7Shooting51.9% · 57.0%3-point %35.7% · 45.2%Ball care16.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 20.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17APhoenix Suns137-112
04/02/17ADenver Nuggets117-121
02/02/17AUtah Jazz88-104
29/01/17HBoston Celtics108-112 OT
28/01/17AToronto Raptors86-102
26/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
24/01/17HHouston Rockets127-114
22/01/17AMiami Heat97-109
21/01/17AOrlando Magic96-112
19/01/17AHouston Rockets92-111
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves115-113
05/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-102
02/02/17HAtlanta Hawks116-93
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103
28/01/17AChicago Bulls100-88
26/01/17ABrooklyn Nets109-106
24/01/17HGolden State Warriors105-102
22/01/17HMilwaukee Bucks109-97
20/01/17HDallas Mavericks99-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLWLL52%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %44%52%36%
Points / game105.3109.5101.0
Allowed / game105.1105.8104.4
Point differential+0.2+3.6-3.3
Avg total210.4215.3205.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%28%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)33% (9)50% (6)
Overtime %6%8%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW42%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayLLWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %42%50%35%
Points / game100.7104.097.4
Allowed / game102.2101.7102.6
Point differential-1.4+2.3-5.2
Avg total202.9205.7200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5143884%118.2105.3+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs52401277%107.098.8+8.2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers51361571%111.0105.7+5.3
4 Houston Rockets55381769%114.3108.2+6.2
5 Boston Celtics51331865%108.3105.6+2.7
6 Utah Jazz52331963%99.995.4+4.5
7 Toronto Raptors53322160%109.2104.6+4.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers52312160%108.3105.0+3.3
9 Washington Wizards52312160%107.7105.5+2.2
10 Memphis Grizzlies54322259%100.599.3+1.2
11 Atlanta Hawks53312258%104.0104.3-0.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder53302357%105.5105.3+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers52292356%105.7105.8-0.1
14 Chicago Bulls52262650%102.6102.1+0.5
15 Detroit Pistons53252847%101.7101.9-0.2
16 Charlotte Hornets52242846%105.2104.4+0.8
17 Denver Nuggets52232944%110.1111.4-1.3
18 Milwaukee Bucks50222844%105.3105.1+0.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers53233043%107.6109.9-2.3
20 Miami Heat52223042%100.7102.2-1.4
21 New York Knicks53223142%105.8108.8-3.0
22 Dallas Mavericks52203238%97.7100.5-2.8
23 Sacramento Kings52203238%103.2106.2-3.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans52203238%103.3106.4-3.1
25 Orlando Magic54203437%99.7105.8-6.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves52193337%104.2105.6-1.4
27 Philadelphia 76ers52183435%100.5106.6-6.2
28 Los Angeles Lakers55183733%104.4110.5-6.1
29 Phoenix Suns52163631%106.6112.6-6.0
30 Brooklyn Nets5394417%105.3114.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1529192588
Miami Heat28272625106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.