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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-97
24-25 7-25 20-23 24-24
Position#15
Record15-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game104.0
vs
Position#8
Record19-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game95.1
USANBA· Verizon Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
114-111
114
111
+3
111avg 88
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
95-112
95
112
-17
62avg 88
A15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-114
95
114
-19
78avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
109-101
109
101
+8
106avg 88
H20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
113-99
113
99
+14
112avg 88
H22/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
100-91
100
91
+9
91avg 88
H24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
111-96
111
96
+15
108avg 88
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
91-108
91
108
-17
76avg 88
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-94
91
94
-3
81avg 88
A31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-91
103
91
+12
96avg 88
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
25-22
39-22
24-39
21-25
25-32
15-26
34-29
31-26
21-29
19-31
24-28
28-27
31-26
27-22
23-26
34-35
29-24
21-25
29-15
25-18
34-30
22-17
19-26
34-26
18-24
27-27
32-19
20-34
26-25
25-27
20-22
27-28
14-24
24-25
26-17
24-21
24-22
24-29
31-19
203.9Avg total
102.2Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)101.5104.0205.5-2.548%
Season at home (16)103.8103.9207.6-0.150%
Season away (15)99.1104.1203.2-4.947%
Last 10 (10)102.2101.7203.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)99.296.0195.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)97.2106.2203.4-9.040%
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.2104.3206.5-2.145%
vs Weaker (3)108.0103.3211.3+4.767%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 89
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 89
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 89
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
116-109
116
109
+7
111avg 89
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
74avg 89
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
85avg 89
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
103avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 89
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
90-99 OT
90
99
-9
80avg 89
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
106-82
106
82
+24
108avg 89
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
25-18
27-23
26-27
22-30
33-20
29-28
20-20
25-27
30-23
22-31
17-27
23-32
29-30
30-24
34-23
34-18
18-36
23-18
17-21
27-15
15-23
21-14
15-26
20-24
24-32
25-20
39-25
26-24
32-20
19-34
28-33
30-26
17-21
15-22
21-14
22-10
36-35
22-16
26-21
198.6Avg total
100.9Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)97.295.1192.3+2.259%
Season at home (21)99.795.4195.0+4.367%
Season away (11)92.694.5187.1-1.845%
Last 10 (10)100.997.7198.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)100.696.2196.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.089.5187.5+8.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)95.996.4192.4-0.544%
vs Weaker (12)98.893.7192.4+5.175%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A13/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H22/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/01
NBA
104.3Avg total
51.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.154.3106.4-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.454.4107.9-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)50.554.2104.7-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)51.752.6104.3-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.250.499.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.855.2105.0-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.754.0106.6-1.345%-
vs Weaker (3)51.355.7107.0-4.333%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H02/01
NBA
99.4Avg total
51.0Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.849.197.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (20)49.849.198.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (10)46.849.195.9-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)51.048.499.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)49.846.095.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.046.5101.5+8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)47.852.5100.2-4.831%-
vs Weaker (12)49.145.094.1+4.175%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.628.1
47.1%
49.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.9
36.0%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.9
77.6%
75.5%15.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.530.3
51.8%
49.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.4
38.2%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
75.5%15.1
They take 80.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WLLWWWWLLW
Miami Heat
WLLWWLWLWW
#15
League position
#8
+2.1
Net rating
+3.5
99.5
Offensive rating
108.9
97.4
Defensive rating
105.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
18.2%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
38.2%
64.6%
Assist %
53.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 108.9Defence97.4 · 105.4Shooting49.2% · 53.3%3-point %36.0% · 38.2%Ball care13.5% · 13.1%Off. rebounds18.2% · 22.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Washington Wizards wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/16HOrlando Magic103-91
31/12/15AToronto Raptors91-94
29/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers91-108
26/12/15ABrooklyn Nets111-96
24/12/15HMemphis Grizzlies100-91
22/12/15HSacramento Kings113-99
20/12/15HCharlotte Hornets109-101
17/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs95-114
15/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies95-112
13/12/15ADallas Mavericks114-111
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/16HDallas Mavericks106-82
30/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies90-99 OT
29/12/15HBrooklyn Nets105-111
27/12/15AOrlando Magic108-101
25/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans94-88 OT
23/12/15HDetroit Pistons92-93
20/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
19/12/15HToronto Raptors94-108
17/12/15ABrooklyn Nets104-98
15/12/15AAtlanta Hawks100-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %48%50%47%
Points / game101.5103.899.1
Allowed / game104.0103.9104.1
Point differential-2.5-0.1-4.9
Avg total205.5207.6203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %59%67%45%
Points / game97.299.792.6
Allowed / game95.195.494.5
Point differential+2.2+4.3-1.8
Avg total192.3195.0187.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %6%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3331294%114.0102.2+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3529683%102.689.0+13.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3122971%99.894.5+5.3
4 Oklahoma City Thunder34241071%108.7100.2+8.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers35221363%103.7100.5+3.1
6 Chicago Bulls32201262%101.799.8+1.9
7 Toronto Raptors35211460%100.396.9+3.4
8 Atlanta Hawks35211460%101.9100.4+1.5
9 Miami Heat32191359%97.295.1+2.2
10 Indiana Pacers33191458%102.598.6+3.8
11 Orlando Magic34191556%100.198.7+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks34191556%101.5101.1+0.4
13 Boston Celtics33181555%102.999.1+3.8
14 Detroit Pistons34181653%100.899.7+1.1
15 Charlotte Hornets33171652%101.8100.1+1.8
16 Memphis Grizzlies35181751%96.299.2-3.0
17 Washington Wizards31151648%101.5104.0-2.5
18 Utah Jazz32151747%96.896.9-0.1
19 New York Knicks35161946%97.999.6-1.7
20 Houston Rockets35161946%104.2106.2-2.0
21 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%101.2102.2-1.1
22 Milwaukee Bucks35142140%97.7103.1-5.4
23 Sacramento Kings33132039%105.3107.7-2.4
24 Minnesota Timberwolves34122235%99.7102.7-3.1
25 Denver Nuggets34122235%99.2104.0-4.8
26 Phoenix Suns36122433%103.3106.6-3.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans33112233%101.8106.4-4.6
28 Brooklyn Nets33102330%97.2103.2-6.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers3472721%96.6106.6-9.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers363338%92.5104.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards247202475
Miami Heat2525232497
← all games of the day
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