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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-108
24-20 32-24 20-25 25-39
Position#20
Record17-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game98.6
vs
Position#8
Record17-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game94.6
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
101-103
101
103
-2
94avg 92
A06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
85-74
85
74
+11
75avg 92
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
104-107
104
107
-3
94avg 92
A10/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
76-111
76
111
-35
61avg 92
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
105-82
105
82
+23
104avg 92
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
113-98
113
98
+15
115avg 92
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
92avg 92
H19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
94avg 92
H20/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
107-99
107
99
+8
93avg 92
A22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
104-101
104
101
+3
100avg 92
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
26-31
29-21
22-29
26-26
14-21
22-16
23-11
24-21
23-28
26-35
31-23
20-22
17-31
15-30
24-28
25-25
27-20
31-24
22-13
30-23
28-22
31-28
24-25
29-26
20-22
25-20
28-26
29-25
13-27
36-25
22-26
29-21
23-25
26-27
29-26
27-33
32-20
28-21
17-27
196.9Avg total
99.7Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)101.098.6199.6+2.459%
Season at home (15)102.198.9201.0+3.367%
Season away (14)99.798.3198.0+1.450%
Last 10 (10)99.797.2196.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)105.299.0204.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.6107.3209.9-4.729%
vs Similar ◀ (19)99.196.0195.1+3.163%
vs Weaker (4)103.896.2200.0+7.575%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
L
103-114
103
114
-11
103avg 88
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
71avg 88
A10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 88
A12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
100-97
100
97
+3
89avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 88
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 88
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
116-109
116
109
+7
111avg 88
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
74avg 88
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
85avg 88
H25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
36-31
29-27
19-27
17-27
19-29
18-24
27-19
21-20
27-27
20-30
15-19
21-27
27-29
23-22
29-19
22-20
25-18
27-23
26-27
22-30
33-20
29-28
20-20
25-27
30-23
22-31
17-27
23-32
29-30
30-24
34-23
34-18
18-36
23-18
17-21
27-15
15-23
21-14
15-26
195.7Avg total
96.7Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)96.594.6191.1+1.961%
Season at home (19)99.195.3194.3+3.868%
Season away (9)91.293.2184.4-2.044%
Last 10 (10)96.799.0195.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)100.099.2199.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)96.093.7189.7+2.367%
vs Similar ◀ (16)95.396.7192.0-1.444%
vs Weaker (11)99.592.3191.8+7.391%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A10/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H12/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H20/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A22/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/12
NBA
97.7Avg total
48.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.348.698.9+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.447.196.5+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)51.150.2101.3+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)48.649.197.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.048.8100.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)49.950.1100.0-0.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.648.799.3+1.958%-
vs Weaker (4)49.545.895.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#15
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
NBA
100.1Avg total
49.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.148.697.7+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (20)49.548.898.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (10)48.348.196.4+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)49.051.1100.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)51.250.8102.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.746.797.3+4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)48.351.499.7-3.138%-
vs Weaker (11)49.845.094.8+4.882%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 99.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.032.4
51.4%
49.0%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.37.1
36.8%
35.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
75.5%13.6
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.230.0
51.5%
49.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.0
33.7%
35.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
72.9%
75.5%15.3
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWLWWWLLWL
Miami Heat
WLWLWWWLLL
#20
League position
#8
+2.6
Net rating
+0.3
104.1
Offensive rating
101.7
101.4
Defensive rating
101.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
33.7%
56.5%
Assist %
51.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 101.7Defence101.4 · 101.4Shooting52.3% · 51.3%3-point %36.8% · 33.7%Ball care15.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds21.3% · 20.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlando Magic wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/15HHouston Rockets104-101
22/12/15ANew York Knicks107-99
20/12/15HAtlanta Hawks100-103
19/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers102-94
17/12/15HCharlotte Hornets113-98
15/12/15ABrooklyn Nets105-82
12/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers76-111
10/12/15APhoenix Suns104-107
09/12/15ADenver Nuggets85-74
06/12/15ALos Angeles Clippers101-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans94-88 OT
23/12/15HDetroit Pistons92-93
20/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
19/12/15HToronto Raptors94-108
17/12/15ABrooklyn Nets104-98
15/12/15AAtlanta Hawks100-88
13/12/15HMemphis Grizzlies100-97
12/12/15AIndiana Pacers83-96
10/12/15ACharlotte Hornets81-99
08/12/15HWashington Wizards103-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game101.0102.199.7
Allowed / game98.698.998.3
Point differential+2.4+3.3+1.4
Avg total199.6201.0198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)57% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %61%68%44%
Points / game96.599.191.2
Allowed / game94.695.393.2
Point differential+1.9+3.8-2.0
Avg total191.1194.3184.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%32%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2928197%114.6101.3+13.3
2 San Antonio Spurs3125681%101.888.7+13.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2719870%100.794.9+5.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder30201067%107.499.2+8.2
5 Toronto Raptors31191261%100.196.4+3.7
6 Atlanta Hawks31191261%101.499.9+1.5
7 Miami Heat28171161%96.594.6+1.9
8 Chicago Bulls27161159%100.699.4+1.1
9 Orlando Magic29171259%101.098.6+2.4
10 Indiana Pacers28161257%102.799.1+3.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%102.1100.6+1.5
12 Detroit Pistons30171357%101.4100.0+1.4
13 Boston Celtics29161355%103.399.1+4.2
14 Dallas Mavericks29161355%101.3101.1+0.2
15 Charlotte Hornets28151354%101.999.2+2.7
16 Houston Rockets31161552%103.6104.9-1.3
17 Memphis Grizzlies31161552%96.099.8-3.8
18 Washington Wizards28141450%102.2104.6-2.4
19 New York Knicks30141647%97.999.0-1.1
20 Utah Jazz27121544%97.097.2-0.2
21 Sacramento Kings29121741%104.5107.1-2.6
22 Denver Nuggets29121741%99.2103.4-4.2
23 Phoenix Suns31121939%103.6105.2-1.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks31121939%96.4102.3-5.9
25 Minnesota Timberwolves29111838%101.3103.4-2.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers31112035%101.0103.1-2.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans2992031%102.2107.1-4.8
28 Brooklyn Nets3082227%96.7103.4-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers3052517%96.2107.2-10.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers311303%91.4104.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic24322025101
Miami Heat20242539108
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