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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 105-111
26-24 32-20 19-34 28-33
Position#8
Record18-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#28
Record8-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game103.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
71avg 89
A10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 89
A12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
100-97
100
97
+3
89avg 89
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 89
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 89
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
94-108
94
108
-14
86avg 89
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
116-109
116
109
+7
111avg 89
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
74avg 89
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
85avg 89
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
103avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
19-29
18-24
27-19
21-20
27-27
20-30
15-19
21-27
27-29
23-22
29-19
22-20
25-18
27-23
26-27
22-30
33-20
29-28
20-20
25-27
30-23
22-31
17-27
23-32
29-30
30-24
34-23
34-18
18-36
23-18
17-21
27-15
15-23
21-14
15-26
20-24
24-32
25-20
39-25
194.9Avg total
97.2Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)96.994.8191.8+2.162%
Season at home (19)99.195.3194.3+3.868%
Season away (10)92.994.0186.9-1.150%
Last 10 (10)97.297.7194.9-0.560%
Last 5 (5)100.899.8200.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)96.093.7189.7+2.367%
vs Similar (16)95.897.2193.0-1.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)99.592.3191.8+7.391%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
110-105
110
105
+5
110avg 86
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 86
H11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
100-105
100
105
-5
92avg 86
H12/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
82-105
82
105
-23
73avg 86
H15/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
98-104
98
104
-6
85avg 86
H17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
97-104
97
104
-7
85avg 86
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
85-100
85
100
-15
79avg 86
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
105-102
105
102
+3
99avg 86
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
108avg 86
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 86
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
26-22
23-26
30-33
24-13
28-31
18-30
30-17
20-28
24-29
19-20
37-28
25-25
20-27
24-31
13-22
30-22
20-33
28-29
20-20
18-23
29-26
30-23
20-32
16-26
27-26
22-23
20-25
29-22
29-33
27-23
20-24
26-32
27-32
34-17
21-27
26-34
24-18
27-27
19-32
203.7Avg total
99.1Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)96.7103.4200.2-6.727%
Season at home (16)97.7102.4200.1-4.838%
Season away (14)95.6104.6200.2-8.914%
Last 10 (10)99.1104.6203.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)100.2107.2207.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)97.6105.0202.6-7.425%
vs Similar (6)93.297.2190.3-4.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H19/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/12
NBA
98.6Avg total
47.9Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.749.197.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (19)49.149.398.4-0.247%-
Last 30 away (11)47.948.896.7-0.955%-
Last 10 (10)47.950.798.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.052.0101.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)50.746.797.3+4.033%-
vs Similar (16)47.552.499.9-4.931%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.845.094.8+4.882%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H09/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H11/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H12/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H15/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H26/12
NBA
102.5Avg total
49.9Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.451.5100.9-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.251.2100.4-1.925%-
Last 30 away (14)49.651.8101.4-2.157%-
Last 10 (10)49.952.6102.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)50.254.4104.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)49.952.1102.0-2.242%-
vs Similar (6)47.548.896.3-1.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.729.8
50.8%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.3
34.4%
35.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.7
77.0%
75.5%15.7
They take 79.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 99.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.233.1
49.3%
49.0%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.96.4
35.8%
35.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
75.5%13.7
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWWLL
Brooklyn Nets
LLWLLLLLWW
#8
League position
#28
-0.5
Net rating
-5.7
103.8
Offensive rating
102.1
104.3
Defensive rating
107.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.4%
3-point %
35.8%
51.2%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 102.1Defence104.3 · 107.8Shooting51.0% · 50.2%3-point %34.4% · 35.8%Ball care13.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds21.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/15AOrlando Magic108-101
25/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans94-88 OT
23/12/15HDetroit Pistons92-93
20/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
19/12/15HToronto Raptors94-108
17/12/15ABrooklyn Nets104-98
15/12/15AAtlanta Hawks100-88
13/12/15HMemphis Grizzlies100-97
12/12/15AIndiana Pacers83-96
10/12/15ACharlotte Hornets81-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/15HWashington Wizards96-111
24/12/15HDallas Mavericks118-119 OT
22/12/15AChicago Bulls105-102
20/12/15HMinnesota Timberwolves85-100
19/12/15AIndiana Pacers97-104
17/12/15HMiami Heat98-104
15/12/15HOrlando Magic82-105
12/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers100-105
11/12/15HPhiladelphia 76ers100-91
09/12/15HHouston Rockets110-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %62%68%50%
Points / game96.999.192.9
Allowed / game94.895.394.0
Point differential+2.1+3.8-1.1
Avg total191.8194.3186.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)80% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game96.797.795.6
Allowed / game103.4102.4104.6
Point differential-6.7-4.8-8.9
Avg total200.2200.1200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2928197%114.6101.3+13.3
2 San Antonio Spurs3226681%101.888.7+13.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2819968%99.995.3+4.6
4 Oklahoma City Thunder31211068%107.999.6+8.3
5 Miami Heat29181162%96.994.8+2.1
6 Toronto Raptors31191261%100.196.4+3.7
7 Atlanta Hawks33201361%101.499.6+1.8
8 Indiana Pacers30181260%102.498.3+4.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers32191359%102.5100.4+2.1
10 Boston Celtics31181358%103.198.7+4.4
11 Orlando Magic31181358%101.198.6+2.5
12 Chicago Bulls28161257%100.9100.1+0.9
13 Charlotte Hornets30171357%102.098.9+3.1
14 Dallas Mavericks30171357%101.8101.4+0.4
15 Detroit Pistons31171455%101.199.9+1.2
16 Memphis Grizzlies33171652%96.499.7-3.3
17 Houston Rockets32161650%103.7105.0-1.3
18 Washington Wizards29141548%101.8104.8-2.9
19 New York Knicks32141844%97.799.6-1.9
20 Utah Jazz28121643%97.297.6-0.4
21 Sacramento Kings30121840%104.2106.8-2.6
22 Portland Trail Blazers33132039%101.1102.0-0.9
23 Denver Nuggets31121939%99.2103.9-4.8
24 Milwaukee Bucks31121939%96.4102.3-5.9
25 Phoenix Suns32122038%103.7105.4-1.7
26 Minnesota Timberwolves30111937%100.8103.4-2.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans31102132%102.1107.0-4.9
28 Brooklyn Nets3082227%96.7103.4-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers3252716%96.3107.3-11.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers322306%92.0104.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26321928105
Brooklyn Nets24203433111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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