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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 94-108
25-27 30-23 22-31 17-27
Position#8
Record15-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#5
Record16-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game96.3
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
97-78
97
78
+19
88avg 88
A28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
88avg 88
H01/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
87avg 88
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 88
H06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
103-114
103
114
-11
103avg 88
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
71avg 88
A10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 88
A12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
100-97
100
97
+3
89avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
100-88
100
88
+12
98avg 88
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
104-98
104
98
+6
98avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-22
24-14
23-15
23-32
28-25
24-24
20-24
23-28
27-23
24-25
23-19
34-22
26-20
23-22
16-20
19-29
36-31
29-27
19-27
17-27
19-29
18-24
27-19
21-20
27-27
20-30
15-19
21-27
27-29
23-22
29-19
22-20
25-18
27-23
26-27
22-30
33-20
29-28
20-20
191.3Avg total
95.9Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)96.193.8189.9+2.362%
Season at home (15)99.194.1193.2+4.973%
Season away (9)91.293.2184.4-2.044%
Last 10 (10)95.995.4191.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)93.695.6189.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)94.095.4189.4-1.440%
vs Similar ◀ (15)94.596.6191.1-2.147%
vs Weaker (10)100.192.7192.8+7.490%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
102-107
102
107
-5
91avg 88
H29/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
96-86
96
86
+10
86avg 88
A03/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
105-106
105
106
-1
89avg 88
H04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
109-112
109
112
-3
93avg 88
H05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
102-93
102
93
+9
93avg 88
H08/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
99avg 88
H10/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 88
H12/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
96-76
96
76
+20
81avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
90-106
90
106
-16
74avg 88
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
78avg 88
A18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
31-32
23-28
30-26
16-18
16-28
25-20
39-20
19-29
23-27
29-25
34-25
21-32
28-27
30-24
30-29
25-22
27-20
19-29
31-22
27-21
26-25
20-16
24-32
24-17
25-14
21-29
20-23
32-24
20-20
17-14
27-18
28-27
13-25
23-21
26-33
20-25
24-31
21-21
25-13
195.8Avg total
98.6Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)99.596.3195.8+3.259%
Season at home (12)102.195.7197.8+6.467%
Season away (15)97.596.8194.3+0.753%
Last 10 (10)98.697.2195.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)94.493.6188.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)104.8104.8209.5+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)95.8100.1195.9-4.246%
vs Weaker (13)101.694.5196.1+7.262%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.5+4.5
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H01/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H13/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A17/12
NBA
100.6Avg total
50.0Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.448.397.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (19)50.248.398.4+1.947%-
Last 30 away (11)48.248.496.5-0.255%-
Last 10 (10)50.050.6100.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.496.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.246.098.2+6.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.750.898.5-3.133%-
vs Weaker (10)50.645.796.3+4.980%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H29/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H08/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H10/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H12/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A18/12
NBA
94.8Avg total
46.3Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.549.296.8-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.348.296.5+0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)46.950.197.0-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)46.348.594.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.893.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.251.899.0-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.049.895.8-3.823%-
vs Weaker (13)49.247.997.1+1.238%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.329.9
50.4%
49.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.0
32.8%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
75.5%15.9
They take 77.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.527.5
48.7%
49.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.419.9
78.3%
75.5%19.9
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLLLWWLW
Toronto Raptors
LLWWWWLLWL
#8
League position
#5
-0.7
Net rating
+1.5
99.8
Offensive rating
103.7
100.5
Defensive rating
102.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
11.6%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
32.2%
54.3%
Assist %
48.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 103.7Defence100.5 · 102.2Shooting50.1% · 48.6%3-point %32.8% · 32.2%Ball care15.1% · 11.6%Off. rebounds20.9% · 20.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/15ABrooklyn Nets104-98
15/12/15AAtlanta Hawks100-88
13/12/15HMemphis Grizzlies100-97
12/12/15AIndiana Pacers83-96
10/12/15ACharlotte Hornets81-99
08/12/15HWashington Wizards103-114
06/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers99-84
04/12/15HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
01/12/15HBoston Celtics95-105
28/11/15ANew York Knicks97-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/15ACharlotte Hornets99-109 OT
15/12/15AIndiana Pacers90-106
13/12/15HPhiladelphia 76ers96-76
12/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks90-83
10/12/15HSan Antonio Spurs97-94
08/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers102-93
05/12/15HGolden State Warriors109-112
04/12/15HDenver Nuggets105-106
03/12/15AAtlanta Hawks96-86
29/11/15HPhoenix Suns102-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %62%73%44%
Points / game96.199.191.2
Allowed / game93.894.193.2
Point differential+2.3+4.9-2.0
Avg total189.9193.2184.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game99.5102.197.5
Allowed / game96.395.796.8
Point differential+3.2+6.4+0.7
Avg total195.8197.8194.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2625196%115.8102.2+13.5
2 San Antonio Spurs2722581%101.688.2+13.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2417771%101.696.0+5.6
4 Oklahoma City Thunder2617965%107.3100.4+6.9
5 Chicago Bulls2315865%98.896.9+1.9
6 Indiana Pacers2516964%103.898.6+5.2
7 Miami Heat2415962%96.193.8+2.3
8 Los Angeles Clippers26161062%102.6100.5+2.1
9 Charlotte Hornets25151060%102.898.6+4.2
10 Toronto Raptors27161159%99.596.3+3.2
11 Orlando Magic26151158%100.798.3+2.3
12 Atlanta Hawks28161257%101.0100.0+1.0
13 Detroit Pistons27151256%100.198.4+1.7
14 Dallas Mavericks26141254%100.8100.9-0.0
15 Boston Celtics27141352%103.099.5+3.5
16 Memphis Grizzlies27141352%96.2100.9-4.7
17 New York Knicks27131448%98.099.3-1.2
18 Houston Rockets27131448%104.2106.3-2.1
19 Denver Nuggets25111444%98.1102.6-4.5
20 Utah Jazz24101442%97.097.7-0.8
21 Washington Wizards24101442%101.2106.0-4.8
22 Phoenix Suns27111641%104.8105.9-1.1
23 Sacramento Kings25101540%105.0107.7-2.7
24 Portland Trail Blazers28111739%101.3102.1-0.8
25 Milwaukee Bucks27101737%95.3101.7-6.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves2591636%102.2104.0-1.7
27 New Orleans Pelicans2571828%101.8107.7-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets2671927%96.1102.7-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers2642215%97.3106.8-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers281274%91.4104.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2530221794
Toronto Raptors27233127108
← all games of the day
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