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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-123
36-20 40-38 30-29 22-36
Position#2
Record36-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.4
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Position#5
Record27-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game104.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
112-86
112
86
+26
113avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
111-100
111
100
+11
117avg 114
H29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
123-102
123
102
+21
131avg 114
A31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
106-104
106
104
+2
99avg 114
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
127-118
127
118
+9
120avg 114
H05/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
104-126
104
126
-22
88avg 114
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
107-98
107
98
+9
97avg 114
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
127-106
127
106
+21
123avg 114
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
122-101
122
101
+21
111avg 114
A12/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
128-102
128
102
+26
128avg 114
H15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
31-21
21-23
28-23
37-25
19-21
22-28
33-26
31-20
24-32
40-25
28-25
19-23
33-28
25-20
29-33
29-31
42-35
32-25
24-27
22-27
30-38
29-26
23-35
19-19
28-20
34-33
26-26
34-18
19-26
37-31
37-31
32-24
32-31
33-25
25-21
29-23
36-17
43-36
20-26
221.0Avg total
116.7Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)119.4106.8226.2+12.686%
Season at home (21)120.7106.4227.1+14.290%
Season away (21)118.1107.1225.3+11.081%
Last 10 (10)116.7104.3221.0+12.490%
Last 5 (5)117.6106.6224.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)115.097.5212.5+17.5100%
vs Weaker (28)120.0106.2226.2+13.889%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
80avg 104
H29/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
109-92
109
92
+17
102avg 104
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 104
H04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
111-104
111
104
+7
107avg 104
A05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
94-99
94
99
-5
78avg 104
A07/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
114-129
114
129
-15
103avg 104
H09/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
98-109
98
109
-11
82avg 104
A10/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
140-105
140
105
+35
138avg 104
H12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
113-101
113
101
+12
110avg 104
H14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
103-116
103
116
-13
95avg 104
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
29-23
25-30
18-24
24-18
26-25
30-30
29-19
19-32
34-23
29-25
27-26
30-28
25-24
30-21
26-31
17-26
23-25
32-23
22-25
22-34
25-31
36-34
31-30
35-26
20-22
25-29
18-32
41-24
31-33
42-25
26-23
28-14
27-23
28-34
30-30
24-27
35-30
23-34
21-25
216.2Avg total
108.8Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)111.2104.6215.8+6.669%
Season at home (20)114.5106.4220.9+8.080%
Season away (19)107.8102.7210.5+5.158%
Last 10 (10)108.8107.4216.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)113.6112.0225.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)108.0103.6211.6+4.460%
vs Weaker (25)111.0105.0216.1+6.064%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A28/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H29/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A12/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H15/01
NBA
107.6Avg total
57.8Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.951.7111.5+8.283%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.150.5111.5+10.688%-
Last 30 away (13)58.353.2111.5+5.177%-
Last 10 (10)57.849.8107.6+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)56.248.6104.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)58.544.5103.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)60.052.2112.1+7.882%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H29/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H04/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A07/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H09/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H12/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H16/01
NBA
106.4Avg total
54.0Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.151.4105.5+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.252.6109.8+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)50.450.1100.5+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.052.4106.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.652.8110.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)50.649.099.6+1.660%-
vs Weaker (25)54.851.9106.6+2.964%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.530.6
57.2%
52.3%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.712.4
32.9%
35.7%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.818.3
76.9%
77.2%18.3
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.330.0
51.5%
52.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.2
33.4%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.718.2
80.2%
77.2%18.2
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWWWWW
Boston Celtics
LWWLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+11.7
Net rating
+1.4
110.0
Offensive rating
107.6
98.3
Defensive rating
106.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.9%
3-point %
33.4%
60.0%
Assist %
56.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 107.6Defence98.3 · 106.3Shooting53.9% · 51.0%3-point %32.9% · 33.4%Ball care12.7% · 13.5%Off. rebounds19.1% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20HNew York Knicks128-102
12/01/20APortland Trail Blazers122-101
11/01/20ASacramento Kings127-106
09/01/20AGolden State Warriors107-98
07/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs104-126
05/01/20HSan Antonio Spurs127-118
02/01/20HMinnesota Timberwolves106-104
31/12/19AChicago Bulls123-102
29/12/19HOrlando Magic111-100
28/12/19AAtlanta Hawks112-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/20HDetroit Pistons103-116
14/01/20HChicago Bulls113-101
12/01/20HNew Orleans Pelicans140-105
10/01/20APhiladelphia 76ers98-109
09/01/20HSan Antonio Spurs114-129
07/01/20AWashington Wizards94-99
05/01/20AChicago Bulls111-104
04/01/20HAtlanta Hawks109-106
31/12/19ACharlotte Hornets109-92
29/12/19HToronto Raptors97-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %86%90%81%
Points / game119.4120.7118.1
Allowed / game106.8106.4107.1
Point differential+12.6+14.2+11.0
Avg total226.2227.1225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%52%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %69%80%58%
Points / game111.2114.5107.8
Allowed / game104.6106.4102.7
Point differential+6.6+8.1+5.1
Avg total215.8220.8210.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)100% (3)14% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4236686%119.4106.8+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers4133880%114.0105.4+8.6
3 Denver Nuggets40281270%108.8104.9+4.0
4 Utah Jazz40281270%109.7105.8+3.9
5 Miami Heat40281270%111.5107.8+3.8
6 Boston Celtics39271269%111.2104.6+6.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers41281368%115.6109.5+6.2
8 Toronto Raptors40261465%110.8105.6+5.2
9 Houston Rockets40261465%118.7114.0+4.7
10 Dallas Mavericks41261563%116.6109.3+7.3
11 Indiana Pacers41261563%109.2106.1+3.2
12 Philadelphia 76ers42261662%109.1105.7+3.4
13 Oklahoma City Thunder41231856%109.4107.9+1.6
14 Orlando Magic41202149%104.1103.9+0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies41192246%113.6115.9-2.4
16 Brooklyn Nets40182245%109.5111.3-1.8
17 San Antonio Spurs39172244%113.6114.8-1.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers42182443%111.7113.6-2.0
19 Phoenix Suns41172441%113.3113.9-0.6
20 Minnesota Timberwolves40152538%111.3114.5-3.2
21 Sacramento Kings41152637%106.8109.6-2.8
22 New Orleans Pelicans41152637%113.2116.9-3.7
23 Chicago Bulls42152736%106.0107.7-1.8
24 Detroit Pistons42152736%108.5111.0-2.6
25 Charlotte Hornets44152934%103.8110.6-6.8
26 Washington Wizards40132732%114.6119.8-5.1
27 Cleveland Cavaliers41122929%104.9114.0-9.1
28 New York Knicks42113126%104.6113.4-8.7
29 Atlanta Hawks4193222%107.4116.9-9.5
30 Golden State Warriors4293321%104.5113.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks36403022128
Boston Celtics20382936123
← all games of the day
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