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Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jul 2020
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 119-112
33-25 31-33 23-29 32-25
Position#2
Record55-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#5
Record44-23
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game107.1
USANBA· HP Field House
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
133-86
133
86
+47
139avg 114
H29/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
93-85
93
85
+8
89avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 114
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 114
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
103-113
103
113
-10
91avg 114
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
131-140
131
140
-9
117avg 114
A08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
95-109
95
109
-14
83avg 114
A10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
113-92
113
92
+21
102avg 114
H23/07
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
131-123
131
123
+8
134avg 114
A25/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
103-124
103
124
-21
94avg 114
H28/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
39-23
37-22
26-17
26-20
19-23
25-25
23-17
26-31
26-22
18-28
19-24
36-23
22-33
31-23
30-21
22-19
26-29
28-39
27-26
28-47
31-30
32-25
40-38
24-39
30-23
17-14
24-33
20-20
27-21
38-26
28-25
38-33
42-27
29-32
22-31
30-21
23-29
28-40
22-34
218.7Avg total
111.0Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)118.5107.6226.1+10.981%
Season at home (33)120.9107.1228.0+13.888%
Season away (35)116.3108.1224.3+8.274%
Last 10 (10)111.0107.7218.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)114.6117.6232.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)113.0111.0224.0+2.067%
vs Weaker (27)118.1107.6225.7+10.578%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
114-103
114
103
+11
109avg 103
A27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
110-111 OT
110
111
-1
96avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
120-129 OT
120
129
-9
101avg 103
H04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
112-106
112
106
+6
102avg 103
A05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
94-99
94
99
-5
76avg 103
H07/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
104-105
104
105
-1
92avg 103
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
114-111
114
111
+3
100avg 103
A10/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 103
H24/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
117-103
117
103
+14
108avg 103
H26/07
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
112-137
112
137
-25
100avg 103
A29/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
30-36
32-31
29-21
28-19
28-26
22-36
26-23
33-28
23-15
28-24
34-51
28-27
30-25
23-25
31-29
29-30
20-32
17-17
28-20
26-29
37-23
21-31
20-22
30-22
29-28
35-30
20-31
17-21
25-26
19-24
23-27
29-32
34-27
31-22
23-22
28-32
32-45
31-34
21-26
218.3Avg total
108.1Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)112.6107.1219.7+5.566%
Season at home (34)114.7107.0221.6+7.771%
Season away (33)110.5107.2217.7+3.361%
Last 10 (10)108.1110.2218.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)106.2110.8217.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)115.9114.9230.8+1.040%
vs Weaker (20)113.2108.2221.4+5.170%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A08/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A10/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H23/07
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A25/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H28/07
NBA
110.3Avg total
56.6Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.752.4111.1+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.452.2114.5+10.292%-
Last 30 away (17)55.952.5108.5+3.453%-
Last 10 (10)56.653.7110.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.0116.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)58.052.7110.7+5.333%-
vs Weaker (27)58.852.3111.1+6.574%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H01/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H07/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A10/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H26/07
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A29/07
NBA
109.7Avg total
55.9Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.054.4110.3+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.951.9108.9+5.075%-
Last 30 away (14)54.957.1112.0-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)55.953.8109.7+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.457.0114.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)56.157.5113.6-1.460%-
vs Weaker (20)55.952.8108.7+3.165%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.826.4
55.2%
52.3%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.513.0
32.1%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws24.919.2
77.1%
77.2%19.2
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.028.5
50.9%
52.3%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.6
33.4%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.116.3
73.8%
77.2%16.3
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jul 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLLLWLWW
Boston Celtics
LWLWLLWLLW
#2
League position
#5
+3.1
Net rating
-2.0
104.6
Offensive rating
105.4
101.5
Defensive rating
107.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.1%
3-point %
33.4%
59.6%
Assist %
52.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 105.4Defence101.5 · 107.4Shooting52.0% · 50.6%3-point %32.1% · 33.4%Ball care15.5% · 12.9%Off. rebounds21.2% · 23.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/20HNew Orleans Pelicans103-124
25/07/20ASacramento Kings131-123
23/07/20HSan Antonio Spurs113-92
10/03/20ADenver Nuggets95-109
08/03/20APhoenix Suns131-140
07/03/20ALos Angeles Lakers103-113
05/03/20HIndiana Pacers119-100
03/03/20AMiami Heat89-105
01/03/20ACharlotte Hornets93-85
29/02/20HOklahoma City Thunder133-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/20AHouston Rockets112-137
26/07/20HPhoenix Suns117-103
24/07/20HOklahoma City Thunder84-98
10/03/20AIndiana Pacers114-111
08/03/20HOklahoma City Thunder104-105
07/03/20HUtah Jazz94-99
05/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers112-106
04/03/20HBrooklyn Nets120-129 OT
01/03/20HHouston Rockets110-111 OT
27/02/20AUtah Jazz114-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL81%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLLLW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %81%88%74%
Points / game118.5120.9116.3
Allowed / game107.6107.1108.1
Point differential+10.9+13.8+8.2
Avg total226.1228.0224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%61%49%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeLLLLW71%
AwayWWWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %66%71%61%
Points / game112.6114.7110.5
Allowed / game107.1107.0107.2
Point differential+5.5+7.7+3.3
Avg total219.7221.6217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)50% (8)27% (11)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks68551381%118.5107.6+10.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers67521578%114.2107.1+7.1
3 Toronto Raptors67481972%112.6106.3+6.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers68462268%115.3109.1+6.2
5 Boston Celtics67442366%112.6107.1+5.5
6 Utah Jazz68442465%110.5107.6+2.9
7 Denver Nuggets68442465%110.0107.3+2.6
8 Oklahoma City Thunder67432464%110.7108.0+2.8
9 Houston Rockets67422563%117.9113.9+4.0
10 Miami Heat68422662%111.8108.9+2.9
11 Indiana Pacers68412760%109.2107.3+1.9
12 Dallas Mavericks70422860%116.2110.4+5.8
13 Philadelphia 76ers68402859%109.2107.1+2.1
14 Memphis Grizzlies69333648%112.6113.8-1.1
15 Orlando Magic69323746%106.6107.6-0.9
16 New Orleans Pelicans68313746%115.9115.7+0.2
17 Brooklyn Nets68313746%110.4111.6-1.2
18 Sacramento Kings67293843%109.0111.0-2.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers70304043%113.6115.3-1.7
20 San Antonio Spurs66283842%113.0115.0-2.0
21 Phoenix Suns69294042%112.5113.4-1.0
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Washington Wizards68244435%114.8119.1-4.3
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33312332119
Boston Celtics25332925112
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