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Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 90-111
17-22 35-34 27-20 11-35
Position#23
Record12-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#5
Record18-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game96.6
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
06 Nov 2026
MIL v TOR
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MIL94
TOR122
18 Dec 2025
MIL105
TOR111
17 Jan 2025
MIL130
TOR112
12 Nov 2024
MIL99
TOR85
05 Apr 2024
MIL111
TOR117
19 Mar 2023
MIL118
TOR111
17 Jan 2023
MIL130
TOR122
15 Jan 2022
MIL96
TOR103
05 Jan 2022
MIL111
TOR117
18 Feb 2021
MIL96
TOR110
16 Feb 2021
MIL113
TOR124
10 Aug 2020
MIL106
TOR114
02 Nov 2019
MIL115
TOR105
23 May 2019
MIL v TOR
upcoming
17 May 2019
MIL125
TOR103
15 May 2019
MIL108
TOR100
05 Jan 2019
MIL116
TOR123
29 Oct 2018
MIL124
TOR109
05 Jan 2018
MIL110
TOR129
27 Apr 2017
MIL89
TOR92
22 Apr 2017
MIL76
TOR87
20 Apr 2017
MIL104
TOR77
04 Mar 2017
MIL101
TOR94
25 Nov 2016
MIL99
TOR105
15 Mar 2016
MIL89
TOR107
26 Dec 2015
MIL90
TOR111
19 Jan 2015
MIL89
TOR92
05 Apr 2014
MIL98
TOR102
02 Nov 2013
MIL90
TOR97
06 Apr 2013
MIL100
TOR83
02 Mar 2013
MIL122
TOR114
23 Apr 2012
MIL92
TOR86
11 Apr 2011
MIL93
TOR86
08 Feb 2011
MIL92
TOR74
20 Jan 2010
MIL113
TOR107
09 Dec 2009
MIL117
TOR95
05 Jan 2009
MIL107
TOR97
01 Nov 2008
MIL87
TOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
106-91
106
91
+15
100avg 88
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
86avg 88
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
95-109
95
109
-14
86avg 88
H10/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
72avg 88
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
108-95
108
95
+13
105avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 88
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 88
A17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-121
112
121
-9
102avg 88
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 88
A20/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 88
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
23-24
29-21
25-22
25-16
17-17
18-29
30-26
26-25
22-22
20-28
27-34
17-24
14-25
29-21
23-20
30-28
29-20
21-29
28-18
25-30
21-25
20-31
29-27
21-29
22-25
23-24
24-25
36-33
34-25
23-27
19-36
27-26
18-27
25-18
31-24
35-18
30-28
27-24
21-30
199.8Avg total
99.3Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)96.6102.0198.6-5.440%
Season at home (14)101.299.4200.6+1.964%
Season away (16)92.6104.4196.9-11.819%
Last 10 (10)99.3100.5199.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)102.2106.4208.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)93.2101.7194.9-8.527%
vs Similar (12)100.1102.9203.0-2.850%
vs Weaker (3)99.7100.0199.7-0.367%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
109-112
109
112
-3
93avg 88
H05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
102-93
102
93
+9
93avg 88
H08/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
99avg 88
H10/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 88
H12/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
96-76
96
76
+20
81avg 88
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
90-106
90
106
-16
74avg 88
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
78avg 88
A18/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
108-94
108
94
+14
98avg 88
A19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
94-104
94
104
-10
75avg 88
H20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
103-99
103
99
+4
103avg 88
H23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
28-27
30-24
30-29
25-22
27-20
19-29
31-22
27-21
26-25
20-16
24-32
24-17
25-14
21-29
20-23
32-24
20-20
17-14
27-18
28-27
13-25
23-21
26-33
20-25
24-31
21-21
25-13
27-25
23-30
31-22
27-17
18-37
30-18
22-23
24-26
32-16
17-20
23-31
31-32
195.8Avg total
98.8Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)99.796.6196.3+3.260%
Season at home (14)101.696.5198.1+5.164%
Season away (16)98.196.6194.8+1.556%
Last 10 (10)98.897.0195.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)98.8102.4201.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)104.8104.8209.5+0.050%
vs Similar (11)95.995.2191.1+0.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)101.295.4196.6+5.860%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
Milwaukee BucksToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H06/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H10/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A19/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H24/12
NBA
99.2Avg total
50.1Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.851.3101.1-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.549.0101.5+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)47.453.3100.7-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)50.149.199.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)53.853.2107.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)46.549.696.1-3.140%-
vs Similar (12)53.154.1107.2-1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)52.748.7101.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H08/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H10/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H12/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A18/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/12
NBA
96.3Avg total
48.7Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.548.195.6-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.346.995.2+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)46.949.196.0-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.747.696.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.450.897.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.251.899.0-4.550%-
vs Similar (11)45.547.593.0-1.927%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)49.147.696.7+1.540%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 99.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀73%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.8 pts a game · 73% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.336.4
50.3%
49.0%72.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.74.1
32.3%
35.3%12.3
🏀 Free throws19.414.2
73.2%
75.5%14.2
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 12.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 15% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.127.1
48.3%
49.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.720.3
79.0%
75.5%20.3
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLLLWLLWW
Toronto Raptors
WLWLLWWWWL
#23
League position
#5
-1.2
Net rating
+1.9
102.1
Offensive rating
104.2
103.4
Defensive rating
102.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.6%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
33.8%
62.0%
Assist %
48.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 104.2Defence103.4 · 102.3Shooting50.1% · 49.0%3-point %32.3% · 33.8%Ball care14.2% · 12.6%Off. rebounds23.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/15HPhiladelphia 76ers113-100
20/12/15APhoenix Suns101-95
19/12/15AGolden State Warriors112-121
17/12/15ALos Angeles Clippers90-103
16/12/15ALos Angeles Lakers95-113
13/12/15HGolden State Warriors108-95
12/12/15AToronto Raptors83-90
10/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers95-109
08/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers90-88
06/12/15HNew York Knicks106-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/15HDallas Mavericks103-99
20/12/15HSacramento Kings94-104
19/12/15AMiami Heat108-94
18/12/15ACharlotte Hornets99-109 OT
15/12/15AIndiana Pacers90-106
13/12/15HPhiladelphia 76ers96-76
12/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks90-83
10/12/15HSan Antonio Spurs97-94
08/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers102-93
05/12/15HGolden State Warriors109-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%64%19%
Points / game96.6101.292.6
Allowed / game102.099.4104.4
Point differential-5.4+1.9-11.8
Avg total198.6200.6196.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %60%64%56%
Points / game99.7101.698.1
Allowed / game96.696.596.6
Point differential+3.2+5.1+1.5
Avg total196.3198.1194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%21%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2928197%114.6101.3+13.3
2 San Antonio Spurs3125681%101.888.7+13.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2719870%100.794.9+5.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder30201067%107.499.2+8.2
5 Atlanta Hawks31191261%101.499.9+1.5
6 Miami Heat28171161%96.594.6+1.9
7 Toronto Raptors30181260%99.796.6+3.2
8 Chicago Bulls27161159%100.699.4+1.1
9 Orlando Magic29171259%101.098.6+2.4
10 Indiana Pacers28161257%102.799.1+3.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%102.1100.6+1.5
12 Detroit Pistons30171357%101.4100.0+1.4
13 Boston Celtics29161355%103.399.1+4.2
14 Dallas Mavericks29161355%101.3101.1+0.2
15 Charlotte Hornets28151354%101.999.2+2.7
16 Houston Rockets31161552%103.6104.9-1.3
17 Memphis Grizzlies31161552%96.099.8-3.8
18 Washington Wizards28141450%102.2104.6-2.4
19 New York Knicks30141647%97.999.0-1.1
20 Utah Jazz27121544%97.097.2-0.2
21 Sacramento Kings29121741%104.5107.1-2.6
22 Denver Nuggets29121741%99.2103.4-4.2
23 Milwaukee Bucks30121840%96.6102.0-5.4
24 Phoenix Suns31121939%103.6105.2-1.5
25 Minnesota Timberwolves29111838%101.3103.4-2.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers31112035%101.0103.1-2.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans2992031%102.2107.1-4.8
28 Brooklyn Nets3082227%96.7103.4-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers3052517%96.2107.2-10.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers311303%91.4104.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1735271190
Toronto Raptors22342035111
← all games of the day
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