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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 122-105
39-23 25-24 29-35 29-23
Position#25
Record10-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#12
Record16-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
99-112
99
112
-13
A13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
91-97
91
97
-6
H15/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
87-111
87
111
-24
H18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
102-110 OT
102
110
-8
H21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
108-115
108
115
-7
A28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
104-109
104
109
-5
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
108-82
108
82
+26
H02/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-26
25-39
32-29
16-17
23-27
21-18
31-35
29-24
26-19
17-31
15-37
33-24
23-20
26-17
29-18
22-34
27-19
28-16
19-27
12-27
27-29
35-16
21-22
25-24
27-13
26-18
19-26
23-21
30-25
22-31
33-38
27-21
20-27
29-32
28-29
24-17
35-21
27-28
22-16
199.2Avg total
100.2Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)100.4102.6203.0-2.134%
Season at home (17)102.199.9202.1+2.241%
Season away (12)98.0106.2204.2-8.225%
Last 10 (10)100.299.0199.2+1.240%
Last 5 (5)102.496.2198.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)98.9107.9206.8-9.011%
vs Similar ◀ (19)100.7102.5203.2-1.742%
vs Weaker (2)103.082.0185.0+21.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-107
125
107
+18
H12/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
146-114
146
114
+32
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
109-127
109
127
-18
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
114-98
114
98
+16
A21/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
95-125
95
125
-30
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H25/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
111-110
111
110
+1
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
115-100
115
100
+15
H03/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-23
31-24
28-30
27-30
21-25
28-29
17-30
16-15
37-19
27-37
42-24
40-34
26-32
22-38
36-29
25-28
22-22
25-25
34-23
33-28
17-36
23-39
27-26
28-24
27-18
34-27
15-29
28-18
24-26
25-22
17-28
11-30
30-39
32-29
29-24
20-18
34-29
21-30
23-21
37-20
215.6Avg total
107.8Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)106.7106.3213.0+0.459%
Season at home (13)110.2102.8213.1+7.477%
Season away (14)103.4109.5212.9-6.143%
Last 10 (10)107.8107.8215.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)100.4106.6207.0-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)102.8110.0212.8-7.240%
vs Similar ◀ (16)101.4103.8205.2-2.350%
vs Weaker (9)111.2101.9213.1+9.389%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H15/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H02/12
NBA
94.4Avg total
49.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.251.2101.4-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)51.449.7101.1+1.750%-
Last 30 away (12)48.453.6102.0-5.242%-
Last 10 (10)49.145.394.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.095.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.450.299.7-0.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.852.4103.3-1.653%-
vs Weaker (2)47.544.592.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H12/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A14/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
40-75
40
75
-35
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H25/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H01/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/12
NBA
111.4Avg total
54.5Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.553.8106.3-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.951.5106.4+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)50.455.8106.2-5.344%-
Last 10 (10)54.556.9111.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)53.459.0112.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.255.6104.8-6.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.154.2106.4-2.144%-
vs Weaker (9)55.051.9106.9+3.156%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.625.3
50.0%
51.0%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.8
35.0%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
76.5%14.2
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.4
52.3%
51.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.7
36.6%
36.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.217.9
74.0%
76.5%17.9
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWWLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWLW
#25
League position
#12
+1.2
Net rating
+0.0
102.8
Offensive rating
109.8
101.5
Defensive rating
109.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
36.6%
59.8%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 109.8Defence101.5 · 109.8Shooting51.0% · 53.3%3-point %35.0% · 36.6%Ball care13.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds17.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers108-82
30/11/17HBrooklyn Nets104-109
28/11/17ASan Antonio Spurs108-115
26/11/17HOklahoma City Thunder97-81
23/11/17AMemphis Grizzlies95-94
21/11/17HBoston Celtics102-110 OT
19/11/17HMilwaukee Bucks111-79
18/11/17HMinnesota Timberwolves87-111
15/11/17HSan Antonio Spurs91-97
13/11/17AOklahoma City Thunder99-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17HLos Angeles Lakers115-100
01/12/17HChicago Bulls111-110
29/11/17AUtah Jazz77-106
25/11/17HMemphis Grizzlies104-92
23/11/17AHouston Rockets95-125
21/11/17ASacramento Kings114-98
20/11/17ALos Angeles Lakers109-127
18/11/17HNew Orleans Pelicans146-114
14/11/17APortland Trail Blazers82-99
12/11/17HOrlando Magic125-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW34%
HomeWLWLW41%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %34%41%25%
Points / game100.4102.198.0
Allowed / game102.699.9106.2
Point differential-2.1+2.2-8.2
Avg total203.0202.1204.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%77%43%
Points / game106.7110.2103.4
Allowed / game106.3102.8109.5
Point differential+0.4+7.4-6.1
Avg total213.0213.1212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2925486%105.097.2+7.8
2 Houston Rockets2621581%112.7101.8+10.8
3 Golden State Warriors2921872%117.9107.4+10.5
4 Toronto Raptors2617965%110.6103.5+7.0
5 San Antonio Spurs28181064%102.197.6+4.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers29181162%109.4107.8+1.6
7 Portland Trail Blazers28171161%104.9100.3+4.6
8 Detroit Pistons27161159%104.8103.0+1.8
9 Denver Nuggets27161159%106.7106.3+0.4
10 Utah Jazz26151158%104.2100.1+4.1
11 Washington Wizards26151158%107.8103.8+4.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves28161257%107.5107.4+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers27151256%108.1106.8+1.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers28151354%108.1108.1-0.0
15 Milwaukee Bucks26131350%102.5104.6-2.1
16 Miami Heat29141548%99.8103.9-4.1
17 Oklahoma City Thunder25121348%101.798.4+3.3
18 New Orleans Pelicans28131546%107.9110.5-2.6
19 Brooklyn Nets27121544%110.3110.9-0.6
20 Orlando Magic31131842%105.8108.3-2.5
21 Charlotte Hornets27111641%104.7105.7-1.0
22 Memphis Grizzlies28111739%99.299.9-0.7
23 New York Knicks28111739%102.9105.8-2.9
24 Los Angeles Clippers27101737%104.9107.4-2.6
25 Dallas Mavericks29101934%100.4102.6-2.1
26 Los Angeles Lakers29101934%104.4108.1-3.7
27 Phoenix Suns29101934%107.1115.1-8.0
28 Sacramento Kings2982128%94.6104.7-10.1
29 Atlanta Hawks2872125%101.5106.8-5.4
30 Chicago Bulls2862221%96.8107.6-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks39252929122
Denver Nuggets23243523105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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