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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 30 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
vs
Position#17
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
14 Jul 2022
MIL100
DAL89
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Oct 2021
MIL103
DAL114
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Jul 2018
MIL78
DAL81
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Oct 2016
MIL88
DAL74
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
10 Oct 2008
MIL79
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Milwaukee Bucks
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 111.9
113.4▲ 1.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 119.6
124.2▲ 4.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
57%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.1
26.0▼ 0.1
🔥 Form · Dallas Mavericks
5.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.3
115.2▼ 0.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 120.3
108.6▼ 11.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.0
28.2▲ 2.2
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
117-135
117
135
-18
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
132-115
132
115
+17
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
111-135
111
135
-24
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-128
110
128
-18
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
121-105
121
105
+16
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
113-109
113
109
+4
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
120-96
120
96
+24
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
26-38
35-34
37-36
28-27
30-24
37-34
37-30
18-24
27-32
18-19
34-26
34-39
20-34
24-29
33-33
26-32
12-38
38-30
34-28
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
230.0Avg total
114.3Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Season at home (6)111.2116.7227.8-5.533%
Season away (4)119.0114.2233.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)115.2108.6223.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)115.9127.6243.4-11.719%
vs Similar (9)114.4110.7225.1+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H09/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A11/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H15/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
112.7Avg total
53.9Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.061.0117.9-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.262.6120.8-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)55.959.6115.4-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)53.958.8112.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.6114.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)55.463.1118.5-7.824%-
vs Similar (9)60.755.9116.6+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.2%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.6
57.3%
54.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.813.7
35.3%
34.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws24.119.2
79.7%
76.2%19.2
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLWLLLWL
#27
League position
#17
-8.1
Net rating
-1.6
96.0
Offensive rating
104.8
104.0
Defensive rating
106.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
13.0%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
35.3%
63.4%
Assist %
64.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 104.8Defence104.0 · 106.4Shooting50.6% · 55.4%3-point %32.2% · 35.3%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Off. rebounds13.0% · 22.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
22/10/26AHouston Rockets110-128
17/10/26HAtlanta Hawks111-135
15/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans97-101
11/10/26AHouston Rockets132-115
09/10/26HHouston Rockets117-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%33%75%
Points / game114.3111.2119.0
Allowed / game115.7116.7114.2
Point differential-1.4-5.5+4.8
Avg total230.0227.8233.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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